2:30pm Update
Good afternoon everyone. First off… a BIG thanks for all the reports over the past few days. I have said it many times… but you guys are the backbone of this blog and I appreciate each of you. We have a heck of a weather family here and it is growing by the day. Thanks for all you do.
Snows will slowy wind down over the next few hours in eastern Kentucky. Some flurries or snow showers will be possible later tonight and early Thursday before a clipper moves in for Friday. I will have a new “look ahead” post coming up a bit later.
Take care.
11:30pm
Good late Wednesday morning everyone. The snows are winding down across central Kentucky right now with reports of up to 4″ in some spots. Western Kentucky has been the big snow winner so far with around 6″ for some.
The snow in eastern Kentucky is a thorn in my side as it has been like pulling teeth to get the rain to change to snow in some areas. Parts of eastern Ky have already picked up 2″ of snow as others are just now seeing their first flakes. What a storm gives… it also takes away. Central and western Ky gets in on more snow than originally called for while the east gets less. Such is the life of forecasting snow around here… especially when dealing with a rain to snow situation. That is my kryptonite. lol
Snow will continue across eastern and southeastern Kentucky into late this afternoon. Areas that have yet to see snow will eventualy get in on the action. Just not as much of the action as I thought.
More updates as needed… take care.
8:30am Update
Good morning again. I wanted to throw a few more cams your way this morning…
Richmond
Somerset
Your weather dude needs to rest a bit as he has a long day ahead of him at his real job… you know… the one that pays the bills.
More updates later. Until then… keep doing your thing and post the weather where you live. Take care.
7am Update
Good morning everyone. The snow line is slowing working across eastern and southeastern Kentucky this morning. It is a few hours slower than I thought in doing so… but it is making steady progress. Moderate to heavy bands of snow have been setting up across much of central Kentucky overnight and continue this morning.
Deepening low pressure heading toward the Carolinas will now help in the rain to snow switch in the east. It is also the eastern part of the state that will see the heaviest precipitation today. It wasn’t until the daylight hours that we said to expect the bulk of the snow in this region anyway. The short range RUC model as well as the new GFS and NAM runs continue to show a very heavy, wet snowfall for the eastern half of the state with the highest totals in the southeast.
For central and western Kentucky… the snow will slowly diminish through the day from west to east. Parts of central Kentucky around the I-75 corridor will likely pick up a few more inches with another inch or so possible back near I-65 before the snows shut off.
Keep posting the weather where you live and take care.
3am Update
Ok… I am calling it a night. Here is hoping each of you get the snow you want out of this.Some parts of western Kentucky have already picked up 4″-6″ of wet snow. For the folks in parts of central and eastern Ky… stay patient as most of your snows will fall during the day. That is especially true along and east of I-75.
More updates will come your way as needed or as I wake up. Take care.
Previous Update
Good Wednesday everyone. Our winter storm is in progress across the state and all we can do is track it and do some “nowcasting”. That is where you come into play in giving us ground truth on what’s going on out there. That is better than any fancy computer model or radar, so it’s all on you.
I have this blog set up with the tools you need to track the storm. Before we get to the toys… here are some thoughts from your friendly weather dude.
– By the time you are reading this… most areas will have switched over to snow (though I will likely have another update or two by then ). The last place to make the switch should be across the valleys of southeastern Kentucky.
– Snow will end by mid morning in the west and work east from there reaching far eastern parts of the state by late afternoon or early evening.
– Low pressure will track into northeastern Tennessee early today and will enhance the snow across central and eastern Kentucky this morning into the early afternoon. Snowfall rates of 1″-2″ per hour will be possible.
– This will be a very heavy, wet snow that will cling to everything. Areas that get more than 5″ may have some issues with powerlines and trees due to the weight of the snow.
– Snowfall accumulations today will be greatest across the south and east with lighter amounts to the north. Here is the final call map I put out Tuesday afternoon…
There is likely to be a heck of a sharp cutoff to accumulating snows on the northern and northwestern sides. Will the forecast work out for everyone? Nope… it never does as it is impossible to make one forecast that will cover every single town and city. That is especially true since this is a wet snow coming after a rainy start and with temps around freezing.
You can follow along with this storm with our tracking toys…
Current Temps
Lexington
Louisville
Pikeville
Harlan
E-Town
Bowling Green
Northern Ky/Covington
Ashland
– Snow showers and flurries will be with us later tonight into Thursday.
– A clipper will bring a round of light snow streaking in from the northwest Thursday night and Friday.
– Another front may arrive on the scene this weekend.
– The stage is set for another possible storm during the first half of next week. That is likely to be followed by a major plunge of arctic air.
Ok… the blog is all yours now. Post the weather from where you live and take care.
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
Roll call please …………..
Roll call please …………..
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Still pouring rain in Ashland, hope it switches over soon, seems like we’ve been getting skipped over on about every system this year.
0130 and absolutely NOTHING in north Madison near Clays Ferry.
First? Morehead still hasn’t switched. Nothing but rain. I was soooo wanting snow. I even let the kids stay up late because I though there would be no snow. This house is gonna be full of grumpies in the morning. lol
Mike THANK YOU for not typing that idiotic ‘First’. Hope you switch over soon there in Ashland
FOLKS,you will get your snow. It’s not a bust. Snow isnt suppose to work into east ky until morning
Thought there would be no school. Sorry. It’s late and I am “snow frustrated”
Light rain in Clay County.
BUST!
I’m right with you on the frustration level.
HEAVY snow and 33 degrees F in northern Hart Co. along. I-65 about halfway between Louisville and Bowling Green.
Where are you located Todd?
38 in Corbin……….no rain or snow………
My regular thermometer says 34f and my digital one say 42f. I am in Nicholasville, what would cause this. They are in the same general area.
Jake
Does it look like South Central KY/Adair County is going to get anything from this or will it just switch over later?
Where in Corbin are you? I am near black diamond and it is raining pretty good here????
My call this morning was dusting to 1 inch. Been sticking with it all day. Even though I was a bit concerned when precip went further north than expected. Dry slot over Jefferson Co. saved my call of inch or under…
it is still 40 degree in letcher co and no rain or nothing.
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
It’s raining here now……I’m near Davis Salvage
dusting now in Bowling green roads becoming slushy quick.
It’s amazing to watch that dry hole dance over Louisville in the radar loop.
Roll call please …………..
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Roll call please …………..
Roll call please …………..
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Roll call please …………..
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Roll call please …………..
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Roll call please …………..
Well just finished watching Secretariat and looked out hoping to find snow flying in Bath County. No such luck still rain. Anyway the movie was good. Guess I’ll just have to wait till morning to see the snow fly. Good night to all 🙂
started sticking in Radcliff at 0200 it is snowing moderatly now. 32 degrees so here we go.
Pretty snow is falling in Bowling Green…I love it!
Well I just finished watching Secretariat, which was very good, and looked out to see if snow was flying here in Bath county yet. No such luck still moderate rain with maybe a tiny bit of snow mixed in. Not really enough to even mention. Oh well I guess I’ll just have to wait till morning to see the snow. Have a good night and stay safe guys read ya in the morning 🙂
38 and rain in Pikeville.
