Good Saturday, folks. We are seeing a slow west-east increase in showers and storms out there today, but the more widespread action waits to take hold on Sunday. This is ahead of a slow-moving upper level system that may camp out into much of next week, bringing periodic wet weather to the region.
Today’s showers and storms become fairly widespread in the west, but this action really tapers off the farther east you get. As a matter of fact, eastern Kentucky probably won’t see any rain allowing temps to climb toward 80 or so. Central Kentucky gets through much of the day dry, but a few showers and storms will try to increase by late afternoon into the evening.
Here are your radars to follow whatever is going on where you live…
Showers and storms increase Sunday and take us into Monday. This is when some hefty rains try to show up and we will be on guard for some local hit and run issues to develop. Look at some of the rainfall numbers from the NAM…
With the upper level low still spinning for the week ahead, it tries to entrain some tropical moisture from off the southeast seaboard. Check out how the GFS looks from Tuesday morning through Saturday morning…
The GFS rain numbers through the first full week of October show some areas of central and eastern Kentucky getting more than a month’s worth…
As we look farther down the road, we find the control run of the EURO Ensembles showing additional closed lows working out of the west into our part of the world for the middle of the month…
The signal for deeper troughs in late October and early November continues to show up. I’ve told you how my 2008 analog produced some pre-Halloween light snows and the GFS extended continues to show some flake potential this season. Here’s the snow map from the latest run through November 4th…
We. Shall. See.
Make it a great day and take care.
Not liking the rain potential this week.
Here’s the blog on October 2nd, 2008. The blog had more bloggers and it seemed more fun than it is now. The weather was colder and there was frost in the forecast for areas of the state.
https://kyweathercenter.com/?p=1721
Here we are today and the weather forecast through next week reads like the weather type we would have through the Summer months. I blame the Tropical Atlantic. What else could it be ?
Maybe one of these years we will be using 1976,1977 and 1978 as analog years ?
I would say that social media probably is the reason. Twitter was just starting to take off at that time. I think a lot of his followers now just follow and comment on there, but still read his blog here.
*the reason for fewer bloggers (part of that sentence failed to make the arduous journey from my brain to my fingertips ha)
I was there but I must not have commented that day……Here’s the thing……The winters were not great at all. We were all complaining each year was nickel and dime snows. Year after year through that time we would talk about how the last big snow we had was 1998 and how (up until that point) had not had a big snow which was the longest stretch. We had cold weather and snow, just not “BIG snows” … that was until 2013 2014 2015….So 2008 may have had frost on this day, but the winter itself wasn’t great at all…..I think there was an ice storm in 2009…..but I don’t remember it being nearly as bad as the horrible one we had in 2003. You really can’t predict at all what the winter will be like. I have read that this winter could be bad with cold/snow….
It’s anyone’s guess as to how this winter will turn out. Last winter, December and January were mild and relatively snow-free, then out of nowhere came the extremely cold and snowy February (at least here in the Chicago area).
We didn’t have much of a Winter Snow season in 2020-21. I remember an inch or so of Snow on Christmas Day and after that it was mild till February when we had 0.5 inches of Ice and later 6.0 inches of Snow fell and then it warmed up till we had a late freeze in April.
As for this coming Fall and Winter you are right “it’s anyone’s guess.” I’ll take that action and say it will be a repeat of 2020-21. However some long range forecast are agreeing that the East Coast will have many Nor’Easters and above normal Snowfall in coastal area. Maybe the Eastern half of Kentucky will get in on the Snow action this Fall and Winter ?
It is a very warm and humid afternoon here in South Central Kentucky with a temperature of 81 degrees, 58% relative humidity and a high dew point of 64 degrees. Rain showers are to our west and seem to be moving in our direction.
winter of 2009, dec 17th. eastern kentucky had a massive blizzard-like snow storm. started off as rain around 5pm and within the hour turned to several inches of snow. heavy wet snow. totals around my parents house were near 14 inches. we had ice & very cold temps combined with that also which caused many homes like my own to be without running water for about 3 days. power outages were everywhere, roads were absolutely horrible. power was restored on christmas eve for many. im 49 and that was the worst storm i can recall as far as how fast it happened and the severity of the power outages and roads in this area. i do recall when i was in elem school we had a huge april snow of about 20+ inches. cant remember if it was 84 or 87, but we never lost power or water.
It was a lot easier to comment then since no registration was required. Also, Akismet (the spam catcher the site uses now) can be very frustrating to deal with, as it will not publish comments if a certain combination of letters is used in a word or whatever. I’ve had several comments in the past that I was unable to publish and never could figure out why.
Yeah, the internet and I may add is for educational purposes, but unfortunately we have those that want to take it away from us. This is why one has to register to participate.
This past September finished as the fifth warmest September on record here in the Chicago area, as O’Hare Airport had an average temperature of 70.3 degrees, which is 4.0 degrees above normal. Only 1.23 inches of rain fell for the whole month, and there was just one severe weather event on September 7th.
http://weather.gov/lot/September2021
Here’s the September Summary 2021 for various cities in Kentucky :
https://www.weather.gov/lmk/sep21_summary
Chicagoland was actually warmer than several cities in Kentucky during September! Also, we were much drier here.
The thing is weather comes in cycles from 2010 through 2017 we had some good snow totals. Going from 2018 to last winter we were in a snow drought until that cold spell we had in February with 6 inches of snow. Mother nature is unpredictable and yes Schoeder were due of repeat of the late 70’s wintets