Good afternoon, everyone. Snow is getting ready to return later this evening and will really kick into high gear overnight into Monday. That’s when low pressure winds up to our east with rounds of snow, moderate to heavy at times, drop in from the north and northwest. This looks like a healthy total snowfall for much of the state.

The future radars from the NAM and Hi Res NAM show this whole setup very well…

Hi Res NAM from 7pm tonight through 7pm Tuesday…

On the above animation, you can see how the snow flexes on a couple of occasions, early Monday then again Monday evening and Monday night. You can also see a connection to Lake Michigan showing up on that late Tuesday. This would keep flurries and snow showers going into Wednesday and the NAM shows this well on this animation that goes through 7am Wednesday…

Here’s my NEW CALL FOR SNOWFALL through Tuesday morning…

Again, that’s through Tuesday morning and not just the first wave coming tonight and Monday. Now, there’s a chance for some areas to hit the over on those totals as the models tend to underestimate setups like this, especially in the east and southeast.

Speaking of the models, here are the latest runs…

Hi Res NAM…

NAM

EURO

CANADIAN

Short Range Canadian

The GFS looks too far east like it’s been with most snow systems this winter…

A Winter Weather Advisory is out for much of the region and there’s a chance the southeast hits Warning level snows, especially in the higher elevations.

The setup later in the week into next weekend continues to be one to watch as arctic air gets involved in the pattern around here. This could lead to a couple big winter weather events from next weekend into the following week…

CANADIAN

GFS

I will drop by for another update later this evening, so check back. Until then, here are your radars to follow the change to snow in from the northwest…

Enjoy the final hours of the month and take care.