Well just finished watching Secretariat and looked out hoping to find snow flying in Bath County. No such luck still rain. Anyway the movie was good. Guess I’ll just have to wait till morning to see the snow fly. Good night to all 🙂
Just rain here in Manchester. It is getting colder though.
Was just out on UK’s campus again… very calm right now. Hope that will change soon.
So should there be a decent snow on for the morning commute in South Central KY/Adair County?
Currently 41* in Harlan right now. I’ve had only a small amount of rain so far. Hoping to wake to colder temps. and lots of snow.
Thanks Chris for all the time and hard work that you put into keeping us informed. It is greatly appreciated.
KSP stated about 10min ago…I-65 becoming snow covered in Hardin Co. Also roads across southern Hardin are becoming covered. Dry slot across north-central KY now starting to fill in…about time.
The dry slot is finally filling in!! Wow it just sat there for at least 3 hours in the same spot! I have a friend in Tell City, Indiana…about 10 miles north and they have 2inches already to our NONE! Hopefully we can catch up here in Meade County!
Maybe…maybe not. Good band coming up from the south. This will impact Jefferson Co between 3-5AM.
Chris thanks for the 3am update its 37 in Pikeville with rain.Thanks for all you do.
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
37 light rain in London 93% humidity looking good for early morning Snow if that temp can go down about 4 degrees or so
snow just picked back up in downtown louisville. have a dusting here already.
Hope I’m wrong here, but beginning to look like another huge bust here in central KY! At 4am still 34 and rain in Wilmore…
Final numbers from this way
southern Illinois – nothing in most areas to a dusting to 1″ at best in a few locations – near the Ohio River. Far western KY – a dusting to 1″ at best in Ballard – McCracken – Carlisle – Hickman – and Fulton Counties. 1-2″ in Graves County. 1-2″ in Livingston County – isolated pocket of 4-5″ near Owensboro. Waiting to hear on some of the other counties. Just too far east this time around for many of us way out west here. Maybe next time. We keep saying that and hoping for a storm to hit. We still have Feb!
@ 4am in Laurel County 39 with heavy rain. If the rain doesn’t change to snow soon I think we will need a boat instead of snow shovels
FIST SIZED SNOWFLAKES FALLING!
Send them to me in Pikeville.It is trying to sleet in Pikeville wonder when we will go over to snow???
4:30 AM at Lower Twin Creek in Breathitt County. 38 degrees and steady rain
Rain in nicholasville at 5am. No snow for me at all. Amazing….
I know Neil!
So close, yet so far away!
Hmmm…is this thing gonna hit Jessamine county or what? Trying to decide if I should have my husband take my 4 wheel drive to work, which will mean I’ll have to cancel an appointment in Lexington this morning. Just thick rain falling here now.
5:30am in London, heavy rain, 39 degrees at my house, wondering if this will change over, if so look out !!
Changeover happening in Johnson County just as expected. Hoping for lots of snow today 🙂
Those western Ky. people stole our snow.I guess it’s partially us central and eastern Ky. folks fault. We were all pulling for the low to go more west that we pulled to hard,lol. Now we got a cold rain. Who would have thought. I hope all the kids did their homework instead of thinking there would be no school. But seriously though, how come the dynamic cooling did not take place?
As of 5:30AM, just rain in Somerset. I’m really disappointed!
Snowing heavily at my crib in Louisville metro. Have about an inch and the radar looks like it will last a while longer. Chris called this when all other mets were calling for nothing and/or rain days ago. We aren’t going to get a lot of snow and that is not the point. Chris called this snow event. Louisville mets changed their minds many times even as late as yesterday morning. One met waffled every hour the morning show was on. Good job CB.
Finally starting to snow in Lexington. We will definitely not be on the high end of the totals.
Snowing heavily at my crib in Louisville metro. Have about an inch and the radar looks like it will last a while longer. Chris called this when all other mets were calling for nothing and/or rain days ago. We aren’t going to get a lot of snow and that is not the point. Chris called this snow event. Louisville mets changed their minds many times even as late as yesterday morning. My wife called me and said one met waffled every hour the morning show was on. Good job CB.
Sorry for the double post. Ignore.
We’ve got between 3 to 4 inches here. Snow still steadily falling. The last hour has really started stacking up.
Snowing big flakes in Hustonville. Temps @ 34* here.
At 6am in Laurel County it is 37 degrees and heavy rain is still falling.
Rain has definitley picked up here in Harlan. Still at 41* though.
Snowing heavily in Lexington now…Jackson weather service just down graded to a winter weather advisory. Wondering if that was wise with the rate the snow is falling?
In Lexington the roads became covered in about 30 minutes. I never thought the snow was going to get here, but when it did it did damage pretty quickly. There should be a nice base on the ground before daylight now. That should help out totals.
Corbin just called off school. still raining. Hopefully when I wake back up there will be snow, because I we eally need to be in school. I would like a summer
Madison County just called off school. Guess it should start snowing here soon.
Snowing heavily in W Franklin Co. Temp is 30. Heavy snow and looks like more to come. About an inch right now.
Snowing HEAVILY in Adair County as of 5:15 A.M central. Roads covered and stacking up fast in the grass!!!!
Still pouring the rain in Corbin/Keavy area. They have already called off schools in advance though.
Okay, it just started snowing in north Madison. Yay!
Snowing hard in Lawrenceburg. Looks like about an inch so far, and still coming down.
Temp 31.6
Snow started about 1:30 am again, after switching from snow back to rain/sleet last night after midnight. I’m not measuring right now, but with the untrained eye I’d say about 2.5 inches so far on my deck and piling up fast, the snow is fine right now, but coming heavy and steady.
You got to love it when Madison Co. waits till everyone is up and showered and getting ready to head out the door for early morning bus duty to call off school…seriously? They didn’t know they were going to do this at 5 or 5:30 even? So frustrating, especially when they called off school Monday for flurries!
Snowing HEAVILY in Adair County. Roads covered and grassy areas acculmulating FAST!
Temp is 27, a solid 5-6 inches in my back yard in Owensboro–this has definitely been a shocker to most people in the area. CB’s thoughts and forecast were the opposite from many locally, but once again…
snow started mixing in here about 5:55 now its mainly snow, heavy wet flakes… looks like there is a heavy round of snow coming for the next hour or two!!! temp dropped from 35.7 at 5:45 to 34.3 at 6:27 should continue to drop to 32 at least… im very impressed with the mid 20’s out west maybe that can catch the back side oe our precip this afternoon and bring higher ratio’s
Just peeked outside; a dusting on the ground in S Fayette Co. near Delong Rd., outside temp flirting with freezing at 33. Had my fill of 2-hr-delays with EKU Richmond campus; just call it all off for the day! Need more snow! 😀
Beginning to snow in Mt. Sterling. Nothing special just plain old generic regular sized snow; maybe mixed with a little sleet.
Still waiting for the Memorable Snow of 2011
Nothing but rain here and 39 the clock is ticking
Nothing in north Richmond but the usual for these southern fed events. Though said I do not see it happening last night due temperatures, fact is I said 2″ to 4″ the day before, so will take my bust in stride. Not seeing how this stuff has a chance to accumulate now to make it to 2″. Heck, we have ZERO on the ground ATM.
