Good Monday, folks. We have quite the weather week kicking off as things start more like what we should be seeing, but Old Man Winter looks to flex one last time. Yep, the threat for a rare late April sticking snow is there for Tuesday night and early Wednesday.

Temps out there today are fairly pleasant into the 60-65 degree range with skies becoming partly sunny. There’s the slight chance for a morning shower to start things out, so keep that in mind.

A powerhouse of a cold front gets ready to slam in here Tuesday night and early Wednesday, taking us from spring to winter. Here are some thoughts on this:

  • Temps on Tuesday make a run at 70 as southwest winds gust up ahead of the front.
  • Showers and a rumble of thunder works through ahead of the front late Tuesday into Tuesday evening.
  • Temps drop some 30 degrees behind the front as winds crank to 30mph or a little better.
  • A few areas of light snow and flurries may show up behind the front.
  • Light accumulations may very well show up with this, especially on grassy and elevated surfaces. If we can measure more than a Trace, it would be the one of the latest measurable snowfalls ever recorded in many cities.
  • A northwest wind will then cause a few rain and snow showers to develop early Wednesday and this may last into the afternoon across the east.
  • Temps will be in the low 30s to start Wednesday and may only get into the low and mid 40s across central and eastern Kentucky. Wind chills will be about as low as you can get this time of year. Wind chills may bottom out around 20 degrees early Wednesday.
  • A freeze is a good bet by Thursday morning with lows reaching the upper 20s for some.

I really can’t believe I’m doing this at this point in the calendar year, but let’s take a look at the snowfall maps from the various models. I’m using the Kuchera Ratio Method for this setup…

Hi Res NAM

NAM

CANADIAN

EURO

GFS

Folks, I’ve been at this for a number of years and this is the first time I’ve seen models showing accumulating snows this late in Spring. Again, if we measure more than a Trace, this will go down in the history books as one of the latest actual snowfalls on record around here.

There’s a possibility I have to put out a First Call For Snowfall map later today. 🙄

On a brighter note, don’t be surprised if temps make a run at 80 next week. 😎

On another note, I see NOAA has released their Seasonal Drought Outlook through July…

That pretty much matches the trend of the past decade with the west in a perpetual drought and our region with normal to excessive rains. Outside of the flash drought of September 2019 (that was wiped out in October), we haven’t had much to talk about in a long, long time. I’m sure that won’t keep the Drought Monitor worshippers from yelling drought any time we go 3 straight days without rain. 😋 I kid, I kid… Kinda. 😤

Make it a great day and take care.