Good Wednesday evening gang. I’ve been down at Rupp Arena for the Blue/White game (tough life I know), so this update will be very brief. Things continue to progress toward a major east coast event late this weekend into early next week. Hurricane Sandy and a deep trough are going to try to hook up and create some wild weather for a lot of people.

The trend among the models today continues to be toward a big, possibly historic, event. The European Model continues to be steady in slamming Sandy into the east coast…

That track on Sandy is a bit farther southward into the Mid Atlantic states. That’s about as wild as you can get with heavy snow on the backside with a hurricane on the east side.

The GFS came around to this line of thinking earlier then lost its way a bit. Still… it split the storm and basically ended up with a similar end result into the middle of next week. The GFS Ensembles Mean looks threatening…

What does all this mean for us? Some thoughts:

– This is a very cold pattern… even colder than I originally thought.

– Winds are going to be a big player for us from Sunday through the middle of next week.

– There is the possibility that the east coast storm works far enough west to give us some moisture by Tuesday and Wednesday. That could be in the form of rain or snow or a combo. COULD is the key word.

– The strong northwesterly wind flow is one that can produce precipitation by itself. Lake effect rain and snow showers may be possible.

While there is the potential for the first flakes of the season next week… it’s still a long way from becoming a certainty. A lot can change, but we do have a chance to get an early season taste of winter.

Full update later tonight. Take care.