At least it is not ice.
Snow started about 1:30 am again, after switching from snow back to rain/sleet last night after midnight. I’m not measuring right now, but with the untrained eye I’d say about 2.5 inches so far on my deck and piling up fast, the snow is fine right now, but coming heavy and steady. 28 degrees.
I agree completely. It just messes up everyone’s day because people that have to work and go to school, or do other things get in a jam with these 3-hour delays. I hope that we get enough snow for them to call off school completely.
Snow falling and snow shovel at the ready (AGAIN). Thank you Chris for your dedication to this blog. It is greatly appreciated.
Moderation nation:
How is THAT for irony? West was not a factor for beyond an inch or two for this system for days and then they get the most.
Appears the infamous southern fed 33/32 degree rule wins again for another big system. I did not see it happening last night due to temperature, but I did say 2″ to 4″ the day before. I will take my bust and use this event as another point of regression for future events. Not seeing how conditions are here for accumulations for 2″.
Forget getting on the Imperial Destroyer. This was so sad, even Darth has his limits of evil 😉
Squeegee ready in Richmond 😉
Gotta laugh! At least we have that 🙂
Chris had mentioned a storm for early next week. Is this still a possibility?
one thing for sure we going get some heavy snow, but it want amount to knothing at 24 degrees but it preetyy sato see.
School officials must not be expecting it to stick here in Clark County because we’re going to school…
MAJOR busted forecast. Nothing but cold, hard rain here in southern KY. On another note, why in the world did most school district call off school, when we have nothing but rain. And, no, it’s not changing over here in east KY. Expect rain all day guys……..
Snow starting to mix with the rain in Ashland….just hope that they send the kids home early or the accumulation waits till they get home
Patience is a virtue and the switchover isn’t expected in EKY until 7am-9am. I’ve seen on several boards that most of our snow will fall during the day and evening Wednesday and hope this pans out for sure. Hoping for lots of accumulation and it is changing here in Johnson County and has been for about 30min. Patience is key:)
I live in Frankfort, go to uk. In for a great drive. Not
Moderate to heavy snow here in Somerset now. Limiting visibility.
Chris, first, thank you for your hard work. It is appreciated. Second, this storm proves what is a fact which must be remembered from this point forward: It is virtually impossible for SE Kentucy to get a decent snow from a Southern storm. By the time it gets cold enough for snow here in SE Ky., the precip will have long since pulled out in force. Maybe an inch of wet snow.
Snow coming down in Jefferson Co. LOU near Bullitt Co. line/I-65. Maybe 2 inches by now and still coming down, 28 degrees. Schools closed here. Didn’t start salting here til early this morning. Hear that downtown is getting slushy and ‘main’ roads passable. Side streets/neighborhoods snow covered.
ok ill say it, GOT TO START TALKING BOUT A BUSTED FORCAST FOLKS, SE KY E KY not going get 1 -2 much less totals shown. lexington not got therir forcasted totals either. good with bad and this was a horrid miss.
BUBBA wouldnt u agree.
Just started snowing in Whitley City. Huge flakes mixed with a little rain.
Thanks to Chris for your amazing work during this event! All of the updates, graphics, tweets! Your dedication to the KY community is just amazing! Now get some rest because it sounds like we may have another interesting week coming up! Have a great day!
Missed this one in Southeastern KY, last night looking at the radar I did not think it could make the changeover quick enough to get the predicted 4-8. I am right. It is a balmy 41 degrees and still raining. If it does change over I don’t see it lasting long at all. Big hype once again and little action.
once again because of the potential of the snow. As heavy as the snow is forecasted to be they don’t have enough time to notify everybody and get the kids home SAFELY before the roads possibly get bad school districts have been sued because they waited to late to call school off
It’s snowing like crazy here in beautiful downtown Winchester. Lexington Catholic will have to carry on without my kids today. 🙂 Too much snowy road between here and there today. Have a blessed day!
i can’t agree till its all said and done my friend. The fat lady hasn’t sung yet
Let me say I hate moderation, why does moderation occur. Anyway…MISSED IT in Southeastern KY…looking at the radar last night I did not see how it would make a change over to get 4-8 inches and I am right it is a balmy 41 and still raining. I just don’t think we are going to get this forecast. Sorry Bailey…not 100% on the forecast…I was rooting for you.
It just now started comin’ down here in S Fayette Co. Yes sir! All I can say is, it’s about time. Bring it on, baby! 😀
Let me say I hate moderation, why does moderation occur. Anyway…MISSED IT in Southeastern KY…looking at the radar last night I did not see how it would make a change over to get 4-8 inches and I am right it is a balmy 41 and still raining. I just don’t think we are going to get this forecast. Sorry Bailey…not 100% on the forecast…I was rooting for you. I bet retail loves the snow hype…I bet you could get them to help sponser the website.
Rolo, from the looks of it we are preparing to go into a period of heavy snow and there are reports of up to 2 inches an hour. Chris also mentioned that snow will ramp up a bit today for East Ky so how is this s bust. Its so far going as planned for us and has ended up better for the west and central parts of the state. I understand that this is your opinion but respectfully disagree….no hard feelings 🙂
unless the FAT LADY STARTS SPREADING PRECIP OURT HER BIG FAT MOUTH she choking as we speak. all ur going see is what might have been with ther big HEAVY FLAKES fallin for a hour or so. ANDY ROSE.
Old Rolo is just frustrated. He thought this might be the storm that harkened back to the late 70s, like we remember when we were boys. Alas, this aint it.
DARA and Andy sorry that was my cousin again posting.
I think looking at radar returns we get Heavy Snow for 3 or 4 hours,but how much sticks? we will see. one things for sure its going to be snowing like u said Dara at at least 1 to 2 inch per hour.
Been snowing since about 530 am here on campus at UK. Coming down at a hell of a rate as well.
Let me say I hate moderation, why does moderation occur. Anyway…MISSED IT in Southeastern KY…looking at the radar last night I did not see how it would make a change over to get 4-8 inches and I am right it is a balmy 41 and still raining. I just don’t think we are going to get this forecast. Sorry Bailey…not 100% on the forecast…I was rooting for you.
No doubt. Still raining… :/
Moderate rain here in Clay County, Ky. about 4 miles from Manchester. Nothing mixing in at this point. 7:33 a.m.
still rain in harlan 🙁 so much for the snow… oh well.
LOL, yeah, snowfrustrated sums it up well here at this household in Ashland as well. The boy is having a hard time understand looking at the radar and seeing blue in the neighboring county approaching us, and knowing that he still has school. Several other schools have already either closed or have gone ahead and said: dismissing 3 hours early… We don’t have any announcement here.
Hope he gets his snow before the winter is over and I like hearing his take on things even if he does get a little crazy on us now and then:)
Some people just can’t read. lol
We’ve got to through this system out the window folks. Not only was it unpredictable and behaved strangely(still is) but even the bestest forecaster in the world had a hard time wrangling it in! It’s additional proof that there are just some things out there that mankind will never be able to get the upperhand on. I’m just pumped to see the flakes fly…
Chris has given us wonderful data to track this storm. But if you remember from his very first post on this storm. He said it could go either way at any time. Mother nature has her own mind and we can’t mess with Mother Nature. Thanks Chris for all you do.
its really coming down here in berea in madison county it is really sticking to oh yeahhhhhhhh
As far as a bust for a big snow event for the area- yes.
