Good afternoon, folks. Old Man Winter dropped the hammer on parts of southeastern Kentucky last night with several inches of snow falling on that part of the state. As expected, totals really dropped off to the north and west. Now we turn our attention toward the arctic front moving in and stalling out for the week ahead. This brings rounds of winter weather into our region.

The exact placement and oscillations of this boundary will be key in determining precipitation type on any particular day. Snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain will all likely show up across the state at some point in the week ahead and even into the following week. The last thing we want to get in on is freezing rain. Let’s either hope this boundary goes farther south to give us snow or farther north to give us rain. Ice is a big no no.

Unfortunately, the models continue to show the potential for freezing rain on more than one occasion.

The GFS continues to throw sooooooooo many systems at us from Monday night through early the following week…

Here’s the total amount of liquid equivalent of each precipitation type during this same time frame…

One thing to keep in mind is that models do NOT handle arctic air very well at all, especially on the placement of it. This air is low-level and it’s dense and that makes for tough sledding on computer models. You guys haven’t seen me post too much from the EURO of late because it’s having some serious issues. It continues to exhibit wild run to run swings because of the arctic air and because it can’t handle energy coming from the southwest.

#TeamSpring continues to mobilize. Join us.

I will have another update on all this later this evening and on WKYT tonight after the Super Bowl. Yep, you read that correctly.

Have a good one and take care.