Good Saturday, everybody. It’s a calm and chilly weekend as our absolutely frigid November rolls on. The temps aren’t exactly frigid over the next several days, but they continue to be skewed colder than normal. The setup after next week looks like to turn frigid once again.
Let’s start out by taking a look at just how cold the first half of November has been. Look at those departures for areas east of the Rockies…
Once past the weekend, we turn our attention toward a couple of weak systems dropping in here from the northwest Monday and Tuesday. This can drop a few rain or snow showers on us. The NAM shows a few flakes flying…
That looks to set the stage for another system to follow that up from the southwest, bringing the potential for winter weather next weekend into early Thanksgiving week.
In an earlier post I talked about the cold look from some of the analogs coming from the forecast models. The following models are centered on November 26th and show the closest hemispheric matches in the bottom right, starting with the year…
1989 and 2000 show up on more than one occasion. Those just happen to be the two top coldest Decembers on record around here. 1963 and 1976 were also big December winters around here.The winter of 1976/77 us legendary. 2002 is another year showing up several times and that was a rough and tumble winter around here.
Those are just snapshots of analogs the computer comes up with and will change a bit with each run, but they can sometimes give us clues as to where things are going.
I will be back with updates later today. Have a good one and take care.