Good Monday everyone. The mother of all warm fronts made its way across the state Sunday into last night with a temp difference of 35 degrees on either side of it. This is the start of a wild weather ride for the next few weeks that is likely to bring a little bit of everything to Kentucky. Buckle up and let’s get into it.
Low pressure is working to our north today and is pulling in a nice surge of mild temps and gusty winds. Highs will range from the mid and upper 50s in the north to the mid and upper 60s in the south and west. Wind gusts of 30mph or better will be possible through tonight and you can track it all here…
Current Temps
Winds
The first storm works to our northeast today and will drag a cold front southward toward the state this evening. A wave of low pressure develops along the front and will cause showers to increase today into tonight. The heaviest rains will be along and north of Interstate 64 where more than a half inch of rain will be likely.
Follow the drops here…
Colder air will filter in later tonight into early Tuesday and any leftover moisture can mix with of change to a bit of light snow. This is not a big deal… but is a reminder that it is still winter. Highs for Tuesday will be in the upper 30s to low 40s for most areas on what will be a blustery day.
The shot of chill won’t last long as milder air will begin to work in from the southwest Wednesday. This will be ahead of a big storm system that will develop across the plains states by Thursday and will work into the Ohio Valley Thursday night and Friday. This storm has a huge contrast in temps to work with and that means this setup will feature a lot of juice to work with. The threat for heavy rains and even strong or severe storms will be with us from Thursday into Friday. We are not alone in potentially feeling the impact from this system…
The potential for 1″-3″ (locally 4″) of heavy rain is the main threat around here with the severe storm threat being lower. That said… areas from western Kentucky to Texas have a decent shot at seeing an early season outbreak of severe weather. That is something to be watching out for in the coming days.
Colder air will move in behind this storm and this should set the stage for the return of winter that will kick into high gear for the first week of March. This is the period we first highlighted nearly two weeks ago to be watching out for old man winter to return. Parts of the country are seeing this return in a big way right now, but it will take a few more days for the cold and snow threats to engulf much of the rest of the lower 48.
The GFS Ensembles show just how widespread the cold is likely to be…
The pattern for early March has a big time wintry look to it and has the potential for to deliver a nice parting shot before we can truly get into “real” spring. 
I will have updates as needed later today so be sure to check back. Have a great Monday and take care.
Hey Chris!!! If we can’t get the “big one”……bring on “real” spring!!
Interesting map for March 5. We are heading to Nashville from the 4th-6th and the mets there are saying the trends for that weekend shows highs around 70.
yea i am heading to lawrenceburg indiana to the casino on the 4th/5th and the local weather there is giving 67 for March 5th…. i can’t figure out where cb is seeing this winter storm he keeps talking about.
Starting a weather unit with my 1st, 2nd and 3rd graders today. They are going to be doing weather observations everyday by looking out the window and writing down the low and high temps for the day. Certainly looks like we will have something very different every day to talk about!
Thanks CB! Can’t wait for the return of winter late next week!
…and I can’t figure out why you think a high temperature of 67 some 12 days out into the future is anything? Lately, absolutely none of the weather guys in my ‘backyard’ have been able to nail down high temps within 3 degrees just one day out.
sorry MS i have to disagree with ya there — accuweather temps have been dead on for the last couple of weeks for the london area and looking at their extended forecast it mentions nothing about wintry weather. we’ll just have to wait and see!!
It may get cold (20-25) again for about 4 days(at max), but if you notice CB’s maps, the dates keep getting pushed back. Maybe another 2 in snow, but thats all. Lets just hope we don’t get ALOT of rain at once!!!
accuweather just literally changed their extended forecast in like 10 minutes — at 8:30 this morning it had 65 degrees for my town on Mar 4th, now it has 42 and flurries — what the crap!!!!!! did something magically appear ??
spc day 4 outlook further north than the day 5 forecast yesturday. they like the ECMWF track to our northwest which brings a squall line through thursday night.
omg, it did just change … sorry MS i was wrong!!! i guess accuweather has been off on a drunk weekend and decided to come in this morning and work!!!
Nice out today, Chris, other than the winds. They have steadliy picked up since early morning. Currently 63 degrees here with cloudy skies. What a difference 24 hours makes! thanks for keeping us up to date. You are appreciated more than I can say.
Warm air is winning the trend battles now, hence the push-outs.
Folks need to travel north and especially noth-west if wanting a good shot for a “good”” snow for rest of winter. Springading-ding-ding 🙂
put on weather just had bet on a 25-1 hurdle horse in england comes to last jump ahead by 12 and falls.lol thats the run ive been on.
ohh forgot to add love u all and hope everything going good. hey coffeelady and bubba.
Great article about Chris and the success of the blog in the Herald Leader today. Congrats on all of your success, a day isn’t a day without checking the blog at least once.
I agree, a nice article. Chris’s blog is wonderful as I am in charge of distribution of USA Today for the I75/64 corridors from Georgetown to Jellico and from Georgetown to Morehead. The early morning updates are great as I have an updated forecast and radar at my computer by 2:30 AM to know what to expect throughout my district. Some of my drivers even ask what the blog said this morning, and the hauler bringing the papers from Indianapolis often asks what route to take back home from Lexington-64/65 or 75/74. I also use comments and temp listings to determine if someone who doesn’t want to deliver is fibbing about the weather in their area.