Good Thursday everyone and thanks for dropping by the blog on such a fine weather day. As we enjoy the warmest air since November… the return of winter is lurking for next week. Did you really think the warm stuff was here to stay? 
Before we get to the wintry part of the program… it’s all about the warm weather of now. Highs will reach the upper 60s to low 70s across the state making for one heck of a weather day. Partly sunny skies will be with us today as winds begin to gust up. Track the warm temps here…
Current Temps
A cold front will swing in from the west on Friday and this will bring an increase in clouds and wind and should also bring a few showers our way. High temps will range from the upper 50s to low 60s. Cooler air moves in for the weekend with readings near 50 Saturday and in the low and middle 50s Sunday with some showers trying to work back in.
This brings us to next week and the increasing prospect for winter’s return to our part of the world. An arctic high pressure will be pressing southward into the country by late Sunday into Monday. This happens as low pressure develops across the plains states. The southward push of arctic air should force this low to head southeastward across the lower Ohio Valley and Tennessee Valley Monday and into the Carolinas by Tuesday. The European Model has been leading the way in showing this…
A track like that would include a band of snow and ice on the northern side of the low and the GFS is on board with just such an event…
What does that mean in terms of any snow or ice around here? Well… if we ask that particular run of the GFS to show us what it thinks will fall. It has this to say…
Again… that is only one run of one computer model and I am only showing it for entertainment purposes. The scenario of a farther southward tracking low does have a lot of model support right now. The GFS Ensembles are heading in this direction as well…
Add the Canadian Model to the mix…
We warned you old man winter wasn’t through with us just yet. At least this gives us something to track until it decides to deliver a big snow to some other part of the country.
The overall weather pattern continues to head back into a very wintry look for the country for next week into early March. I have been harping on this big buildup of arctic cold in Canada and that is likely to try to overwhelm the weather across the central and eastern parts of the country during this time. Take a look at the European Model down the road…
Here is the GFS for the exact same time…
Now that we have something to track… we will get back to updating things as needed through the day so check back. Enjoy the warm air of today… it won’t be along much longer. Have a good Thursday and take care.
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So to those who enjoy the videos I put out on my youtube channel, here is the link to the latest one!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i6fgSZFVsZ8
Since we are all weather bored at the moment 😉
That gfs run has me at like 16-18 inches haha….i wish! PPl around here are all excited talking about spring i just dont get it really we have about 35-40 days left of possible winter storm tracking and tag on another 40-50 days after that until we leave late march through early mays cool rains and windy time. I think we all know the good weather doesnt start to stick around until mid april at the earliest in these parts 🙂
bleh. and that is all i have to say about forcast.
Hmmmm…. That is looking a bit interesting for me here in central Indiana! Just yesterday it looked like mid 50s and rain for Monday, well that may not be the case anymore!
Thanks Chris
I wonder if we can top 30 this season in Lex?
You know we love having something to track Chris! 🙂
Something is wrong with the current temp map. It is not 46 in Jackson County. It is 31 and I am just about froze to death as I only wore a light jacket to work. What happened to my nice weather for next weekend. No snow PLEASE!!!!!
I have a very odd feeling about this one!!! 😉
Hi, I agree with every statement that you have made in the post and I really appreciate your effort in gathering up the information. Thanks for it.
Can’t believe I’m going to say this but…I’m ready for flip flops.
With the warm temps this week how will that affect any possible snow totals next week?
there is not going to be any snow next week; winter started at thanksgiving and now spring has started in feb — let it go …. cb said it was only one model and for entertainment only; i bet it stays in the 50’s and low 60’s for the next 2 or 3 weeks.
The models have been flipping and flopping all winter long….Just can’t get enough can you…LOL…Bring on Spring
i think your thermameter is broke, I live on the jackson/madison line and it is 47 degrees on my back porch. it never got down below 40 last night
Two weeks ago we were saying go North West…Now we are saying go South East….As I have mentioned several times..Spring is teasing us…We have plenty of Winter to go and there will be a few surprises…Enjoy the nice weather while it lasts!!!
