Good evening, folks. As our Thanksgiving Day wraps up, we continue to look ahead to our next storm system rolling in here Sunday night and Monday. This storm will bring an increased potential for winter weather and our first snowfall of the season. No, I still can’t answer if it’s just a little bit or a lot. Sorry, Charlie. šŸ™

The only new model that goes through the entire event is the GFS. This continues to take a potent low up the Appalachian MountainsĀ  with a major upper level low spinning behind it on top of us. This setup is the same as we’ve been advertising, bringing rain in here late Sunday with a switch to snow from west to east Monday morning. From there, a northwest flow keeps snow and snow showers going through Tuesday as temps stay below freezing during this time.

Here’s the GFS…

The late day EURO only goes through 7am Monday, but you can see this storm taking shape with a quick switch to snow underway…

One thing to watch for is the energy coming from the Pacific Ocean will be getting properly sampled soon as it moves into the northwestern part of the country. That means the models into Friday will have better data to work with.

Another system will try to follow this up from the southwest later next week and that may bring another threat for winter weather.

As I look at the pattern down the road through the middle of December, I can see a few more of these type systems trying to impact our weather. The various Ensembles are locked in on a similar look…

GFS

EURO

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 11 and with a full update on KWC later tonight. Enjoy the rest of your holiday and take care.