Good Tuesday afternoon everyone. Our winter storm is moving in a bit quicker than I thought as light rain is breaking out across much of southern and western Kentucky. In the overall scheme of things… I have no significant changes to my line of thinking. I’m not sure if thats a good or bad thing. ![]()
As of early this afternoon… a Winter Storm Watch is out for much of central and eastern Kentucky tonight and Wednesday…
Some thoughts…
– Light rain will continue to move in across much of the region into the evening hours. Rain will begin to transition to heavy, wet snow across western Kentucky during the evening.
– As the storm to our south begins to deepen and work to our east… dynamic cooling will begin to kick in and that is what will lead to the switch to snow. Storms like these end up creating their own cold air on the north and northwest side of the track.
– The switch to snow will work from southwest to northeast later tonight into early Wednesday. Across southeastern Kentucky… the transition will also take place from top down. That simply means it will start snowing in the highest elevations with a fairly quick drop in the snow level Wednesday morning.
– The heaviest snow will fall in western Kentucky this evening into the wee hours of the morning. Central Kentucky and south central Ky will see the heaviest period of snow late night and Wednesday morning. Eastern and southeastern Kentucky will see the heaviest snows Wednesday morning and early afternoon.
– Temps will hover around freezing for this entire event meaning this will be a VERY wet snow. Areas that pick up on 5″ or more will be fair game to see some tree and power issues arise.
– I see the NWS in Jackson is getting “cold feet” (pun intended
). My suggestion is don’t… there should be a a nice swath of 4″ or more of snow through their forecast area on Wednesday. ![]()
With all that said… here is the updated snow forecast…
I left the northern areas a bit more open ended as pinpointing exactly where the sharp cutoff to the heaviest round of snow will be is impossible. There is likely to be a VERY sharp cutoff on the northern and northwestern edge of the snow. If you are a snow lover… I hope that cutoff isn’t across your neighbor’s yard. ![]()
I will get some tracking tools on later today… for now, you can follow the light rain into town…
More updates as needed so check back. Take care.
Select Page
Wow……
We shall see
How do you see things panning out in the Nashville area?
I like that CB’s new snow map has anywhere along and south of I-64 in the 1-4″ range now! That would put half of Louisville metro in a WWA. I definetely have heard NO MET give that potential for Louisville yet. I’ve been saying I see 3+” potential in this storm for Lou area.
thanks a lot, chris. I make school closing decisions–i’ve told a ton of people about this site–good stuff. Tough call for some areas for school tomorrow–how early does it get bad, how bad will it get….
thanks for update chris…hoping for a quick change over…
its funny with the last event lexington was the southeastern most in the watch/warning area this time they are the most northwestern…all it means is low end totals but its kinda funny!
chirs changever is seky will be to long for much more that 3 slushy inches if that.
flodding might be story of this storm. u done a great job trying to pinpoint this hard storm to forcaest.
this probably the weakest of the snows we have had this year unless the dynamic cooling kicks in 3 or 4 hours earlier.
That would depend on what area you’re in. Here in London, if I were to have to make a school call I would go as usual, but plan on an early dismissal.
Sweet nectar!
The NWS Charleston is saying the same thing for the Williamson area. No watches, advisories etc, Calling for little to no accumulation
Are you North or South of 64?
LIGHT RAIN
48*
BARBOURVILLE
…………..
SONG OF THE DAY CB. SINGIN IN THE OFFICE TODAY!!!!
EMINEM….IM NOT AFRAID!!!!!!!! TO TAKE A STAND!!!!!!! EVERYBODY….COME TAKE MY HAND,,,,COME TAKE MY HAND …LETS WALK THIS ROAD TOGETHER!!!!!THROUGH THE STORM…….
better get the measuring stick out
Ok! 1-4″ in Woddford! I expect the 1″ and be elated if it’s 4!!
You in MikeM?
intresting temeprature gradient in western kentucky low 30’s west over a balmy 40 here in bwg. overall no reack achanges to my thinking. though I do see the precipitation shield going into western KY already.
better have your measuring stick ready!!!
Thanks Chris for all the updates.
We should be gettin’ swamped right now accordin’ to the map. But it hasn’t done anything here yet. It was spittin’ the rain earlier but has now stopped.
Hope everyone stays safe through this
Thanks Chris for all the updates.
We should be gettin’ swamped right now accordin’ to the map. But it hasn’t done anything here yet. It was spittin’ the rain earlier but has now stopped.
