Good evening, everybody. Your friendly weatherdude is dropping by for another update on the back to back systems rolling our way. Both of these can deliver winter weather to Kentucky and some of the surrounding areas.

To be honest, I’ve seen nothing to change my thoughts on either of these systems. The first one will impact our weather Sunday evening through Monday morning with heavy rain, some light snow and a swath of heavier snow.

I’m keeping this for now…

I will put together a First Call For Snowfall map later tonight. This setup is a bit tricky because there’s going to be a ton of moisture and temps are marginal for snow. Throw in dynamic cooling and you could be talking about a sneaky thumper trying to show up for some.

It’s as if the late afternoon run of the EURO copied my snow homework…

Plus, we do have a spread still showing up in some of the models. The NAM is back to showing snow in southeastern Kentucky and has some snow in the far west…

That’s something the HI RES NAM has been showing for a while now and it continues to bridge the gap between the two…

The short range model known as the HRRR is similar looking…

The GFS has a totally different look and is now the odd man out…

Remember, that model still thinks it didn’t snow 2″ in central Kentucky on the last day of November. It apparently cannot see any semblance of dynamic cooling. Sad.

The GFS Ensembles is the average of 21 runs and doesn’t look like the GFS…

So you can see on that how the ENSEMBLES are a little farther north with the snow potential. This actually matches up with the SREF (Short Range Ensembles Forecast)…

The next system brings rain, snow and a mix at us Tuesday night through Thursday morning. This will likely put down accumulating snows, but specifics are yet to be determined.

I will update all this later tonight. Enjoy the rest of the evening and take care.