Good Tuesday afternoon everyone. Another big snowstorm is rolling across the plains today and is expected to deliver us a glancing shot of snow. More on that in a moment.
In the short term… it’s windy and cold with leftover flurries and snow showers. These snow showers are getting a bit frisky across parts of northern and eastern Kentucky and can lay down a local half to one inch of snow. Follow them here…
Temps today are struggling into the low and mid 20s for many areas as gusty winds drop our wind chills down into the single digits at times…
Current Temps
Wind Chill
The next storm is one that has been on our radar for over a week now. The heaviest snows will be confined to the plains states where another snowstorm will be hitting areas of Oklahoma, Texas and Arkansas. The snows will streak in here from west to east Wednesday and can only make it so far north. It is southern Kentucky that has the possibility of getting 4″ of snow out of this storm and for that reason we have upgraded the far southern and western counties to a Winter Storm Threat.
Here is a look at how this may play out…
Again… there should be an invisible wall across northern Kentucky that keeps the snow from coming very far to the north. I cannot tell you exactly where that sets up and those lines may go north or south over the next 24 hours. Let’s see what trends we can gather from the radar trends and new computer runs later today and tonight.
I will update things again later today so check back. Take care.
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I would think the invisible wall would the the Kansas/Oklahoma border seeing as how it’s the freaking single digits in Kansas, yet there is heavy snow…….
Now I must say, had WE been in the single digits…..it would be virga…..How is this not getting suppressed by the arctic air and why is it falling apart when it goes southeast?
First
I am more interested in that high pressure that set up shop over Louisiana.
I am as well.
hey guys feeling rough lst 2 days, might take right upLEGENDS BAILEY thoughts, from jackson county south i see as high as 6-8 inches futher south better.
clay county my area 6 inches easy maybe a suprise ifd it comes down harder and hangs on a tad longer.
The snow dome has played a bend, but don’t break defense this winter.
Why so Lincoln?
Sure that’s not a prevent? 🙂
Rolo hope it gets easier and I’m so glad to see you posting…..might I pick your brain to hear your thoughts on Johnson Co.?????
If you look at my latest update(click my name) you can see the 00z nor the 12z have this high on forecast..infact none of the models do from what i have seen.
But if you look at the current radar you will see a high in place over Louisiana just click this link
http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/currentweatherusnational/uscurrentweather_large.html
Rolo, does it help to know that you are in the thoughts and prayers of others as you go through this? I hope so, because you certainly are in the hearts of many! Take good care of yourself and please! Please stay in touch – I have been looking for your posts and wondering how you were doing, as I am sure others have been as well. Hang in there – remember, this, too, shall pass. Best wishes to you! E.J.
Hope you get to feeling better.What is your gut for snow in the Pikeville area?I am always the Fence on the fence lol.I would like to hear your input?If you need anything I mean it let me know.
hey rolo…hang in there man..:)
hmmmm…winter storm threat!!!??!!!…ummm, get excited…NO DONT GET EXCITED…ummmmmm EXCITED…NO I SAID !!! STAY WITH DARTH BUBBA ON THE DARK SIDE!!!….LOL…LOL…..B)
12z ECMWF run wetter more in line with NAM.
I asked the same questions – it just doesn’t make sense…
So since I am still no good at maps what’s this say for rockcastle? Rolo, praers r with u, if u need anything let us know ok. 🙂 sorry to hear u r feeling bad
Could you please elaborate on what that means?
Now lets wait for the sudden 100-150 mile northerly jump…oh, wait that would mean a big snow for CKY…nevermind…
Salina, KS forecast for today: Heavy snow with accumulations 8-12″, temperatures falling to near zero. Current temp 4° with heavy snow…so much for arctic suppression in KS!
What does all that mean?
My Grandparents live in Hays, KS, west of Salina. Current temperature: 1°, forecast for 4-8″…
So rolo you think Mckee and Annville in Jackson County could see some snow out of this??
hey ROLO, sorry to hear your feeling bad…hope you perk up soon..i am a fellow clay countian, and wish you the very best, and pray the Lord touches you and brings you through this to be stronger and healthier than ever..God bless you 🙂
i sure hope your prediction for us here in clay co. comes true!!!!
LOL!!!!!!
lame…
it shows close to .25 qpf along the ky/tn line with .1 qpf all the way north to 1-64. this would be 4 inches of snow for some in the south with an inch maybe 2 along I-64.
12z gfs ensembles continue the typical northward charge.
HE DON’T KNOW
when someone even posts to rolo, their spelling gets shot to pieces…lol. Wishing you well, rolo.