Hope everyone stays safe through this
5 miles north…with this storm 5 miles could be the difference between 3″ and a dusting! Thinking north of 64 still has a chance at getting this, too. The north side of the river is where I think there will be a sharp cutoff of precip.
5 miles north…with this storm 5 miles could be the difference between 3″ and a dusting! Thinking north of 64 still has a chance at getting this, too. The north side of the river is where I think there will be a sharp cutoff of precip.
How much rain should we expect here in Lex/Richmond? …Am I reading your map correct–north richmond/Madison Co. 3-6
I’m in! But I’m greedy and I want even more than 4!
Might need a cain pole or mop handle to measure it with… 🙂
CB, this system is so nuts, we could get ZERO snow and most will not think bad of it. This is a CRAZY system.
I do think that for the high end to happen in the south, there will need to be some quick and serious temp changes taking place.
Unless the temps change earlier, southern areas “could” end up with similar totals or less than more northern areas.
We are about 5 degrees warmer than I thought we would be at this time, but still think it could work out 25% rain and 75% heavy snow. Higher would be better (duh) and lower goes best without saying. This is about as positive Bubba can be without patronizing folks.
We need DC in the house, REAL fast (Dynamic Cooling) 🙂
this storm looks like it is breaking apart once it hits the TN border, would Jellico Mtn be doing that ????
Ok everybody listen up! Turn off the heat and pee on the fires in the fireplace, we have too much heat escaping our homes! We’ve got to cool KY down REAL FAST!
Also in the London area. Personally, I’d plan for the day off in the event the changeover to snow occurs earlier. Less chaos than with parents scrambling to pick up their children and traveling in [potentially] rapidly declining conditions.
I notice you left out “Whatever weather – cold or warm!” Hahaha! 😉
Bailey, is this snow just going to come all at once? because the time frame of snow here is Knott County just doesnt look that impressive? am I right?
1 inch or less for us…
Rolo’s mule kicked it
Rain has started to fall in Murray, Kentucky. Temperatures are already dropping. 37 degrees here. 5 more degrees baby.
Yeah, I am North to in Oldham/Crestwood area…. I agree RS.
i want it all 🙂
Thanks CB! You are the man!!
I hope we get every last inch that this thing will pump out here in SE Kentucky!
Kids will be out of school the rest of the week, but I Love having them home. Plus with a good wet snow we can do some major playing outside!
Folks…. I still haven’t changed my mind. All rain event. Maybe a SMALL amount on the back side of the colder air.
The current temps are now proving my forecast just a few days ago.
Get the umbrellas out. I can’t believe the other forecasters can’t see this.
It’s been raining in Middlesboro for the past hour – Hour and a half. Waiting on the temperature to drop and it turn to snow!!
Where shall I send your cookies?
Nope…..this event WILL require Snow Boots!
you have lost it. your not even a met. sooo get lost!
18z RUC shows heavier snow coming farther north and west.
Who?
i was wondering if cb’s snow maps will likely be on the high or low side of his projected totals??? clay co. is in the 4-8, should we expect closer to 4 or 8??? i hate the maps, i always want the high end of course, but have the low end looming over my head..urrrggg…any comments welcome. 😀
Snow so close but yet so far away 49 degrees not even raining here in London I think a dome is setting up, even for the rain.
Testing live video stream for use later tonight.
Please give it a try.
http://www.stickam.com/member/goLive.do
Gotta get the temps. at the surface down first..and that’s not a certainty yet.
moderate rain in western ky mitch.
it take moderate to heavy to have DYNAMIC COOLING.
is it safe to assume that we will not actually know what we’re getting until it’s over???? hmmm???? ^*^
Yay 🙂 Ashland’s bumped up to the 3-6. X out the 3 and we’ll be cool, k? 😉
YIPPEEEEE HOPE THE DOME STAYS HERE TILL MARCH!!!!!
look at this!!! how can london get nearly 4 inches and manchester only 1????? how on god’s green earth is that possible????? http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/jkl/StormTotal/StormTotalSnow.png
the precip shield looks to be moving almost due north… am i crazy?
Also, the backside of the moisture is already to the Mississippi river. Even if the northern counties receive more than 2″ I think the major roadways will be in good shape.Unless there is a quick down burst.
Temp has ticked UP a couple of degrees in Berea. Now 41. Had been 39 all morning and until about 1pm
Downgraded to WWA now. Temps are soaring, this thing is falling apart.
