Good evening, folks. A touch of a wintry mix and rain continues to push across the region as a strong cold front works through. This is part of a loaded winter pattern that looks to kick into high gear over the weekend through next week.
Let’s start with the precipitation moving through here. The initial mix changes to rain then ends as a touch of wintry stuff later tonight. Here are your radars…
With temps falling quickly through the 20s, watch for slick spots developing late tonight.
The setup for late Saturday into Sunday looks to feature more of a storm system coming together, similar to what the models had a few days ago. The trend is to get the two systems to get closer and closer together.
Here’s the future radar from the Hi Res NAM through 1am Sunday…
The NAM…
The GFS also has a better look…
As is, all three of those models put down decent accumulating snows across areas of southern and eastern Kentucky.
The hits don’t stop there. Here’s the GFS with the next system later Tuesday and Wednesday…
The model continues to point toward a much bigger storm later in the week…
That continues to be the system that fully unlocks the bitterly cold air behind it. The GFS has been spitting out some absurd low temps. This is for 3 consecutive days on that run…
Again, that’s just one run of one model, but the trend for a period of bitterly cold air continues to show up strongly on all models.
I will see you guys for a full update tonight. Have a good one and take care.
Figured we would start seeing this with the Arctic air.This is for next week.Of course it will change but just something on the table.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=zr_acc&rh=2021020418&fh=186&r=us_ov&dpdt=&mc=
After seeing that, Please more 33 degree rain.
Will WKY finally get a significant snow….
Just check the Ventusky Site, the Arctic Air is beginning to enter the North Central Plains. Not the full load of Arctic Air but very cold Air is heading South into the US.
Maybe now we will have some phasing with the Subtropical jet Stream with the Polar Jet Stream and Western and Central Kentucky will get their first big Snowstorm of the Winter season ?
This may be the best chance for this to happen.
All I see is ice on the model runs above next week.
A pattern loaded for ice.
If those model runs prevail I hope it is sleet rather than Fz. rain.
Been a strange winter.We’ve had a -NAO,-AO pretty much all winter.I guess the pacific has killed us..With that combination should of been some big snowstorms if the pacific would had cooperated.Seems like anymore gotta have 10 different things to align perfectly to get snow.
CB, not seeing much snow. Seems big ice perhaps more likely than big snow. Longest gap in about a century for no big KY ice event.