Good evening, folks. We’ve been setting the stage for some big time winds for the weekend and confidence is increasing that these winds may cause issues Saturday night and Sunday. All of this is along and ahead of a strong cold front slamming in here from the northwest. This front ushers in much colder air for much of next week.

Winds will increase from west to east Saturday afternoon and evening. The initial wind direction is coming from the south and southwest, then switches to the west and northwest behind the front. Gusts of 50mph or higher will be possible and the models are in remarkable agreement with one another…

EURO

NAM

GFS

Some damage is possible with those kinds of gusts, so let’s baton down the hatches… or Christmas decorations… Or lawn furniture. 🙂

A few showers will show up across the west on Saturday, but the majority of the action sweeps in along the front Saturday night and Sunday morning. This line is working through quickly with almost full sunshine behind it Sunday afternoon…

Another front slams through behind this by late Monday and early Tuesday and that brings highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s into the middle of next week. Temps should recover behind this, but the pattern looks to turn very active as we head into next weekend and through Thanksgiving week. You guys know I’ve been talking about this setup for days now and how I think it can bring winter weather into the eastern half of the country.

The models continue to go in this direction. If we look at the latest EURO, we find a colder look next weekend with overrunning rain and snow just to our north with a potent storm developing to the west of us…

Taken verbatim, that would roll through here with crashing temps and likely rain ending as some flake action to start Thanksgiving week. That said, don’t take any model verbatim… Ever. 🙂

The Canadian has a similar overall thought process, but differs in the placement and details…

Here’s the GFS into the first half of Thanksgiving week…

The same model runs shows another system to end the holiday weekend…

Again, folks, we are only looking at trends here and these runs aren’t to be taken verbatim.

Have a great rest of the day and take care.