Corrected Link
Testing stream for weather coverage
http://www.stickam.com/centralkentucky
That’s a flaw with that map. The values by the cities are not set in stone. That map shows that the amounts will be highly variable depending on where you are and what your elevation is. Warm air may keep the precip as rain longer in the deeper valleys of far southeast KY keeping snow totals down. Hope that helps explain things better.
YUP. I won’t say I told them so. I promise. 🙂 If LEX gets a light snow covering and LOU gets anything at all, it’ll be luck. Sounds like I’m a broken record…I know. I won’t say it again for this event.
This blog used to be fun but it only makes me a nervous wreck now!!! I am so confused I don’t know if I am coming or going.I am just going to look out my window to get my NOWcast!!!!
Gotta love this:
Tonight: Rain likely before 2am, then snow. Low around 29. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Wednesday: Snow. Steady temperature around 28. North northwest wind between 5 and 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.
only a portion was downgraded. heavy snow still being forecast due east. i don’t see how you think that it’s falling apart, the radar returns show nothing of the sort. you’ll notice counties in central kentucky such as bullitt and shelby are now under an advisory when they previously had nothing…
i’m sorry, when i mentioned the radar returns, i was talking about my part of the state, louisville area. the moisture is still there in western/central kentucky, and i have no doubt dynamic cooling will do what we need it to do.
louisville 1-3
campbellsville 2-4
lexington 1-2
I’m in Lex therefore commenting on Lex. Its falling apart here, maybe not for those in S SE KY. And I don’t mean falling apart precipitation wise… going to take significant (and when I say significant, I mean miracle) cooling to turn it into much… for Central KY… don’t freak out EKY you’ll still likely get a decent amount.
Ignore all the naysayers 🙂
Seems like all of the sudden we have a bunch of “Nay-saying wanna be meteorologists” showing up for the party.
They’ll go away once proved wrong 😉
The new NAM says the storm isn’t falling apart at all.
Only a donkey would trust the NAM.
At this point in the game we are going to be nowcasting folks. The models still do not have a very good handle on this situation. For those areas just south of Louisville, it could be 1 – 3, 2 – 4, or maybe more… maybe less. We have to wait on the storm now; and see what falls from it.
I have been following these things for years, and this has to be one of the toughest storms to pin down I have seen. I don’t believe the weather offices up the coast have a clue yet, just generalities.
Good luck to everyone, and I hope you get what you are wanting. Time to watch the storm!
So are you saying LEX is going to get hammered with snow? When YOU are wrong, will you go away? 😉
Not a chance any of Jefferson Co, KY will see 1-3. Dusting to 1 inch at best.
Update from the Hookie Lau….This storm is falling apart for Louisville/Lexington areas. East and Southest could still get in on some action, but the dynamic cooling is not going to happen. It is too above predicted temps at this point for anything significant to stick in the bluegrass region…
Pikeville – 2-4 inches
Lexington – dusting – half an inch
Louisville – dusting – quarter inch
Only jealous people get on here and act like they know everything weather wise too.
I’m jealous of the people that get a lot of snow
it will be a central ky storm. I wont have class tomorrow and the world will be happy! Check out my site. I will have an update out this evening
Im missing out on the action cause i have to work 🙁 I will have an update this evening on my website this evening.
I’d hardly call Chris a donkey…and I trust his credentials.
ive been now casting for bout 12 hours, mosisture getting more intense to our west, it take at least 6 hours of moderate to heavy rain to drop air temop enough for snow.
but a suprise could make it sooner and i would not care one bit to be wrong about my 1-3 tops for SE KY. if we get the deepening as CB says at the lift he might just mail this one. we will see.
the nam is ACTUALLY A GOOD MODEL THIS CLOSE IN TO U NON EDUCATED MODEL READERS.
great post mike, anything is still on table.
Just wondering..Is Michael someone that works with CB? Kind of sounded like he was. Im new to this site and don’t know everyone yet.
Wasn’t calling Chris a donkey… he says it right… it brings a lot of moisture… he didn’t say snow. If you want a nice cold rain you are in luck. Anybody understand anything around here?
new tweet!
i dont know where all these people are coming from lol
Not that I am aware of. I think CHris is a lone wolf. Michael is just one of a dozen or so amateur voices on here who know a bit about weather. Most times, as you can see, most everybody is guessing and one guess is as good as another. lol
i miss BERNIE and JULIE FROM FRANKFORT.
i luv all rest of u all, do any of u have a live chat set up like we used to do. im on
nws conference call just said area like london is in the 1-3″, starting around 3-4am, no freezing rain, there’s your big storm!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Thanks!
