Good Thursday to one and all. It’s another dry day in the bluegrass state as a weak cold front drops in from the northeast. This has zero moisture to work with, but it will bring a seasonable brand of chill over the next few days. This will be followed by a case of spring fever and highlights some big temp swings setting up into the middle of the month.

The forecast through the weekend hasn’t changed, so let’s look beyond that.

Next week features a big ridge of high pressure flexing across the eastern half of the country, bringing much milder air into Kentucky. Temps can make a run at 70 on a few occasions. By the second half of the week, we are likely to see a bowling ball looking upper low work across the Mississippi Valley with potential severe weather into the region.

Is this a true start to spring? No.

We may very well see a mid-month return of winter in this part of the world.

The EURO Ensembles are certainly trending in that direction. Watch how next week’s ridge gets replaced by a trough into the following week…

The control run of the EURO Ensembles is even stronger with the trough…

The pattern may then turn wetter again by from late next week into the following week. The EURO Ensembles rainfall over the next 2 weeks…

If you consider it doesn’t rain around here for the first week of that, those are some big numbers for week two.

The same can be said of the GFS Ensembles…

The Ensembles are also indicating the potential for some flake action in that second week…

EURO

GFS

#TeamSpring says no thanks. 😎

Have a great day and take care.