Good Friday, folks. We continue to watch a strong cold front dropping in from the north and northwest tonight into Saturday. This brings the potential a severe storms threat to the northern half of the state.
At the same time, our tropical system in the Gulf continues to work toward the coast as we track another deep trough coming in behind this system. Shew… It’s busy.
Temps recover out there today on a strong southwest wind. Humidity levels also climb ahead of the front that will have widespread severe weather to our north and northwest. We will be on the southern edge of the threat that gets into the northern half of the state. Here’s the current outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…
That threat diminishes into Saturday, but sinks a little farther south…
This front slows down on top of the region as what’s left of our tropical system likely passes to our south and southeast. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…
Our September pattern flexes again next week as an even deeper trough works in here by later Monday or Tuesday. This comes in behind a very strong cold front that can touch off strong storms ahead of it…
Temps behind this go back to well below normal through the rest of the week…
The numbers look even cooler than what we’ve had this week. The GFS is forecasting lows that could challenge records…
That’s probably a little too chilly, but it gives you an idea of just how cool this air really is.
Let me also say this, the pattern I see setting up after this September shot may turn super stormy around this entire region. File that one away for a week and change from now.
I leave you with your tracking tools for the day…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Make it a great Friday and take care.
An area of showers and T-storms is moving from NW to SE through the Chicago area this early morning. Some of the storms have heavy rain, but there isn’t any severe weather occurring with this activity.
Whenever there is the potential for severe weather in any given location, I always visit the CAPE on the Ventusky. The J/kg is projecting cloud tops around 4000 to 5000 in North central Illinois and central Indiana. Late this afternoon is the best chance for thunderstorms in these areas, but this is just their forecast.
The weather here in central Kentucky where I live has been beautiful and I hope it remains through the rest of the Summer months.
We will be needing rain soon and the best chance is on Monday according to the local forecast.
Northwest flow is your friend during the summer months.
Today is going to be a wild day of weather here in south-central Indiana with a high of 95°F and heat indices of 100-105°F. We are under an enhanced risk for severe weather and they are saying damaging winds, large hail, a few tornadoes and flash flooding are all going to be on the table with flash flooding being the main concern overnight.
I doubt we will get there but if it hits 97°F this afternoon it would be the hottest day here since August 8, 2012. I’m a little surprised the NWS didn’t issue heat advisories, but I’m guessing it’s because they don’t expect widespread heat index values of 105 which is the criteria for issuing it here. Either way though it’s going to be very hot and a miserable day if you have to be outside.