Good Saturday, everybody. Rounds o showers and thunderstorms are increasing today and this brings a heavy rain threat through Sunday. This is ahead of a cold front FINALLY working into the region, bringing cooler air coming in for early next week. From there, it’s all about a developing system in the Gulf of Mexico. This may impact our weather before next week is finished.

Let’s get this weekend party started with what’s happening out there today. Rounds of storms kick in this afternoon into the evening and carry us into Thursday. Much of this is on top of central and eastern Kentucky, but the models continue to disagree on where the heaviest rains show up…

NAM

GFS

The first half of today is dry and pretty humid. Showers and storms will then quickly develop from southwest to northeast this afternoon and evening. This will continue through Sunday as a cold front works in.  Temps will be in the 70s for highs for lots of the region and that trend takes us into early next week as comfy air blows in.

Here are your radars to track today’s storms…

I mentioned the air coming in early next week is very comfy with lows by Tuesday morning possibly reaching the upper 40s and low 50s for some…

Now let’s go to the tropics where we have a developing system moving across southern Florida into the Gulf of Mexico. This will become Tropical Storm Sally or Teddy (It’s in competition with another system in the Atlantic as to which gets named first) sometime today…

cone graphic

This may reach hurricane strength before heading toward a central Gulf Coast landfall early in the week. The hurricane models are clustered on this…

Some of that moisture may get drawn northward into our region before the week is over. Can we get the full thing to roll through here? That depends on if a developing trough can pick it up. The models are mixed on whether or not this happens…

The GFS has it missing the connection…

The CANADIAN has more of a connection…

We will have to watch the Wednesday through Friday time period for the potential for tropical rains around here.

This system is one of MANY across the Atlantic basin…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a great day and take care.