Hope we get the BIG DADDY!! But not holding my breath.
So you trust the NAM to bring the moisture but not snow? But I thought you said “only a donkey would trust the NAM.”
Sounds contradicting to me. Also, the NAM is usually pretty good the closer a storm gets…but I figure you already knew that, right?
Did you really just insert the word “educated” in one of your posts? Really? Anyone else catch the irony here?
We are just south of I-64 in Indiana…do we need to be at all concerned? Is the stopping point going to be the river? And it is currently 33 here is ice at all a possibility Local meteorologists are just calling for some dusting in the far southern KY counties. BTW..I love the blog and I live in Southern Indiana so thank you so much for all of the hard work
Do the higher than forecast current temps change the anticipated snow amounts? Its currently 46* in Bowling Green. The forecast high was 42*.
acytuslly that huge statement eawasnt supposed to start snowing till close to noon. if it starts that soon then hmm. but as I POSTED AT 6AM the WSW is over and advisory is in.
Busy day at work. I am trusting Chris’ forecast. If the call to downgrade needs to be made, he will make it. He is batting a thousand to this point. Just going to wait and see what happens.
Yea I understand that. You also understand they are wrong sometimes? Have you noticed temps going 5-10 degrees higher than models? Maybe you should also learn trends and not just one model run
nobody really cares about the website, i thought i shot you
BANG BANG …. two should do it!! 🙂
rolo should change his name to Otis
You betcha
I guess we’ll see huh?
huh huh huh good one 😉
I love this site..but you people are going to drive yourselves crazy (I think i’m already there). I have come to a final conclusion about this “storm”. It’s going to do what it is going to do. I’ve been watching for the past few days and nobody seems to know any more than they new this weekend so I give up! Just going to watch the radar and wait for CB updates would suggest everyone else do the same before you all go crazy…take care and happy Tuesday!
winter storm warning out for eatern ky…
Finally, Greenup County’s under a WWA. I thought somebody was asleep at the wheel. LOL
ROLO!!! I’m here!!!! I miss y’all too! Trust me – I’m here and reading…just don’t post as much. It’s CROWDED in here! 😉
Me too! My Jeep’s fuel pump just went out, so no 4×4 tomorrow! 🙁
Middlesboro should get the high end of the 4-8″. Most the time we hit it or exceed it.
Wow, speak for yourself. I appreciate all of the people that take the time to answer questions on here. I am no meteorologist and it makes it much easier to have someone explain things. This site seems to be close to taken over by trolls and I hope CB can weed them all out. Rudeness is frowned upon here.
check out my site, im more towards your area. just click my name
I notice in parts of Western Ky the green is giving way to blue and pink…..folks are we seeing dynamic cooling already or am I wrong? Hoping so 🙂
Laurel county and points south and west now under WWA I knew it was to good to be true temp has dropped a couple of degrees still no rain breaks up before getting here.
Will be updating my totals and will have my final call out on my site soon if anyone is interested.
The people on the blog today, could never come back..and it would not bother me one bit lol
Temperatures in the Whitesburg area are at 50*F right now, no rain yet.
So Somerset has been downgraded to WWA would love to see some updates from CB
larkin, your gunna have to up your totals once more..central ky storm. lol
Lancaster been downgraded to a WWA.
I did, thank you, it is a great site, but I am meteorologically illiterate, yay or nay to ice…snow totals are going to be what they are going to be, but I have to take my baby to the Dr. tomorrow morning and ice spooks me after Feb. 2009.
There are actually a couple of Pros who post on here a bit such as Shane and MJ.
Chris do you think Morgan co should have been taken out of the WSW to a WWA?
well if u like to cheer up and make some money u can go i halvers withme this week starting tomm betting horses.
Lot of lighter blue in the 24 hr precip from the 18z NAM. Hoping its more white stuff than rain. Warm the Wrangler up Chief.
nws will make a fool out of themselves on this storm. Boom.Roasted.
wow, wouldn’t bother us if you didn’t either …. and yea i am being rude, so be it … everyone acts like they own this blog and only a select few is allowed to speak …. well people slap my a$$ with icing and call me cupcake – cause it is on!!!