I am prepared to accept a bust. Had this started out earlier, it would have been a BIG one, but we could say that for dozens of events since 98. We get smacked with big ice from these southern fed events and not big snow. Yes, I KNOW Bubba says that every year- sorry 🙂
IF we get some heavy snow, there is still a shot to get a few inches, but none the less, another missed chance.
How crazy is that though? Not ONE of these type of systems have panned out for big snow in this area since 1998? Still seems nuts.
37 STILL POURING THE RAIN IN LONDON @ 0740
wow the storm shifts west like we needed it to, western ky gets 4-6 inches and here in bardstown which according to last nights models should have received 4-7 only has an inch to an inch and a half tops…unbelievable…actually its not this always happens
On a positive note, probably for the better we did not get a big one with heavy wet snow. Power would have been a problem for a lot of folks.
Well…. we DID want a shift west 😉
I’m still pretty happy with my thoughts about this storm. We’ve gotten 1″ so far, and with the sun now about to rise I don’t expect much more. Maybe 2″ tops when it’s all said and done. This has pretty much turned out exactly as I expected. I can’t complain.
snowing very hard in Madison Co… The streets are becoming covered quickly..
Good Morning Chris & Bloggers 🙂
Down here on the border,are snow started covering the ground around 6:30.Now we are at 32* and big flakes.Coming down at a steady pace.Everyone stay safe & warm out there today.Chris….you did it again!!
central ky will get 3 inches, and somehow, SOMEHOW brandon down in middlesboro will get a foot…just sayin … 😉
As of 7:45am, some snow is begin to mix with rain. Nothing to write home about (as of *yet*) but, nonetheless it’s there and you can see it! 🙂
-Live in Prestonsburg! 🙂
Bully for you! Glad this has helped you stop complaining. Have a great day!
Snowing big flakes London started at around 07:50 bring it on baby..
About 1/2″ here in the southern part of Trimble county. Very light snow falling now. School’s still on, though!
Harlan- just rain as of now but the temp dropped 2 degrees from this morning. Now temp at 39 degrees and steady light rain. waiting on the snow!
Snowing in Nicholasville….heavy dusting at this point. I dont see us getting a whole lot more from this. I am officially done with winter. Bring on summer please, with some nice t-storms to go with it. Stupid KY cold RAIN…
CB 8am still looks good for parts of SE ky..Patience young grasshoppers..Patience
Just started snowing down in the valley of southern Estill County.
No prob Rolo! Its been in transition for a while here in Paintsville so hoping to see some of the heavy snow soon. I’m thinking CB may have done well for our forecast but I am a bit concerned with the ground temperature and the rains that have fell. Hopefully they won’t have a badly negative effect on the accumulation. Oh well, we shall see 🙂
36 and still pouring rain in Perry Co. Probably switch within the hour but the sun is about to come up so itll be interesting to see if it all lays today.
Morning all. Started snowing here in Somerset about 6:45. Changeover started about 6:30. We probably have nearly an inch on the ground as I type, and it is still snowing hard. Gorgeous! Temp is now at 33 here, and falling.
8am in London, snowing heavy, beautiful snow down here by Laurel Lake, hopefully won’t get too slick today.
Its 28 degrees in east Lincoln co. Looks like we might have a quarter to half inch of snow. It didnt start snowing here till bout 6 this morning. I say we’ll get maybe 2 inches. This was a weird storm wasnt it? I see now why most of the met’s had trouble with it. I thought I would wake up to 2 or 3 inches of beautiful wet snow. I guess it just wasnt to be.
Some people are so immature=Definition:lacking complete growth, differentiation, or development..
you got a mouse in your pocket Mr? 😉
Hey guys I am curious to know if there have been any widespread power outages in the western and central parts of the state to kinda get a heads up and if you all have any pics to show from the western section give me a link to see. Thanks a bunch!
this storm looks like it is moving fast, with this speed it will be out of here by 2 or 3 pm ….
Well just a cold rain here in Pikeville temp 38.
Just started snowing in Williamsburg,coming down pretty good.
For anywhere but CKY, its always a possibility…
well light drixzzle falling, good news is prcip not moving out its just rotaing in same area, but it needs to pick up.
I was wondering how many:
“I’m done with winter, bring on spring” ‘s I would read today. I read it several times with each storm since early December.
The short range RUC model as well as the new GFS and NAM runs continue to show a very heavy, wet snowfall for the eastern half of the state with the highest totals in the southeast.
There you go SE ky..via CB update..How much will lay who knows,but it’s not over yet..
Sunday, January 23rd, 2011 9:37 PM WXman wrote:
00Z NAM still goes to sea with it. I think there’s going to be a lot of hurt feelings when we get nothing from this storm.
Well, I guess it’s true you’ve got to be careful what you wish for: we wanted the storm to move west, and it obliged, skipping us in CKY once again. Just when we thought we were in the clear, our old nemesis rears his ugly head again: Dry Slot – check, WAA – check (or a senblance thereof, since we were stuck in the mid-thirties for several hours), 33° rain – check. I think the new permanent forecast for CKY needs to be “0% chance for a major snow, no matter how promising or full of potential a storm may be” the big “D” it seems will always find a way to fight back sooner or later…
Rain just switched to snow here on the Morgan/Wolfe county line.
What wrong with first? It is a mark of distinction.
Some advise for you folks….stop taking the model runs that spit out high snow totals to heart. The best thing to do is take the model runs with the lowest snow totals then subtract about 20% off of them. This is for southern systems only. The only overachievers we have is with clipper systems, and an overachieving clipper is 3 inches. If you live in south central ky, elevation dosent help you (like the mountains) and nearly every favorable storm track for a big snow lacks the cold air to produce it. Move from BG west, and you are in the cold air and get more snow….the dome lives, and ground zero is Somerset!!
amen to that …. i see my john deere parked in the barn looking lonely, i am ready to start mowing, plowing my garden, looking for bright sunny days
ok since this one was a gigantic flop, when is the next BIG storm supposed to hit ??? next week same bat time, same bat channel
I know rite!
I mean, had there been arctic air in place, it would have suppressed the storm to the south.
It’s hard to believe we are well into 20 plus inches for the season, and most of it has been from clippers, right?
it just started to change over here in Morgan County..if it sticks we are hurting our County has no salt. oh well, gotta love winter.
If you think about it, we all put a LOT of unnecessary drama, stress, aggravation, lack of sleep in our lives wanting snow……But NONE of us can help it!
Snow flakes FINALLY starting to fall near Manchester (Clay County). So far they’re mixed in with the rain. Guess we’ll see what happens….
Are you defining yourself? There are those of us who know what we’re doing, and then there are those who act like every storm is going to be the bomb. Just because I told you so, that doesn’t make me immature. I just try to keep it real…which is what people need.
Rain changed over to snow at around 7:50 this morning in London/Corbin and we are beginning to see some accumulations on grassy surfaces!
