Good Saturday, everyone. It’s a much better feeling weekend across Kentucky, but the focus of the forecast is on just how active things are becoming. A stalled front will spawn scattered showers and storms through the weekend, then tropical moisture from Fred could drench parts of the state in the coming week.

Our front slows down across the region today and this will lead to some scattered showers and storms going up. The greatest risk is across southern Kentucky through the afternoon. Here are your radars…

The front then slowly returns back to the north later tonight and Sunday and there may be a weak disturbance along it. This opens the door for rounds of showers and storms to kick in and continue through early in the week. This shows up well on the NAM through Monday night…

Tropical moisture is streaming in here well in advance of Fred down in the Gulf of Mexico, so local flooding issues will be possible. This will especially be the case as what’s left of Fred works toward our region and may move right on top of Kentucky.

The track from the National Hurricane Center is showing what we’ve been talking about for days…

cone graphic

The track keeps bending toward the west and this will give Fred a better chance of becoming a hurricane before making landfall.  The latest hurricane models are all showing this farther west track into the Florida Panhandle and then are tightly clustered on a track into Kentucky…

That would bring tropical moisture through Wednesday and could result in some issues. Behind this will come another cold front with showers and storms continuing for the end of the week.

That’s when we are likely to be dealing with Grace approaching the southeast. Here’s the latest on this system to be…

Did I mention this pattern was going to be active?

Make it a great day and take care.