Good Tuesday, folks. We’ve made it to the month of September and things are starting out on a stormy note as rounds of boomers target the region in the coming days. This is all part of a pattern that is total opposite of the September pattern we had last year when it we dried and fried. Instead, this is a wetter than normal setup that also turns much cooler than normal. Some real deal fall chill is on the way.
Let’s get this September party started with the weather out there today. Highs are in the upper 70s to low 80s for many with scattered showers and storms going up. The best chance comes this afternoon and evening. Here are your friendly neighborhood tracking toys to help your storm tracking cause…
The best threat for storms rolls in here for Wednesday and Thursday. This brings the best opportunity for showers and storms that can cause additional high water issues…
That’s being pushed by a fall cold front blowing in here early Friday. Highs on Friday stay in the 70s for Kentucky Oaks Day and we will see the numbers drop deep into the low and middle 50s for lows this weekend…
Kentucky Derby Saturday will feature amazing weather with highs in the 70s with low humidity and a mix of sun and clouds. I saw a couple of twitter posts last week talking about highs deep in the 90s for Derby Day.
Temps warm a bit on Sunday and we could see a shower or storm before the day is over. This will be ahead of a a major surge of fall chill moving into the country next week. The evolution of this still has to be ironed out. The GFS continues to bring it in in two pieces, with front on Monday and a potent system following that up by the middle of next week.
Here’s the first front for Monday…
Lows behind that from the GFS…
The second system is much more powerful…
That would bring wind, rain and temps well below normal. As a matter of fact, that run keeps highs in the upper 50s and low 60s.
Again, the evolution of all this still has some questions, so the timing of these fronts may change. Yet, the overall pattern will feature temps much cooler than normal next week.
I will update things later today, so check back. Until then, make it a great one and take care.
I liked to see a little more sunshine in the forecast.
But overall I cannot complain.
Thanks Chris, Just as long as we are not “deep into the 90’s on Derby day” I’m fine. LOL
We had a brief 10-minute shower late last night in the SW suburbs of Chicago to finally break our 16 consecutive days without any rain. But it was barely enough to wet the pavement. Lawns around here continue to brown.
The infamous drought monitor shows most of Northern and Central IL being abnormally dry, with a small part of the W and SW suburbs of Chicago, including my area, in a moderate drought. In this case, the drought monitor is correct, as it has really been a dry month of August around here, with less than 3/4 of an inch of rain the whole month (the violent derecho on August 10th came through so fast it didn’t produce much rainfall). Quite a contrast compared to May, which was the wettest May ever in Chicago history with over ten inches of rain.
Kentucky is one of the few states in the country that doesn’t have any drought conditions, according to the drought monitor.
Hey Mike…..Just curious how you ended up finding this random weather blog from Illinois? I like hearing about the Chicago weather from your comments.
Also, about the weather.gov site……You know how you can go to the satellite section of the page and either view full CONUS or regions, etc.? Did they just update something recently where you can now loop? I never could figure out how to get it to loop but I just went there today and there it is. It’s really COOL! You can have it loop more or less images, change speed of the loop, etc. Chris will sometimes post a link of the easter half of the USA/Tropics satellite loop on this blog and I would always wonder how he got it to loop. I never had a problem looping regions but there was no option to loop until now for CONUS.
Thanks Mark that’s great internet information that I need to learn and know.
Thanks MarkLex… I used to correspond with a girl about five years ago who lived in Southern Ohio, and we were both really into weather. She told me about Kentucky Weather Center, so I decided to check it out, and I’ve been hooked ever since! I like the fact that many of the computer models Chris Bailey has on the blog shows the Chicago area and NE IL.
Also, great info about the weather,gov site and the looping of the satellite images. I’ll have to check it out.
Hi Mike, I wish I could send some of the rains we have had here in central Kentucky your way.
The lawns here are as green as it was in late May. Kentucky’s climate has changed, specially with more nights with above normal temperatures.
In my opinion it’s the warming of Oceans.
Will there be a change in the over all climatic pattern before Autumn arrives later this month. I wish I could answer that question.
September is very high on my list of favorite weather months but based on what I have read so far, it looks like September 2020 will not be one of them. Oh well, given that we cannot enjoy many of the events this year that make September great in my eyes, it would be a good time I guess for a very early Fall.
September is the month where we start thinking about Fall foliage color. Bright and clear, cool afternoons and the anticipation for the Winter snows ahead.