Dont think anybody is gonna get a big snow except Oklahoma, Texas and Arkansas as CB said.The Models all show when it starts moving east it loses it juice.For some reason it must not tap into that big body of water they call the Gulf.We need a Meteorologist to hang out here sometimes so we can bother them with Questions..he..he
Figures.
Lincoln doesn’t know what he’s talking about.. He just paraphrases what he has read from professional Mets blogs.
Told you guys earlier Southern KY would get around 6″.
Wonder how far north this one will end up???
Is the Kentucky Weather Chat down?
Must be banned
Would be really nice if that radar image out of OK would just keep trending straight eastward with no southern shift. The high lincoln was responding to earlier just may hold the key in supplying the moisture along with a more northern track.
Not agreeing with LMK or PAH on snow fall amounts. I have a map out, only its on my blog if you interested.
What little I know about weather/forecasting….circulation around a “H” is clock-wise….so perhaps more moisture and slight movement north of stated snow track…we will have to wait and see….
18Z NAM has trended about 50 mi. (estimate) over north central KY. The .10″ – .25″ stripe of total QPF is right along the lines of the Lou NWS WWA.
left out a key word lol… **north**.
Can you post this map showing this Michael please?
12Z NAM @ Hour 36
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/images/nam_pcp_036m.gif
18Z NAM @ Hour 30
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_pcp_030m.gif
Neil
No it wouldn’t. If there were a northwest turn the system would weaken once it got here…The HIGH totals KS/OK/AR are getting are not forecast for the south once it moves south of us. I guess the system falls apart or weakens as it gets to the south. I don’t see 10 inch totals forecast for the track of the storm once it exits the plains….I guess it’s just as well that it doesn’t come up this way, it would weaken out anyway if it did……OH well.
Oh a BRIGHTER note. Wichita season to date snow is 9.5 inches.
Jessica, your just a bundle of joy aren’t ya.
It appears again that the lou. area will be looking in from the outside. What a year of misery. Out of all these storms or events Lou. has been on the fringe or the models have been incorrect.
I try Mike…, but I’m just being honest, he pretends he knows everything about weather, but doesn’t know jack..lol Someone ask him about his map, he said he was pointing one out later tonight.. of course he is, he’s waiting for CB and other mets put their maps out, so he can sorta copy them…lol
I just took a peak at the nat’l radar,and it is snowing almost to the mo.&iowa border. If the storm continue its east to west jog lou. would be the epic center for this event. Unfortunately Louisville is the place where snow storm come to die.
Chasity bans a lot of the girls..guess she dosen’t like it when the men give other ladies attention.. well that’s what i was told…lol
Um, I am not sure what you are looking at, but the 18Z NAM did NOT trend north. It is almost identical to the 12Z run with the highest amounts along and SOUTH of the Cumberland Parkway.
NAM has jumped way further north in total precip values.
Thanks! I don’t see a difference though 🙁 Hope I’m missing something…
Can you post some comparisons please? Numbers, maps, anything…
It’s on my blog, but here.
12z run
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/images/nam_p48_072l.gif
18z run
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_p48_066l.gif
That’s simply not true. If she bans someone, it’s well deserved.
But even Nashville is only under a WWA and they are only expecting a couple of inches. With that, how could southern KY see up to four inches?
Guess you need a new source, Covingtonky, because you were sadly misinformed. 🙂
chris: snow still more than 24 hours away from JKL CWA needs to be within 24 hours for an advisory.
Well i’m just going on what some girls had said a couple of months back.. They has said, she’s jealous of female chatters…lol
GEEZ. They get snow North, south, east, and west! Central Ky is always left out!!! Anyway I’m thinking about going to Gatlinburg this wkend anyone know what kind of snow they might get out of this storm???
Rolo hope you get to feeling better soon:)
I am in western Pulaski so I have high hopes for the white stuff landing in my yard. Rolo, just wondering do you think with the cold air in place, Somerset has a good chance for a higher snow ratio? Thanks..
Actually I only said that, because I was doing homework and didn’t have the time. Because, I go to UK. Why you gotta bash someone who does amateur weather?
Lol, their is like 20 people on the chat right now..Like 11 of them are girls.. Lol Don’t really think thats true. Plus only 1 person has ever been banned
So if the run is farther to the north, does that mean where I’m at will get hammered or not? Thanks…
Some of the weather talk gets me confused…. LOL
Rolo, Hope you feel better soon….
One feels big and strong behinds ones computer screen.
If you pull up the 12Z NAM and look at the northern extent of the precip @ 36 hours, and do the same for the 18Z NAM @ 30 hours, there is subtle movement north. 12Z just south of river @ louisville, 18Z along and just north.