Folks, I think we need to post a petition to have CB’s previous picture put back on the blog. The slimmed down version of CB is not the same. I miss the old Chris 🙂
Not even going to guess on an event for precip yet, since this time of year with all the warm air is too volatile. Cold and warm air battles can result in all kinds of funky stuff: Ice and wind storms for all, plus big snow- for people other than central KY 😉
I have to agree with you…The Ohio River is generally the battle ground this time a year, but the cold air has been pretty strong this winter and could give our region one last look at some nasty weather….Heck with our luck it will move to far south..LOL…
Dream on. 🙂
I am a die-hard snow lover but this week has made me want to transition into spring and summer on a warm note and not on a snowy one…..I cannot stand the thought of the temperatures dropping again but its coming folks 🙁
The corruption has made it all the way to the top! Could it be?
“At least this gives us something to track until it decides to deliver a big snow to some other part of the country.” Yes, Chris has went to the dark side!
just wait and see, i am probably older than anyone on here and have seen many winters like this, i don’t need lousy computers telling me, just watch mother nature and animals, they can tell you more than a computer will. watch the grass, it is already starting to green up and grow, this usually don’t start till the end of march — we are about 4-5 weeks ahead of schedule.
i hate moderation –
wait and see, i am probably older than anyone on here and have seen these winters like these;; dont need a lousy computer, just use mother nature and watch the animals; look at the grass, it is already started turning green and growing, which usually don’t happen till the end of march, so we are about 4 or 5 wks ahead of schedule .. mark it down.
watch and see, i probably older than anyone on here and have seen winters like this come and go – we are 4-5 wks ahead of schedule.
Yes we did start out winter much earlier than usual and a case could probably be made for it to end a little earlier as well. My prediction is we get one more cold blast for a week or two then hello spring. At least that’s what I hope happens! 🙂
Thanks, Chris! Going to take your advice and enjoy this beautiful weather while we have it. Hopefully, it is a preview of things to come a bit later…when it’s time. Still don’t want to see trees get fooled into starting to bud, only to get frozen. But it is very nice to get the chance to thaw out, too! Have a GREAT day, everyone!
i have to agree with ya oldman, we will still have what we call the rosebud and dogwood winters coming up, but i believe the spring season is upon us; watch out for the early thunderboomers, they can be bad!!
That orange orb in the sky is active too.
http://www.spacescience.com/
So glad to see that someone else had temps different that what was showing. When I left for work around 7, it was 34 and I had frost!
Why do you think CB moved? He IS a snow lover you know 😉 Central KY is the Bermuda Triangle for big snow.
It is what it is- if Big snow is the Good Force, central KY is part of the Dark side 😉
Hmmm…I’m sure they’ll fix this soon, but I think someone killed the NAO forecast computer – ‘flatlined’.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif
Let it snow, Let it snow, Let it snow.
So how widespread are the showers going to be tomorrow?? My plans revolve around whether its raining or not..
Im a die hard snow lover as well, BUT I think im gonna pretend this update didnt exist…lol..(no pun entended chris)..but sunshine,windows open,short sleeves and outside Wins the grammy today…
…..
I would’nt advise telling the groundhog about the upcoming NASTY SPELL!!…or he maybe put on the AMERICAS MOST WANTED LIST!!…has anyone ever seen a MAD GROUNDHOG…UGH NOT PRETTY!!!…LOL..LOL….
….
no time to get back outside!!! in the sunshine and 66* weather…B)
Well, they got it fixed now
We need rain. There was a grass fire in the county where my Mom lives earlier this week, and at CVG we are running -2.86″ behind on precip since December 1st.
Other sites in the same time frame:
Louisville -4.18
Lexington -2.66
Jackson -3.28
Hope this is not a sign of a repeat from last year…
You really know how to bring a person’s spirits down! LOL
Now your talkin!
Nice website, Chris. I live in Versailles and liked you when you were in Lex. Saw about this in the Herald Leader this morning. Keep up the good work.