I live 3 miles north of 64. I hope that 64 isn’t the cutoff, but Shelby County has usually been on the low end if the snow totals this winter.
So…inquiring minds want to know…when are we going to get some severe thunderstorms to roll in here? When is the SPC going to put us under a Moderate Risk?
how soon can we expect the update
you may end up being the FOOL …. BOOM TOASTED EAT IT
I agree, wholeheartedly, there have been some folks on here today whose sole purpose has been to stir up trouble. I think the ban hammer should be wielded!
WSW for East KY.
That’s all I need for confirmation.
I agree Chastity. Would rather them go ahead & call it off now instead of all the parents goin’ crazy with worry if their kid/kids will make it home alright on the bus. Especially if they drive to school. Which in a situation like this they shouldn’t drive anyway, but I know alot still does. I just wonder if Laurel County will call off school…
Just saying, by looking at the RUC model, the NAM is not far enough north or west…. I would move the 3-4 and 4-8 50-70 miles north… just an opinion from an untrained eye…
SE Ky upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning.
Where all da’ naysayers at!…LOL
Lamont, I have been here for a few years. The people that HAVE been here for awhile pretty much no each other. And today, there literally are people here to stir up trouble. you wanna cause problems, take it somewhere else.
today song is BUBBA SHOT THRE JUKE BOX last nite said they playedf a bad forcasst he never liked.
ent to his truck got his 45 and ole BUBBA SHOT THE WEATHER BOX last nite.
From Chris’ Blog on WSAZ:
3:15pm Update
The NWS in Jackson as upgraded much of eastern Kentucky to a Winter Storm Warning late tonight and Wednesday. That includes the Big Sandy Valley. Farther north toward Morhead is a Winter Weather Advisory. A Winter Weather Advisory is also out from the NWS in Wilmington, Oh for Lewis county in Ky and Scioto county in Ohio. We shall see what the NWS in Charleston does… but they are behind in the game compared to their neighboring NWS offices
I am still staying with my earlier thoughts that I posted not just here a couple days ago, but for the last several days on other blogs…and now that we’ve all pretty much been downgraded, I still say we are going to get slammed. By snow. Not rain.
Why all the bickering. You people sound like me and my ex before I finally gave his miserable “perfect” butt the boot. This one trying to out-4cast the next one, and really, IMO, none of us have a real clue, do we?! Not even me. Just sayin’…
And why does everyone in E. KY, and some of you from S. IN. always say you’ve not had a ‘big snow” in HOW MANY DAYS now??! lol…someone here said the other day they’d had 35″ already this winter…north of the river’s had some good snowfalls while us just here along the BG pkwy and East a little bit have had nothing to brag about, as some of us know. I’m just thinking this will pan out to help ALL of us on our snow-love, but really, us here in the middle need it more than others. 😉
Booooooooo!
Precip in western KY looks more impressive than eastern surprise surprise
I appreciate it to..I would be lost with out some additional info.
give me a break, nobody really gives a rats behind how long people has been here … and you wouldn’t know (spelled correctly) anybody on here if they walked up and smacked the crap out of you … so back off mr helper!!!
i thought the same thing
i say with NWS saying 3-4am for snow to start and CLAY CO IN WARNING/LONDON IN WWA that hazard east/se going see 6-8 of power line downer snows.
emember as soon as 12 they said 10-12 before SEKY see snow on all local TV METS.
look for BAILEY throw a nugget before he goes on air at 5.
you mean these are retired guys or former mets?
You may end up getting BANNED. BOOM, OBLITERATED.
Wow you have somerset in 8-10 can i ask what makes you think that I am not complaining but we just got downgraded from a WSW to a WWA
It is currently 40 degrees in Shelbyville. No rain yet.
I’m sure they’ll pull something out of their nether regions.
Seriously? Does your daddy work there or something? if he does, I’m sure Lincoln meant no harm…
GO STEELERS…!
My apologies to the pros for my oversight.
You are one of the greatest weather men in the business. So far you have been right on all the weather that eastern KY is receiving. Keep up the good work Chris.
considering I know( spelled correctly) what they look like, I most likely would. Get your facts straight.
Jackson NWS knocks some of SE Ky. down to WWA as Tenessee NWS cranks up Winter Storm Warnings LOL. Gotta love it….
What happen to our bet..?
