Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a gorgeous end to a day that started with frost and a light freeze, but the focus continues to be on a big system moving in for the next several days. This is set to bring a lot of rain, gusty winds and chilly temps into the start of the Halloween weekend.

Before we get into the forecast, let’s look back at a cold morning…

As far as the next system goes…

  • The Kentucky impact is Wednesday night-Saturday night.
  • Rounds of rain spiral across the state during this time, bringing some locally heavy rains from time to time.
  • A general 1″-2″ of rain will be noted for many.
  • This is not a setup that should cause any high water concerns.
  • Can we get some dry times in between rounds of rain? Yes, but don’t expect too much.
  • Winds will be gusty and some 30mph+ gusts may show up at some point.
  • Temps remain seasonably chilly with 50-55 on most days, with the potential for some upper 40s.
  • The rain looks to move away early Sunday and that means Halloween looks seasonably chilly and dry.

The pattern into early November continues to feature plenty of cold air moving into the country and impacting our region in waves. The models continue to hint at the first flake potential at some point in the first two weeks of the month. As expected, the operational models change from run to run, but the theme is the same…

GFS

EURO

The GFS Ensembles show some big time below normal temps during the first week of the month…

The model also shows the flake potential through the first few weeks of the month…

I will have updated on all this on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and may drop by for another update later today. Until then, here are your radars to track the rain in from the west…

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Enjoy the rest of the day and take care.