Heavy snow falling in SE Fleming.
Gosh, nailed it. This was our smallest snow to date here. I’ve scored from 3 days out and 5 days out recently. Now I’m going to try and hit this next storm from 7 days out. 😉
Fayette County Public Schools with the epic fail, as well.
The rain changed to snow at Vancleve, Breathitt County, about 8:40 a.m.
still rain in harlan no change yet
rain just has turned to snow here in my area of knox co..about 20 min…ago…
Two inches here in Lancaster and still snowing very hard. Based on the radar it looks like we may get another 2-4 inches depending on how hard it keeps snowing. Chris Bailey’s forecast was right again, all others are pretenders.
The rain is starting to switch over to snow in Barbourville! It’s a mixture of both right now! I’m so excited about all the snow coming!
Still raining in Middlesboro. I still think we will see a good snow from this. No one seems to be mentioning the fact that this system is barely moving. Once it does change over, it’s going to snow for awhile.
radar has a big dry spot in it workin into my area…I’d be really suprised if we get enough snow here to even whitten the ground…:(
I noticed the same thing.
the energy pulling away, prcip drying out movimng east to north east the engery is as it finally starts to snow, my cousin and I was right a BUSTED FORCAST.
not by one but by all local mets including WYMT who snow map is comedy at its best.lol
Heavy snow in Clay County. It is already beginning to stick on the grass in my area.
Changing over to snow in Jackson at this time
the dry slot uu see is the low, u see the rotation into a commas, the western precip ids on west/nw side of low. this is what baileyu expects to intensfy as it keeps wrapping up.
looks like it is drying up as it wraps around… But I am no met and cb know what he is talking about so we just gotta wait an see I guess. BTW still rain in harlan
Still 38 in Pikeville it wont move from that at all cold rain falling,and I hate cold rain.
Still rainy and wet in Downtown Pikeville. No snow in sight.
I don’t think 6am is too late to call school off.
Nice heavy snow on 127 in Mercer & Anderson Counties.
Probably will wind up with 2-3 inches total accumulation.
Low end forecast, but still, another snow for this winter.
Not a BUST in Central KY. 3 inches and still snowing!!!!
64 between Winchester and Lexington is in bad shape. Travel on it is not recommended.
It is 9:24 in Liberty, KY and the snow is coming down hard from the North. We have at least an inch so far. It didn’t start snowing here until 5:00 am.
IT has been snowing very heavily in Morehead area for the past couple of hours, but seems most is being absorbed by the wet ground…unless it keeps it up and really starts accumulating, hard to see anything like 4-7 happening! Said this was going to be an “IF” storm…”If” this had happened, “IF this had happened, etc. then we would have a huge snowfall..so another “IF” storm in my book haha
It’s snowing, it’s snowing!!!!! 😀 Yay! It made it to Ashland!
Started snowing heavy in Monticello this morning between 6:30 and 7. I’m in somerset now, and it’s coming down, but the flakes aren’t as big here. It is sticking to the concrete now, which makes me think the temp is dropping. It’s a big slushy mess. What can this area expect? Is it going to freeze or all melt off this afternoon?!
Hows the roads in Madison County (Richmond)?
in berea they are horrible and when i went to lowes in richmond they were bad to
Heavy snow falling in SE Fleming.
Thanks. Was hoping EKU would cancel with the snow still falling, instead of this god awful 2 hour delay. Guess I’ll be heading that way soon.
if u dont get 3 degrees below freezing u have no snow on ground. its pouring quiarter size flakes for 45 min in gunchester it prtetty but no laying.
has drop to 32 here
HIGHEST snowfall reports so far seem to be coming from the Bowling Green to Owensboro area where they had a band set up last night. Everybody else is in the 1-3″ range. Temps. killed any potential this storm had. It’s a shame…5-10 degrees colder at onset and we’d have been digging out right now. Other than possibly being grazed by clippers passing to our north, there are no other storms in sight right now.
no u all did good sir, im happy for ya. i like what im gettibng moderate snow and not sticking. have good day
Leslie Couny – It’s snowing pretty good but the temp is 36 degrees. Nothing laying on the ground.
with all do respect deserved; if you need assistance deflating your ego… let me know. 😉
Snow is beginning to taper off here in Grayson County. 4 inches on the ground.
2.5″ of wet snow in NE Lou…Missed my prediction of 3″. All in all, not bad, considering we weren’t supposed to get more than a dusting. So, I will take it.
Wow. Let it snow in Jessamine county. It’s pouring big ole flakes!
The mountains of West Virginia, Northeastern United States and Mountain West offer all of the snow a true snow lover could possibly want. If you don’t want the yearly letdown… relocate. Send me your address when you do so I can visit! I forgot Alaska and the Big Island peaks… it’s pretty rad there also!
Rain/Snow mix in Perry as of 9:40. Forget about it majority of Southeast Ky. Even if it does switch to all snow its not going to lay right in the middle of the day when the sun is at its highest.. U da man Chris but you missed it this time in Southeast part of the state.
With all deserved respect… if you need assistance deflating your ego, let me know. 😉
It is sticking to the ground where I am.
I don’t understand why everyone is so quick to call a bust on the forecast while it is still going on (this means you rolo). Lets wait and see.
By golly if Chris Bailey says it going to snow then by golly its going to snow….hopefully, lol.
No snow in Pikeville, yet!
It might snow the rest of the day, our point is that little if any is going to stick. Ground is too wet and warm plus its daylight (sun energy).
“my cousin and I was right a BUSTED FORCAST.”
I have never seen anyone get as many right as you. But I do appreciate the fact you made a bet before you flipeed this time…when does that kick in. I know it will be a knock to your pride everytime you have to type that line at the end of your post.
snowing heavily on UK’ campus!
snowing hard in jackson co, ground and roads getting covered good, the roads look like they slush, traffic moving fine on 421.
Lets wait and see. Maybe it won’t, maybe it will
Finally snowing huge wet flakes in Ashland, ground and backroads already getting covered.
well folks hate to say it but LEGEND has lost his touch. cain’t say i blame em, only a handful of mets can figure the NAM like I can. May as well hang er up CB becau
GET OFFA MY KEYBOARD DOG. Sorry folks, gotta little mutt here that is a weather junkie. Still love u here in manchester cb.
Finally got about an inch here in Berea. Doesnt look like it will last too much longer 🙁 Still snowing decently ATM.
=)
heavy rain in harlan
BTW i’m not complaining, i am tickled pink we didn’t get the heavy 4-8 because we would have lost power for a week here in southeast Ky.
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Got about .25 on a inch in Corbin…Snowing really small flakes…..
Has anyone mentioned that the roads in Lexington are really quite bad? Secondary roads are slick! I am really surprised they sent the kids to school today, especially after the criteria they’ve been using thus far this winter, i.e. snowflakes in the air – NO SCHOOL! Apparently Fayette County is holding a press conf. at 10:30am to “explain their decision.
Be careful!