U bet like U forecast Rolo… (Flip-Flop)
here is a new post from the wave 3 blog After looking at the radar trends and the 18Z NAM (which brings the 2″ line to the Ohio River) Kevin and I decided to go 1-2″ for the metro. The western part of the area of rain has expanded some this afternoon and is showing a nice move to the NE. If this trend continues then late evening or just after midnight we could see a decent burst of snow. Our SuperMicrocast product in house also shows about 1.5 inches for Louisville overnight. Keep an eye on the radar. Its your best forecast tool now that we are so close.
WOOHOO! Winter storm Warning. BANG BANG. Brandon, Tim, we are in business.
I agree with you. Louisville has gotten 13.9″ so far this year, all on 2-3″ snowfalls. East and south of Louisville we have gotten even less. I wish we could get a big snowstorm that covers the state in 1′ of snow. Then no one could complain anymore.
Got a gut feeling that we will all be surprised by the snow amounts from this storm, as they will be higher than forecasted!
Choose to ignore these people. And when nobody responds to their comments they might say good bye and go to another blog to make derogative comments
They are certified and currently making a living forecasting weather just like Chris.
no what number jersey u want VINNY. either give me ur emaoil address or if ur still at eponies wsend me ur address there.
i might be up ur way next week so might get up and just bring it peronally.
You had to bring out the English books. While your spelling of “know” is correct, your use of “how long people has been here” is grammatically incorrect. It should be “have,” since people is a plural form of the word “person.”
I’ve been down this road too many times. So, CB, I’m not going to add anything else to this post about that. 😉
While we welcome and encourage new members and visitors to post their thoughts on the blog, when it comes to the subject of caring about how often people visit and who has been here longer, reader and viewer loyalty are not tossed around lightly on the forums.
Winter storm warning for letcher co.
Still no ALERT mode. That is all I need to know.
Why do big snows hate Ky? I mean really. Southern states where it usually is warmer than us can get it, and Ky being more northern cant buy a dadgum decent snow. What gives?
I hope your right cause I am about to buy a winter home in Buffalo NY so I don’t forget what snow looks like
same here, lots of surprises, most of the higher totals of 4 to 8 inches should be near bg pkwy and I65 interchange in that vicinity and rel humidity is 100% and temps have begun to fall to 39 now in hardin county
18Z NAM, 18Z RUC and 15Z SREF trending north and west.
That wasn’t the bet, but it’s ok… Please tell me u picking Green Bay..???
Know I’m looking ahead here and beating the same ole’ drum, but do you still see a winter storm possible next week? If so, when?
WOW Mitch. Everybody hold on, this ride is going to get bumpy.
Mitch, I know west is best but what does north bring forth? LOL Does it mean more rain?
Going out on a limb and saying 6-10 SE KY.
I agree 110%
LOL,..looks to me if it don’t turn colder in a few hrs ain’t nobody getting any snow..Moving quickly and all the moisture will be gone by tomorrow…Just my observation..No rocks or sharp objects to be thrown please..
Nope, they wouldn’t complain anymore…until the NEXT storm shows up on the horizon.LOL! 😉
Oh yes, loving it….especially now that TWC is forecasting 4-6″ for London! 😉
Tomorrow: Cloudy with snow. Temps nearly steady in the low to mid 30s. Winds NNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 80%. 4 to 6 inches of snow expected.
Rain shield in Tennessee making quick progress north. Somerset and surrounding areas (south central Kentucky) will see more stready rain starting around 5:30 to 6:00 it looks like.
Heeeeeeeere snowy,snowy,snowy..ChattyKathy want you
to come play in her yard 🙂 What’s up with JKS weather service…downgrading Pulaski co to an advisory:0 iT’S NOT NICE TO FOOL MOTHER NATURE !!
I have never left a comment on here before but I visit the site every day and I am a huge snow lover. The bunny rabbit hunkered down in the bushes outside of my office window says it’s gonna come a big snow!! LOL
Don’t understand why London is not in the winter storm warning but who cares when was the last time the nws in jackson got something right??? …. Never
Can we get a link to the RUC and SREF?
Please and thank you!
I’m not adding the pot here. However, some post suggest that the new people on here does not know jack.
Experience
*Been in 4 major hurricanes
*40k miles traveled storm chasing
-Several intercepts
-I navigated
*Trained spotter with the NWS since 97
Had DTN weather before internet
-Internet since 95
Thanks…
The 20z RUC is continuing the trend northwest. It is now pulling decent moisture up into Southern Indiana. Some people are going to be in for a big suprise, ecspecially since mets in Louisville didn’t even hardly mention a chance for accumulating snow until this morning. Its all about how soon we can get that rain to change over to snow.
