Good Wednesday, everyone. A decent round of snow is in store for much of the state today through tonight as low pressure works just to our south. With accumulating snow taking control from west to east, travel conditions go downhill quickly, especially as temps crash into the 20s this evening. Behind all this comes a complex and messy looking system this weekend and early next week.
Here are a few thoughts on the current snow setup:
- Light snow breaks out across western Kentucky from late morning into the early afternoon.
- This snow works into central Kentucky by the middle of the afternoon, then overspreads the rest of the state into the evening.
- An enhanced band of snow is likely to show up within 50 miles on either side of Interstate 64 from southern Indiana through central Kentucky. As this band expands across central and eastern Kentucky, it arcs more toward the southeast.
- Within this overall area, a general 1″-4″ of snow likely shows up. There’s the chance for a few spots to come in just over this if everything comes together just right.
- Farther southeast, we may get some higher totals along the Virginia border counties, especially in the mountains.
- A coating to 2″ amounts show up across the far north and northeast and areas of western and south central Kentucky.
- As temps crash into the 20s early Wednesday evening, roads will likely ice up with some snow on top of that.
- Winds will also be super gusty and that gives us a wind chill that can drop into the single digits at times by Thursday morning. Actual lows reach the teens for some.
Here’s the NEW CALL FOR SNOWFALL…
I will put out the Last Call For Snowfall by Noon or so today.
The GFS has the most widespread snowfall of all the current models, but has a super sharp cutoff in the north…
The EURO is also strongly trending in that direction…
The short range model known as the HRRR has a similar look…
So does another short range model known as the RAP…
The Canadian is also on the snow train…
The Short Range Canadian…
The NAM Fam isn’t as enthusiastic, but still has some nice snows…
We also have to start really focusing on the setup for the weekend and early next week. This has the potential to become a major Ohio Valley winter storm and that could very well mean a lot of different weather here in Kentucky.
The initial surge of precipitation from this moves in late Saturday into Saturday night and may very well become a thumper snow, sleet and freezing rain event. It’s actually been many years since we’ve had a front end setup like this. For our far northern Kentucky/Cincy friends, this one may pop your snow bubble in a nice way (Assuming today’s heaviest snow stays just to your south).
All of this would go over to rain on Sunday, then we go back to snow. snow showers and snow squalls Sunday night and Monday.
The models all have the above signal, but we are getting the typical model variance with each run and from run to run…
GFS
CANADIAN
EURO
I’ll see you around Noon with the next update. Have a good one and take care.
Temperatures are beginning to increase in Europe and the Southern edge of Siberia, while the temperatures are decreasing in a large area of Canada. Temperatures may be returning to where they were earlier in the Winter. It’s just like a “see saw.”
Looking at the accumulation predictions of Snow for this afternoon it is better to be Northwest, Northeast, East and Southeast with the Western and South Central left out once again, but with the Arctic air building maybe our chances will come in February ?
Test. My comments won’t post.
Winterlover has it right. There is a dome over WKY. No measurable snowfall in over a year. My def of a good snow is it’s only a good snow if you need the 4×4.
I think the dome is the high pressure often called the Southeast Ridge.
I got spoiled with the one foot plus Snowstorms of the past.