Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s another very warm day across the Commonwealth, but this time it comes with a few thunderstorms going up. There’s the chance for a few strong to severe storms from late afternoon into tonight with another low-end risk for Thursday. This may be a signal of things to come as we head into the first full week of May.

Temps today range from the upper 70s to low 80s with a gusty southwest wind and clouds on the increase. A few storms develop this afternoon, but the concern is for a few strong to severe storm clusters to develop this evening into the wee hours of Thursday.

Here’s the area the Storm Prediction Center has outlined for a low risk for severe weather…

This risk focuses a little farther to the east on Thursday…

Damaging winds and large hail are the main players, but we will also have to watch the local flash flood threat. A corridor of 2″-4″ rains may try to set up somewhere across our region. Parts of the state are under a Flash Flood Watch across, but some of the models are south of where the initial watch is…

GFS

CANADIAN

This action clears out for a cooler Kentucky Oaks Day with temps in the 60s for many. Kentucky Derby Day is looking warmer now with temps upper 30s to low 40s to start and low and middle 70s during the afternoon. Derby Day will be a winner.

Temps spike to around 80 by Sunday and into early next week as humidity enters the mix for the first time this spring. The resulting pattern should turn stormy with rounds of thunderstorms a good bet…

The EURO isn’t shy with rainfall totals through the middle of next week…

I will have updates as needed. As always, I leave you with your storm tracking tools…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great Wednesday and take care.