If it’s any consolation, even TWC disagrees with JKL… 😉
Somerset forecast for tomorrow:
Snow during the morning will transition to snow showers during the afternoon. Temps nearly steady in the low to mid 30s. Winds NNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 80%. Snow accumulating 3 to 5 inches.
RUC
http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=RUC&grid=255&model_yyyy=2011&model_mm=01&model_dd=25&model_init_hh=20&fhour=12¶meter=PCPIN&level=12&unit=HR&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false
Keep in mind that this is only 12 hours out, not the whole storm and the model runs every hour.
Kasnow: I’m viewing this the way I would during severe weather season. Just because we are not in a warning doesnt not mean that we will not see accumulating snows. I truly hope that this decision to issue an advisory doesn’t cause anyone to let their guard down.
Correction: Just because we are not in a warning does not mean that we will not see accumulating snows.
I think this storm is causing me to lose my mind…LOL!
Congratulations!
Just like you, i’m pretty experienced also:
*Watched Weather Channel coverage of at least 2 dozen hurricanes
*Watched Discovery Channel’s “Storm Chasers” chase tornados over thousands of miles
-Watched the TIV and the Dominator intercept many tornados
*Trained on the use of a weather radio. If it goes off in the middle of a storm…duck.
*Had the Internet since 1995 also…how come I haven’t met you before? We have so much in common.
I am along time reader but never post. This storm systems doesn’t know what it wants to do it looks like to me. I remember in ’97 we were to get 1-3 and ended up with 10!!! I am happy to just sit back and watch it all unfold. Chris you do a wonderful job, thank you you for putting your spare time in just to help all of us out in knowing what could be coming our way!
Oh..I almost forgot. I’ve had cable TV since 1982.
Updates CB put on his WSAZ blog…
3:30pm Update
The NWS in Charleston has upgraded parts of southern WV into the Mountains into a Winter Storm Warning. The rest of the area is under a Winter Weather Advisory. More to come in a bit.
3:15pm Update
The NWS in Jackson as upgraded much of eastern Kentucky to a Winter Storm Warning late tonight and Wednesday. That includes the Big Sandy Valley. Farther north toward Morhead is a Winter Weather Advisory. A Winter Weather Advisory is also out from the NWS in Wilmington, Oh for Lewis county in Ky and Scioto county in Ohio. We shall see what the NWS in Charleston does… but they are behind in the game compared to their neighboring NWS offices.
1:30pm Update
Good Tuesday afternoon everyone. Our winter storm is moving in a bit quicker than I thought as light rain is breaking out across much of southern and western Kentucky. In the overall scheme of things… I have no significant changes to my line of thinking. I’m not sure if thats a good or bad thing.
As of early this afternoon… a Winter Storm Watch is out for much of eastern Kentucky into parts of southern and eastern West Virginia tonight and Wednesday…
I stayed in a Holiday Inn Express last night!
lol…now you have to admit that is pretty funny!
Hmm….well, I stayed at a Holiday Inn Express last night.
still cant get why everyone is so all over the place on this weather still 46 in Somerset i just dont see us getting more than 1-3 inches
LMAO!
Bubs—-do you have the remoteweather station data for (actual) Clay’s Ferry bridge? I found it and would be delighted to share it since we are seemingly slammed by the ‘bridge’ effect!
I find it funny to go look at all the NWS office sites around the region and none of them jive. The 18z Nam run looks pretty good for us here in London. By this time tomorrow we should know who won. I’d really love to see 6+ here.
I happened to stay in a Holiday Inn Express last nite. How is that for knowledge?
That post was screaming for a sarcastic reply. Well Done.
i hope we get hosed. i cannot deal with another “why the HE** are we out of school for 0.4″ of snow” snow day. seriously, all or nothing.
Yes, if your not smiling after that, somethings wrong!!!
3:30pm Update
The NWS in Charleston has upgraded parts of southern WV into the Mountains into a Winter Storm Warning. The rest of the area is under a Winter Weather Advisory. More to come in a bit.
3:15pm Update
The NWS in Jackson as upgraded much of eastern Kentucky to a Winter Storm Warning late tonight and Wednesday. That includes the Big Sandy Valley. Farther north toward Morhead is a Winter Weather Advisory. A Winter Weather Advisory is also out from the NWS in Wilmington, Oh for Lewis county in Ky and Scioto county in Ohio. We shall see what the NWS in Charleston does… but they are behind in the game compared to their neighboring NWS offices.