28 degrees and moderate snow in Richmond. Haven’t tried them, but roads look bad. Anyone coming to town for EKU or other business can thank the City of Richmond. As we’ve been told, Richmond doesn’t “treat the roads while it’s snowing.” Yeah, that makes sense….. Keep in mind though, these are the same people that paint new lines at an intersection, but don’t cover up the old ones creating a perpetual fuster-cluck.
a little over 2 inches here in Bowling Green. The 3-4 reports likely from the northwest regions of the county where a heavy snow band was.
What are they going to explain?? they really screwed up? Its best for the kids….terrible decision. Wonder if they just look out window to make this decision, or if they take into account forecast…
Boyle County: 32* light snow
A band of heavy snow moved thru estimated 3 inches on deck. Roads snow covered.
Still snowing big flakes in Clay. The ground is competely white and starting to stick to the side roads.
I like this, EKU danville is canceled with snow covered roads and EKU richmond is on with snow covered roads lol.
still only rain in harlan
What’s the situation like in Somerset?
Glad to hear that because I was getting concerned. Its coming down pretty hard here in Paintsville and we are finally picking up some accumulation.
Thats ridiculous! I wonder if they could be held accountable for accidents from the icy conditions? Be safe 🙂
Still snowing big flakes in Williamsburg…well Whitley county…yay we r finally getting the snow…it rained all night
Hate to be the one to ask already but what is next? I know there is a chance for the weekend…smaller deal….but how about a bit further out like next week?
Pouring snow in clintonville! More wind than I expected too- hmm… Wondering how long this event will last?
Very heavy band moved through Lancaster for the past hour or so, and still snowing at a good clip. In at just over 4 inches at my house. Haven’t seen it snow this hard in a long time. Snow plow comes by and clears the road, and 10 minutes later road is already covered in snow.
When you forecast is between 1-13 inches, its awfully hard to miss.
The snow has stopped in Shelbyville. We only got 1″. There are reports of 2-3″ in Louisville.
Big dissapointment in Bardstown. We picked up 1.5 inches. NWS said 3-6, Chris said 3-6 and Wave 3 said 2-4. Can just add it to the long list of tiny snows here, still not one over 3 inches this year.
The people in Fayette County can not be pleased at all. They call off school Monday to be safe and you all complain so they send kids today cause I’m assuming we didn’t have that much when they made that decision. We still don’t have a lot. I don’t see anyway in making parents and teachers happy in this city. I have been surprised since I moved here that the schools close for as little as they do. Because of the people like you this is why they got out Monday over something little. They weren’t going to dare let students be out today though cause you all probably would complain but look you all still are.
Not trying to be a jerk but this has been bugging me this whole winter.
Wxman,sry for the confusion,but i was replying to the the person above you..
Kelly, snowing lighter than it has been. Roads are slushy but passible. Haven’t measured yet.
Hey jon! 🙂
We have around 2.5″ here by the new courthouse…last weeks storm outperformed this one by an inch. Oh,w ell…at least we didn’t get our usual ice storm! 🙂
Hey-do you have any clue how the roads are? I live in a subdivision and it’s bad of course, but have to take my neighbor (knee replacement) to the dr. out around Taco Bell this afternoon…I don’t want to risk his getting in/out of the car & falling…I’dnever get him up.lol!
Well, it is almost 11:00 a.m. here in Harlan and we still have rain. Even weather.com is saying it is snowing here at the moment – but it isn’t, haha. Just as well though, I am not going to complain. I got a day off from work!
Yep, most are getting a few inches or more, but crazy not one of these southern fed systems have slammed central KY since 1998, except for two mega ice storms.
Had it actually started snowing last night, this would have been the first “big one” since the Fearless Frank Falkner days and his beloved and now famous 98 quote: “Just a dusting, just a dusting”.
I am wondering what, if snything, is going to happen in Prestonsburg. It has been snowing at my house for over an hour, but no accumulation whatsoever. My husband is 8 miles away and he says it hasn’t snowed there at all!
I am wondering what, if snything, is going to happen in Prestonsburg. It has been snowing at my house for over an hour, but no accumulation whatsoever. It actually seems to be tapering off. My husband is 8 miles away and he says it hasn’t snowed where he is at all!
Same here in Shelbyville. We got 1″ and Louisville got 2-3″. The most we have gotten this year is 3″.
well, this storm has caused great whaling and gnashing of teeth!!!… and for my area of the world a huge let down…just by looking at radar returns at the moment, if we get a WHOLE 1″ here in Barbourville,knox co…we’ll be lucky….
…….
I need a vacation!!!!…esp. if we have to go through this many more times this winter….
I sure hope the next storm is CUT/DRY…and not all over the place…
33*
light snow
dusting on the ground
Beautiful in Bath co. Snowing hard. Sticking to everything. we have maybe 1.5 just looking out the window. Wonder how long this will last? Oh well as long as the lights stay on let it snow! Just by looking at our road doesn’t seem too bad but ya never know. Stay safe and warm everyone!
Well, guess what, it has changed over!!! lol.. you have to actually pay attention to what the weatherman says… You know, they are educated and actually KNOW how to read the data… lol
Should of said snowflake,Seems like some wnant to start bashing as soon as they get out of bed..Anyways i value your opinion along with just a handful of others,and yes you were right,nailed it really before others did..
It has been a bust in Southeastern KY, Jason I agree with you. No accumulation especillay 4-8 like was stated. This system just did not perform for Eastern KY, but I am thankful we do have power. It is snowing here but not sticking…can anyone explain how long the snows will last?
Are we losing moisture in EKY because the precipitation seems to fading on radar. If it is this will be such a disappointment for many. In Paintsville, there’s a heavy dusting and I really wonder how long we are supposed to be in the snow area?
Eastern Boyle County: 32* light snow at 11:20am.
Looks like another band is forming to move thru Mercer-Boyle-Garrard-Lincoln with moderate snow thru 12:30pm.
The Winter Storm Warning for Eastern Kentucky is now expiring at 7 PM rather than 1:00 AM like it was earlier. They have also lowered their totals for areas below 1,000 feet to a general 1-3 inches. 1,000 to 2,000 feet is projected for 4 inches, and anything above 4 inches is still in the 5 to 10 area.
I’m not a snow lover so I can’t empathize with you all who are. All I can say is that I hope these new projections are correct instead of 4-8 inches. I need my lights to stay on.
started sticking in Radcliff at 0200 it is snowing moderatly now. 32 degrees so here we go.
It was snowing heavily at one point, but it’s not really doing much now. Based on my looks of the radar, I’d say…we will keep our power! BTW: None of the snow stuck on anything, not even the vehicles.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_ten_132s.gif
GFS is flopping now and showing large scale energy diving into a trough in the midwest next week now. It looks a bit odd, though.
I am over the current storm so by all means, please move forward to Monday!!!
Ditto
The Winter Storm Warning for parts of East Ky has been downgraded to a Winter Weather Advisory! I have had suspicions that this would happen and now as bad as I hate to say it….this system looks like a bust to me. Very disappointed to say the least!
Wxman,hope you go back and reread the post this morning,I was commenting to the other post..I value your opnion along with just a few others on this blog..and would have to say you were right on target about this storm..
Very disappointed in the snow total so far. Ravenna has 1/2 to 1 inch and still snowing. Don’t know if we will make it to the 3 to 6 inches or not. Thanks, Chris, for all your time and work. You’re the only one I trust and I hear more and more people that are turning to your blog for the weather. Keep up the good work!
