Good Tuesday to one and all. The steady snows that have blanketed much of the state for the past few days are winding down as a few snow showers and flurries hang around. The pattern that follows all this features arctic air and the potential for additional snow systems. The extreme winter option is also on the table later this weekend and early next week.

Let’s start things out with the current setup then roll forward. Roads are a mess across central and eastern Kentucky to start this Groundhog Day. Many roads are snow covered and slick as the flakes continue to fly across the east and southeast. As the main snow shield winds down, we will see some breaks in the clouds before a little flurry and snow shower action builds back in from the northwest.

Here are your radars…

A few flurries may even stick around into Wednesday as the flow is off Lake Michigan.

A strong cold front will then target the region Thursday night and early Friday. Rain will be alone and ahead of the front with a quick shot of some light snow behind it…

The setup after this will feature a mega arctic front dropping in here later Saturday into early Sunday. This is likely to have a wave of low pressure along it as another low pops near the east coast. If you want the ultimate storm, you would want those two to fully hookup. That would make for the extreme solution, but isn’t the most likely scenario at the moment.

This arctic front will likely produce a decent snowfall across our region as it moves through. This is snow in arctic air, so you get insane ratios and also some big time winds.

Here’s the GFS…

The Canadian…

The EURO now has a similar setup, but has MUCH more interaction with a storm along the east coast and is close to being the extreme solution…

All three models are faster moving that through because they have a system quickly coming in behind it and another behind that…

GFS

The models are going to struggle with timing and magnitude issues with each of these systems, so I wouldn’t be banking on any one solution coming to pass.

If we do in fact get quicker moving systems, it would keep the core of the cold front fulling dropping in here. Here’s the GFS for Monday morning lows…

Wind chills…

Canadian temps are a day later, but still brutal…

Once again, I will cheer on any scenario that results in not as much cold anywhere in the country. Of course, the weather will have the final say about what happens… As it always does.

I’ll see you for updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.