Good Tuesday, everyone. We continue with an early fall feel across the Commonwealth and this sets in through the week. Something else setting in is an upper level low spinning right on top of us, bringing an increasing chance for some showers.

This pattern is every bit as cool as advertised and is giving us more of a mid-late September feel. Look at some of those Monday morning lows…

That’s impressive for what is climatologically the hottest time of the year.

Temps are back in the 50s this morning with afternoon temps ranging from the upper 70s to low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. As our upper level low starts to crank, a few showers and storms will fire to our east and may back toward the west into eastern Kentucky. Confusing, huh?

Here are your radars to follow along…

The threat for a few showers and storms then works a little bit to the west into Wednesday and that shows up on the models. Here are the rain numbers through Wednesday…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

Temps continue to slowly climb through the end of the week with some scattered showers and storms. That’s a trend likely to take us into the upcoming weekend, but I don’t see a ton of rain from this setup at all.

The numbers are likely to take off early next week with 90 degrees potentially showing up for several days. That’s ahead of another change lurking by the end of the week into the middle of the month. The models are just now starting to see the trough potential following up the toasty temps…

GFS

CANADIAN

That trough is likely to grow deeper in the coming days.

Make it a great Tuesday and take care.