Geez, lugnuts…but it would seem that snowflake’s reply was just an opinion, too.
Everyone has a right to state their opinion as long as they aren’t nasty about it.
And WXman, I always enjoyed reading your thoughts,
but as of late they have been rather cranky and/or made with a touch of “uppity” in them.
Just saying, not intending to be rude, but it is a deviation from your
professionalism in the past.
I’m from East Ky but I will say that if I had reservations about the roads being too slick to have school I would have made a personal decision to keep my children at home. It seems that it was a very wreckless decision but the decision to send your child to school is ultimately your own. Hope they are all safe at the end of the day.
How can we even begin to trust the models after this fiasco?
I love the snow! Wheather I get and inch or a lot!!Thanks Chris!!
I want to add that CB, in my opinion, has done his best with a very difficult storm system as have many others in the weather community. Nothing negative to say about them, it was just a ridiculously hard system to judge. Thanks for all your hard work Chris, I’m not disappointed in you but the weather cards we were dealt 🙂
I have not seen the first snowflake in Pikeville and believe me i have been looking oh well.I just don’t understand why everyone has at least seen some snow but nothing where we were suppose to get the most.Not 1 snowflake I wonder why? Is it just to warm to snow here? Its not Chris’ fault I appreciate everything he does it just has me stumped.I would at least like to see some snow fall maybe i will.
I agree he works hard and this storm has been crazy if it was up to Chris we would all have a foot.
Why did everyone say 6-10 inches here and we got nothing.
Just a tad over three inches east of Somerset. Looks like we’re about done.
I hear that. Disappointing amount from what was expected, but the little that has fallen and stuck has made travel hazardous.
Just made it to EKU from Irvine and can honestly say the roads getting here were the worst I have seen and actually still have classes.
Nothing measurable here
no snow for harlan this time bummer lol
A couple of things killed this storm,it moved into ky alot quicker than was thought and i guess we did’nt get the dynamic cooling also..This could have been a bigger storm for lex. and western if it had not moved in those areas as soon as it did..IMO
Chris THE LEGEND BAILEY u still our my dog, u admit it hard to forcast snow u mention early yeterday westward trend and it did and it caused ur SE KY orcast a bust but hell u can be right 100 percent of time, u still are right 90 percent and ole rolo take that. ty/
Because it shifted as it was coming in… Mother Nature is her own boss.. She just changed her mind…
Anybody have any info on the next system and when we could look forward to seeing it move in?? Still hope we can pull out the BIG one sometime before this winter is over. CB has done a wonderful job thus far and I personally am looking forward to one of his title to be BREAD AND MILK! That’s when we know he means business. LOL
You crack me up rolo…
They have just got to be right this time!
It’s snowing quite a bit here in Johnson County, next to Floyd. Sticking on the ground, but not roads.
In defense of the mets: This was a tough call. CB was closer than anyone so far,
and let’s face it: Weather is not an exact science.
CB and the others gave us their professional opinion, which I value,
and just because we don’t get EXACTLY what the maps say
is no reason to be upset.
I appreciate the dedication Mr. Bailey has to informing us. At least we will not be taken by surprise.
ahhhhhh, c’mon…… it’s fun! People need to lighten up a little!
Radar showing snow, but it is still rain here in Floyd co. Had some snow mix in for a little while, but back to rain now,I don’t think we will get anywhere close to the forecasted amount, what could have been if it had been all snow instead of rain. Oh well maybe next storm.
On the bright side i should not have to vist the grocery store for a couple of weeks..Shoot, i even bought rolo’s goat 2 sacks of feed for the next train ride..Hope everybody has a safe day..
I can’t believe I took a write up for missing work today in anticipation of hazardous driving because of the 3 to 6 inches of snow forecast. We would be doing good to have 1/2 inch.
Snowing decent in Floyd Co., but not a sight of it on the ground, or even sticking to the vehicles
Finally snowing pretty good here in Barbourville. Already picked up an inch or so, hoping we can end up getting the forcasted amount some how!
i got just over 1″ of slush here in my part of knox co…but im on a hill top too..my wife works downtown barbourville, and she says there is hardly anything much more than a dustiong on some grass…
NEXT!!!
Looking at Pikeville web cam, looks like flakes are flying, finally. Gonna have to hurry to get to that 4″ though.
where you at in Floyd co? I am in Hueysville, and snow is starting to mix in again, but for the most part it is rain here, some times a few miles can make a big difference
Actually, if people DID forecast by the models they would have nailed this one. Central KY was getting NO MORE than 3-4″ of snow per the NAM and GFS model solutions for days leading up to this storm. It was the folks trying to add gut feelings to the model data that killed their forecasts.
rolocoaster.. you crack me up bud. Chris “The Legend” Bailey is still your dogg… that’s heartwarming. 🙂 I think Chris’ original maps looked great. He got excited at the end and made changes that killed it..but what he had going originally was pretty darn close.
I know how you feel my daughter miss work also because of the heavy snow they were saying we would get that didn’t happen this winter has tired me out I’m ready for spring DID I SAY THAT i still love ya Chris you are still the best weather dude
Chris, let me first say how much I love your blog. It is my first source for weather in the winter. I think I drive my wife crazy because I am constantly checking your blog. In southeast Ky we often have snow forecast and warm air seems to hang in there much longer that expected often eliminating the snow all together. I have seen this many many times over the years. This is my 26th year of teaching school in southeast Ky so I have been very interested in snow forecasts over the years. I love snow. One of the ladies I teach with asked me as we left school yesterday, “what is the weather going to be Chris.” Obviously that is because I am always quoting you at school. Thanks so much for all your hard work and the ways you keep us informed on whats coming way in advance of the usual weather sites.
theweatherwiz.com … check it out for long range forecasts; I have been watching the calendar and they have been closer than anyone …. look at Feb 6th … they are giving 57 degrees, write it down and see how close they get!!!!!
Just went outside, and it is now all snow here in Floyd co. and it is coming down at a good clip, we might actually get a little on the ground before it is said and done.
The snow is melting in Shelbyville, even in the grassy areas. Roads are fine.
After the comedy and reversal of fortune of this event, I will not start paying attention to the next system until 48 hours prior to the event.
I still do not understand how folks did not think this event would not be impacted by rain. Heavy wet snow is preceded by heavy rain. Still, anybody that pegged the totals in areas for this system would be due to pure luck. TVoR did say most of the snow would start in the morning…. Anybody feel guilty now? 😉 🙂
“See” you folks on Saturday 🙂
They did not send kids today as a result of NOT sending kids to school monday. That is a fallacy. Schools districts dont operate that way…and you are sorely misunderstood in thinking that. It is not because of people like me that we were out on monday. That is a fallacy. We were out on monday because of the timing of the snow fall. This is fact. (FYI, By directing your statement with “because of people like you”, you become a jerk)
Fayette County made each decision independently of the other. They just made a mistake on this one today…I think their decision ‘protocol’ may be need to be adjusted.
Well Chris, I believe u missed this one!
I thought it was Brian Collins that said that. Maybe not.