1:30pm Update
Good Tuesday afternoon everyone. Our winter storm is moving in a bit quicker than I thought as light rain is breaking out across much of southern and western Kentucky. In the overall scheme of things… I have no significant changes to my line of thinking. I’m not sure if thats a good or bad thing.
As of early this afternoon… a Winter Storm Watch is out for much of eastern Kentucky into parts of southern and eastern West Virginia tonight and Wednesday…
Sounds to me like you sit on your A** all day and watch tv..You do know lack of exercise will clog your arties..Guess you allready knew that from the Discovery..
I love snow just like all of you and have followed this site for a couple of years now. I love reading posts from mitch, lincoln, rolo, and BubbaG – seems they have been doing this for a while and I have seen them posting the entire time I have been here. I remember CoffeeLady as well! Apparently word of mouth gets around, because there are a lot of people in here now. As much as I love snow, this heavy wet snow scares me. 3-5 inches could easily bring down tree limbs and powerlines. I teach, so I love getting out of school every now and then, but not if I have to stay home with no electricity, lol!!! Since I teach math, I think I will use the ol’ 1 inch rain to 10 inches of snow ratio the next time we are looking at ratios and proportions, lol!
I’ll have to give up to Chris it’s his blog and he does a great job, puts up with a lot of crap on here. Everybody on edge about these storms people have to vent there frustrations and were else better to do it then on the blog with so many like minded people. Snow dancers needed ASAP
Central Tenn. expecting 4-6 in. Temps in 40’s there also. They expect a change over to snow around midnight also. Are we expecting less moisture here in central Ky. to not get the same amount?
Ha ha ha, I just kept refreshing waiting for someone to have a good comeback. That was great Thanks so much for the laugh!
CB, we love you and I would be honored to have you as a drinking buddy (rootbeer, of course 😉 ) , but we are a bit late in the game for “tweazes”. Update your map with more snow love if that is what you think 😉 🙂
Just messing with you, but your tweet teazes are now “tweazes” 🙂
Can’t we all just get a long?
Seriously, why all the bashing? Life is far too short for that…
See what moderation does to you? =-)
Used to shoot a LOT of 45s back in the day 🙂
Look at the radar. Bands band bands bands.
This is the funniest post I’ve ever seen. Reminds me of the scene in Tombstone when Johnny Ringo spins his gun around and Doc Holiday’s(Val Kilmer’s) response is to spin his drinking cup.
Well, The Weather Channel has changed their forecast again. Now they are saying Laurel County is only going to get 2-4 inches of snow on Wednesday but they have us under a Winter Storm Warning. They have been changing the totals all day, they have said 2-6, 3-5 and 4-8. ??? I can’t wait for Chris to post a new update. Thanks Chris for all your hard work
Looks like the snow line has reached Owensboro. Not sure if that stuff is hitting the ground. 39 in South Woodford. Lots of mouisture down south so who knows. Lots of time left.
Who is bashing?
Crazy that there is not a consistent forecast on this event yet. Even CB seems unsure, which says volumes about this particular system.
Still, since CB has yet to go in official alert mode, THIS late in the game, even more contradiction added to the mix. Wild.
You’re not in Lexington are you Michael?
I just thought about what Chris said in his last post he thought the NWS would get cold feet he sure hit that nail on the head.
the current temperature is largely irrelevant. dynamic cooling has not started taking place yet. when it does, and we don’t get cold enough for snow, then you can significantly decrease snow totals.
CHRIS BAILEY is working on TV so it hard good or bad fo him to post, around 7 he will post his latest thoughts.
ehich sdhold be more rain than snow to what he originsally though.
BAILEY was counting on thi low over us to pull in moisdture from main storm to our s and e back west, well that not looking likr tys going to hsappen folks. so in the end a another close but no cigare snowstoem.
Wow! check the little blue dot out. That’s me!
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day1_psnow_gt_12.gif
At least a 10% chance of 12″
new update
Just the stabs at one another… nothing towards CB
Its almost to me now judging by radar returns that western and north central KY might be the big winners with snow precip is going due north with a east motion. Go figure?? This storm is not behaving like anybody thought.
Chris, is it tending more northward now? We need some live chat action in here.
Good work, it is pleasure to read your interesting posts. Waiting for more
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