Good Saturday everyone. Our weather pattern has been rather quiet for the past few weeks as winter has taken a break for much of the country. That is about to change in a hurry and this spells a much more active pattern for us that will lead us back into a late season wintry feel and look.
Our Saturday weather looks pretty good for much of the region as a cold front stalls our just to our south. This may be just close enough to our southern counties for a stray shower. Partly sunny skies will be common for many with temps in the lower 50s for highs.
A storm system will be gathering strength across the midwest into Sunday and will drag a warm front northeastward through the region. This will fire off a few showers along the boundary as it swings through here. This will also set us up for a heck of a temp swing for Sunday. We could see a 30-40 degree temp difference across the state for a time later Sunday. You can see this on the NAM…
That is pretty impressive and the mild air will win the battle as it continues to push in later Sunday into Sunday night. Temps by Monday morning should warm toward the 50s for the entire area as another low pressure develops and works across the region. Winds will become very gusty during this time and that is a trend we will hang on to into much of next week.
The low working through Monday and Monday night will bring an increase in rain to the area with a swath of accumulating snows just to our north. Much colder air will dumbbell in quickly behind the departing low Monday night with a switch to light snow very possible before the precipitation ends.
Look at this impressive drop in temps Monday night…
Highs for Tuesday should generally run around 40 with gusty winds making it feel colder than what the thermometer shows.
There is likely to be another decent storm working across the Ohio Valley toward the end of next week and this one should have a lot more moisture to work with. As a matter of fact… many models are spitting out heavy rains during this time…
GFS Rainfall Forecast
We need the rain… but we don’t want to get into a situation where big storms bring a lot at once. That is a trademark of late winter and early spring La Nina patterns and something to watch for.
The other thing to watch out for is the return of winter to much of the country. This will come in pieces over the next week with a stronger surge of cold set to move in by the last few days of the month into early March. Look at the amount of cold diving in behind the potential big late week rain maker…
As you can tell… we are likely heading into more active pattern with a return of winter lurking for early March.
Updates as needed throughout the weekend so check back. Have a great Saturday and take care.
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I really am going to miss this warm weather, but thanks for the heads up Chris!!!
Well if its gonna snow and be cold just get it done all at once and let us move on with spring
Thanks
Winter hibernator
Song of the day: Colder Weather by the Zac Brown Band.
Normal weather for this time of year for the most part. I can’t remember too many years where it has stayed warm all the way until spring. Looking at long range I do see a couple of cooler days (mid to low 40’s for highs), but nothing out of the ordinary for this time of year. As long as we get some nice days scattered in with the cooler days I will be happy. And that looks to be the case.
It doesn’t look as if we will have any more snows, mostly rain.
That’s okay, I like this warm weather.
There will nothing to see here but cold temps and rain. Bring on Spring.
From what 12z GFS is showing, next few weeks look to have TONS, and I mean TONS of rainfall, and the northern plains get knocked around by snow. Ugh, will we ever get a big one? Will be updating my blog later on.
For my money, this afternoon looks to be as nice a day to get out and do stuff as earlier this week when it was in the 60’s but the wind was blowing.
According to the mesonet, dewpoints in Central/Eastern Kentucky are in the teens and a few sites are reporting single digits.
Again, the weather experts are struggling to predict the forecast highs. They just can’t seem to adjust for the dry air and rising February sun or predict where cloud cover will make an impact.
I’m not complaining as long as it’s erring on the warm side of things.
it’s way overdone with convective feedback, 2-4 inches looks more likely.
13% RH in Lawrence county wow!
Anyone heard of the budget cuts to the NWS? Our very own Hal Rodgers wants to cut the NWS budget by thirty percent.
I couldn’t get a link buyt one can google it. Write your politicians in DC and voice your concern right away.
I have a question for all the members of this blog, would you be intrested in coming to a weather chat room? It would be open al lthe time ,not just during big winter storms or severe weather. Of course it would have folks talkign about other stuff, as its kinda hard to talk weather 24/7. If there is any intrest in this reply to this post. Thanks.
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