Good Sunday to one and all. Our active pattern is kicking off with a tough of frozen precipitation early today as we get set to turn our attention toward rounds of heavy rain. This sets up shop later tonight into Monday and may cause local high water issues to develop. Another system then works in quickly behind this one, but has much more of a snow look to it.

Let’s begin things with a look at what’s happening to start our day. A period of freezing rain or a wintry mix is likely across the northern half of the state and can very well lead to slick travel conditions developing. It doesn’t take much ice to cause big issues, so stay alert if you’re driving this morning. Here are your radars to track whatever is falling…

A little light rain takes over  this afternoon with a big north-south temp gradient setting up.

Heavy rain and a few thunderstorms then develop late tonight through Monday night. Odds continue to favor widespread 1″-3″ rains that can cause a few issues. I’ve made no changes to the rainfall map I first put out a few days ago…

The models continue to be aggressive with the rain totals…

GFS

CANADIAN

NAM

EURO

Once this blows through, we have no time to waste before the next storm rolls in here. This one has a different look in that it is farther to the south and southeast, allowing for colder air and snow to develop in our region.

The GFS continues to have the same signal it’s had for the past several days…

So has the Canadian…

EURO

The GFS Ensembles are very excited about the potential. Here’s the average snow numbers from now through Thursday…

As you can see, we have a lot to track through the week ahead. This is a loaded pattern with plenty of precipitation targeting our region and it’s likely to last through the rest of winter and into early spring.

I will see you guys for updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.