The most hyped storm of the season isn’t gonna cover the grass in Johnson County.
Keep taking stabs at all the other meteorologists around, though.
It’s what this blog does best.
The Old Farmers’ Almanac blew the December forecast pretty bad. It’s done a little better for January, but still not great. For February it predicts warmer than average temps. and slightly less precip. than average. I think it’s going to blow that one too, but we’ll see. 🙂
What does the weather hold for next week?
yeah that’s not right we’ll know more in a few days. not sure I’m buying the euro’s lakescutter either.
Thanks for clearing that up for Chris…I believe Chris was just sitting around thinking how his map panned out, but couldn’t quite figure that out.
I shall have an update out soon. Check the site. Also, I’m in class… Is it snowing in the east yet?
Finally snowing in Middlesboro! System is about out of here though 🙁
snowing now but not sticking not big flakes though just tiny ones.
It played out just as he said for Harrison County. We have about 1 1/2 inches and we were in the 1-3 zone. Rain makes it difficult if not impossible to nail these systems.
Just woke up, was hoping for a lot got a little just a hair over 2 inches in London looks like it’s out of here.
But anyway that’s the way it is.Thanks Chris keep those forecasts coming.
It is addictive isn’t it? lol I don’t know why we love snow so much – but we do! Just insanity in Kentucky trying to predict snow. It is the single element that I hate forecasting. I guess this is a love/hate relationship. 🙂
Storm total Danville area 3-4 inches.
Thanks again CB for all your efforts.
What happened? I thought southeast ky was supposed to get the most snow. It is after 2:30 and we have very little!
So far we’ve received maybe an inch here in the Mayking area of Letcher Co, the heaviest snow is done. The snow has mainly stuck to the grassy areas and elevated surfaces. Our temps stayed close to 38* until well after noon, and even now we’re at 35*. We did have reports of poor driving conditions on Pine Mountain and over the state line in Wise, Va. Thanks CB for all your hard work, get some rest!
I feel your pain. I was hoping for a big one but the rain didn’t cahnge0over until around noon and by then the system was almost out of here.
Oh well….There’s always next time. I think we will definitely see a “Big One” before we get through the Winter.
Chris does an awesome job, Can’t wait to hear what he has in store for us on this next system coming in next week.
*Fingers Crossed*
I think the temperatures didn’t fall quickly enough in this area to make the switch to snow. We also hit a fairly long dry spell during the storm where we didn’t see much rain or snow.
I am working on an update about the pending clipper
Lincoln, you have a site or FB page that one could check out? 🙂
Yeah, temps hovered around 40 for hours, up until I went to bed (Sat up until about 4 waiting to see what was going to happen)
If we could have gotten a 5 degree drop, we would have been in business 🙁
If all the rain we had here in Middlesboro had have been snow, we would 8-1o” on the ground right now.
It seems this storm was a tough one to pin down. Regardless of the totals, this storm created some messy roads. If Fayette county read this blog they would have known the snow was coming during daylight hours and many headaches would have been prevented. i’d say Chris had it pegged down better than some. Why on earth do some people feel the need to tell him he blew it? When it comes to Winter weather tracking, Chris is THE man.
I hope your next update is closer than your last one, you missed it bad … your map was way off and your words were “we are going to get more than anticipated” wellllllllllll it didn’t happen either.
Chris! hey, make a new post when you have a chance–too many comments, post has gotten too long. Thanks! Great job with a tough deal.
PJ….if u read this….how much snow up there in Montgomery/Bath area?
http://i52.tinypic.com/2u93aft.jpg
This picture shows how much difference even a little elevation can make.
Up top, big heavy snow while down here I have just a skiff.
Hahah, I realize that buddy. West of Lexington, right. East of lexington= what the…take that from there. Hahah we were all wrong.
Yep….and when we get struck at every possible angle and still can’t get the big storm, you know it’s probably next to impossible for that much snow to fall in CKY (10-12 inches.)
Course, someone reported getting 8 inches in Richmond last year (in one snowfall), but it didn’t seem that deep to me…
We are above average though for the season….so I’ll see the glass as half full at this point.
Yes riddlesweather.com …facebook fan page is this link right here.
http://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=10150102882038921&id=503573920¬if_t=feed_comment#!/pages/Riddles-Weather/102226613188765
If you forecast anywhere from 0-4 inches of snow I guarantee you’ll get it right! lol
JB, we got about 2-3 inch with a little ice underneath. It will be a tough call for tomorrow. We should know something soon.
I just posted an update( click my name)Hopefully bailey gives an update soon.
Thanks! We didn’t get as much here in Lex…probably 1 1/2 inches where I am but the roads must have been something terrible. I heard one news station report 61 wrecks in Lexington between 7 and 10 am. Glad we weren’t out there!!
But, what about next week’s possibly big adventure….clippers = zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz…..You do a great job with your blog Mr. Riddle.
watching TMZLIVE at tmz.com its a great site for news
nect 3 weeks weiill see temps in mid to upper 30s with backside of styorms lower temps./
rain/mix but not much as fart as mesurable snow 1-2 inches tops here and there.
early spring i predict.
just got back dfrom docrtor my colon problem is back. oh well.
GReat Blog Chris….BEST WEATHER MAN!!!!!!…Here in McCreary County we probably got at least 4 or 5 maybe 6 inches…I went out to sweep off the car and it had a BLANKET of snow…lOVE THE SNOW…AND YOU!!!! HAve a Great day…!!!!
Well Linda im from McCreary too! And im glad to see this snow…Hope you are too…!
Chris thank you for every single thing that you do for us but Why is it that we just can’t get a big snowstorm?We have been hearing about a big storm all week than when the time comes RAIN what is it with Ky weather I know one thing I done with theses look aheads they don’t pan out no way as much as i love this blog no more and i still thank you are the best weatherman we got its just we don’t have normal weather here in Ky……
Whatever Mr. Flip-Flopper.
Tim Chris has hit every storm this season Its just Ky weather is silly Chris is the best its just rain or snow rain will win everytime…..
I’m just glad Chris doesn’t Flip-Flop like you.
WLKY just said that next weeks storm will be mostly rain with a little bit of snow in the back edge.
ty ryan for showinmg thaty punk billy the goat im not only one thimnking warm and rain. geesh why are people that want attention A HOLES, u can get attention by being nice.
Haha u said fart. Lol I am just playing no need to get mad ok
Hi Chris,
Been reading and checking your blog from the beginning. I’ve given your blog address to many, many people. It worries me over the tone of the blog. It needs cleaning up. Many of the students where I teach follow the blog and the arguing and being rude to you and the other bloggers is not setting a good examle. No excuse for it. Thank you for all of your hard work.
I will not even look at that system until Saturday (no point after this one’s silliness), but if similar track as the current system that went by- 13 years of ZERO hits in the area for southern fed systems, but two ice storms suggests that is a more than likely result. Really.
Money in the bank. 😉 Kind of hard to dispute the history.
Oh my Rolo, are you ok?
wellllll… we all had the right idea wishing it west. Apparently we just wished it a little too far! lol.
Boo hoo, Rolo, I mean Flip-Flopper, go cry some where else.
Other sites are reporting that we will receive only rain, no ice.