Good Monday, everyone. We have another winner of a weather day taking shape across Kentucky, but a stormier setup is on the way. The late week pattern is the focus as it could easily produce strong to severe storms around our neck of the woods.
Today is likely the only day of the week we don’t have something showing up on radar, so make sure you get out and enjoy it. Temps will be around 70 degrees for highs.
One cold front works our way and slows down before it can fully get in here later Tuesday and Wednesday. It will get close enough to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms.
As the front slows, a potent storm system develops along the southern end of it in the lower Mississippi Valley. From there, this look likely works up the Mississippi Valley before hooking toward the Great Lakes late Thursday and Friday.
The EURO continues to give the most threatening severe weather look as it develops a powerhouse of a low pressure to our west…
That’s forecasting a 977mb surface low into central Illinois. 😯
The wind gust map from that run certainly matches what a storm like that could produce…
The average of the 51 member EURO Ensembles is also spitting out a potent low pressure…
The Canadian Model is also showing a strong low pressure taking on a similar track…
If we get that strong of a storm system to take a track like that, it would allow a lot of warm, moist and unstable air into our region. That could lead to a healthy severe weather event. If the low is weaker and farther south and east, the severe weather threat lowers substantially.
I will throw you another update later today. Have a good one and take care.