Good Thursday, everybody. It’s another very nice feeling weather day across the state, but the threat for showers and storms will be on the increase in the coming days. This happens as humidity levels begin to come back up and the overall pattern turns more active, especially in the tropics.

Let us kick things off with what’s happening out there today. Temps are likely deep into the 50s for many to start out and recover into the upper 70s and low 80s. Humidity levels are still into the comfy category, so enjoy.

There is the threat for a few showers and storms going up across the south and southeast, but that may try to inch a bit farther north as the day transitions into the night. Here are your tracking toys for the day…

As moisture increases Friday through Sunday, showers and storms become more common. The setup is not producing rain all the time, but we are likely to see some heavier downpours show up. Here are the totals from the GFS through the weekend…

The tropics continue to spring to life with three systems on the move…

Tropical Depression 13 looks like the main one to watch and this should head toward Florida over the weekend and early next week and may even get into the Gulf. Here’s the current forecast from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

The latest operational models continue to, as expected, vary greatly on the evolution of 13..

GFS

CANADIAN

I will have another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.