Good Sunday everyone and welcome to the first day of spring. We are coming off a very nice Saturday across the entire region and our Sunday isn’t shaping up to be too bad as a blast of big spring warmth surges in. This will carry us into the first part of the new week before a change to chilly takes control of the overall weather pattern.

A warm front is lifting northward through the area today and will touch off a scattered shower or thunderstorm. Track any storm action here…



Temps today will really soar with highs in the west and southwest heading into the middle and upper 70s. Areas farther north and east will be a little more tricky because of a better chance for some boomers. Areas with some rain will see temps only in the low to mid 60s. For those with sun… 70 will be possible.

Monday into Tuesday will see some very warm air nudging into the entire region. Highs will head toward the low and mid 70s for many areas. 80 in the west? There will be a chance for some scattered thunderstorms during this time… especially in the north and east.

A nice storm will develop in the plains states on Tuesday and roll across the Ohio Valley by Wednesday. This will increase our rain and thunderstorm threat and may even bring some strong or severe storms in here. That is something we will be watching for in the coming days as this system has a heck of a temp gradient to work with.

As this low passes by… a very chilly pattern will engulf much of the eastern half of the country for the end of the week. Here is how the European Model sees it…



That is some big time cold air heading into the Great Lakes and Northeast. While we won’t get in on the heart of the cold… it will be plenty chilly enough with highs coming back down into the 40s. As a matter of fact… I would not be surprised to see some snowflakes with this air.

If you are thinking this cold will be in and out of here… think again. The extended models all have a chilly look into early April. You can see that on the GFS Ensembles…



Severe weather hounds… get ready. I continue to think this pattern will lead us into a very stormy spring and early Summer that is likely to feature above average severe weather from the plains into the Ohio Valley.

Have a great Sunday and happy spring. Take care.