Good Monday afternoon everyone. The Winter Storm THREAT continues for Tuesday night into Wednesday as we see the models slowly, but surely, head toward the track we have outlined. This would put many areas in the game for a heavy, wet snowfall with the greatest risk being across the south and east.
Here is the updated Risk Forecast map…
I am increasingly confident areas in the highest risk region will see several inches of wet snow. Areas farther north and west have decreasing chances the farther you live from the high risk region.
I still expect low pressure to form near Louisiana later today then slowing lift northeast into central North Carolina by early Wednesday before riding up the coast…
The midday model runs continue to come around with the GFS showing it’s slow westward trend with the track and precipitation shield…
I don’t think the GFS is done correcting westward. The GFS Ensembles “average” precipitation totals increased westward as well…
My thoughts on this storm remain unchanged…
– The area of heaviest snow is likely to be across parts of southern and eastern Kentucky with lighter amounts farther west and north. Greater than 6″ totals are likely for much of the highest risk area and that may include some of the moderate risk folks. There is likely to be a pretty sharp cutoff to the snowfall on the northwestern side especially.
– This is a Tuesday night and Wednesday storm with the bulk of the snow to fall Wednesday.
– Temps will be near freezing for the bulk of the first half of the storm and this could result in a heavy, wet snow for some. If this storm ends up putting parts of our region in the axis of heaviest totals… some tree and powerline issues could arise… especially in the higher elevations.
– The precipitation should start out as a mix before dynamic cooling kicks in changing the mix to snow. Northerly and northwesterly winds would then help with the cooling process as the low kicks into high gear just to our east.
– Any change in the track and intensity of the low will cause significant changes to the forecast.
– I highly suspect Winter Storm Watches will be coming out this afternoon.
More updates later today so check back. Have a great afternoon and take care.
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First?
Wow thanks CB, that’s great news for us snow lovers in SE KY (Clay Co.) !!!!!
Thanks, Chris. We will see what happens.
Jim Caldwell is coming out with a first call map between 3:45-4:45
I’m definitely liking these totals a lot more than earlier! Go west young storm, goooo west!!
Okay, all the Clay County people who comment meet tonight at Wal Mart at 7 and we’ll have a Chris Bailey celebration. I have a feeling there’d be a bunch!! Nah, make it El Cazador’s! LOL
Based on CB’s post, my guess is some of you folks feel real bad picking on BubbaG 😉 Yeah right.
As mentioned, “heaviest” is a relative term, even if lower amounts. I still see rain as a factor (how can it not be, with heavy wet snow involved?)
I do not create the weather, so watch with the rocks and molded fruit when you thow it at me. IF I thought we had a good chance for a big snow in cnetral KY, I would say so 🙂
Sadly, I have before and been wrong.
Thanks chris…settin in the HIGH RISK ZONE…:)
and the jury continues to deliberate! I’m right on the moderate line with this one. Go west young low, go west.
8-12 inches is my forcastr for SE KY.
ty LEGEND.
the GFS had me scared that why i was worried last nite but im now convenced we could see a dangerous snowfall cause u have heavy snow at 33-35 degree temps.
When can we expect to see some accumulation totals?
Interesting… .25 – .50″ QPF for Spencer, Co. (I had to magnify the page to 400% to figure it out lol).
I still think a lot of my precip will be a very cold rain, with snow Tues night if the dynamic cooling takes over. Not a big deal for me, but this will be a fun storm to watch.
The rain is starting along the Tx/La coast. This is where the low will come from, so in a sense, we can start nowcasting based on the movement of this precip if it stays close enough to shore.
I hope this keeps the naysayers quiet.
Chris Bailey is the judge, jury, and executioner when it comes to the weather in this area.
and to u BUBBA WHAT THE HELL ARE U TALKING BOUT MAN, NOBODY redneck u from what ive read. hell if it dont snow 1 foot or more i guess the BUBBA THEORY will always be right.
oh and if it does snow 12 inches in SE KY /E KY in a few spot then yes it a BUBBA BUSTER. just cause it aint in MADISON CO dont count.
haha rolo is a child….isnt it obvious he is a kid?
Another swing and a miss, for central Kentucky, the no-big-snow capital of the eastern U.S.!
My QPF has gone up to .25 – .50 in Spencer Co. KY. Not bad for being on the fringe. Most of it will be rain, but some very sloppy snow will do just fine.
There is a precip shield along the TX/LA coast. This is where the low is going to come from, so we can start watching it for movement trends. It will be interesting to see where watches/advisories are issued this afternoon.
Will need a further trend west, but not out of the question.
Seems another ankle biter for Richmond, but penty of time for some wild west action! Kappow!
No ALERT mode = not that big of a deal. Rain is going to hurt us this time. we got the shift to the west but it is also going to bring some relatively warm air with it.
What are your thoughts on Adair Co. I see the line runs through the county. What do you think the snowfall predictions are for us? Would love the input from people.
I don’t know why we doubt him at times since he usually delivers on the forecasts that he puts out, but this sounds like a pretty sweet setup to me….just hoping to keep power 🙂
The only real naysayers have been the local mets 😉
CB’s map fits what he has been saying, but the key issue was for big snow WEST of where the map is-Central KY as example).
If you are referring to those naysayers, they (based on CB’s map) were correct, so not really naysayers, since nothing to be “nay” to 🙂
Thank you Chris and the Legend lives on.I am glad to be in Pikeville right now.High risk Capital lol.Please don’t let the rain count down my totals lol.Rolo can I borrow a heater lol or a generator?
Already suggested city/county marketing folks should be trying to spin it and sell the area as a Big-Snow Free zone 😉
Hate big snow? Come to central KY- no worries for that here! 😉 🙁
Shelby/Oldham/Bullit/Jefferson Co. also included in that range. However, it won’t be mostly rain. CB has repeatedly said this “- The precipitation should start out as a mix before dynamic cooling kicks in changing the mix to snow. Northerly and northwesterly winds would then help with the cooling process as the low kicks into high gear just to our east.-”
That being said, I really think our area still has a chance at 3+” of snow. My gut just tells me the precipitation shielf will surprise the local MET’s. Even the GFS is coming on board. It won’t be a major event for the Lou area. But, any accumulation out of this storm would mean all the local MET’s got the forecast wrong, as none of the stations have us getting accumulation.
Storm will be further west than current models show, this will start
To show up as the storm actually builds..
Cut down my totalsand I forgot
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIRQf0S3oD0
About a 50 mile shift to the west from last update. Come on can we get another 50!!!
A local Met says this is an East KY storm, not ours… and that only counties southeast of louisville will see ‘an inch or two’—
hmmmm… 😉
Zoom out on the national radar and it appears the players are on the field.
When can we expect your next update?
Dang,rolo must of hit his head when he jumped train this morning or his mule kicked him one..But im still with ya rolo,gonna ride the rolo train till it stops..
Another correction or two westward by the GFS and Central Kentucky plays the game as well. All hope is not lost.
Zoom out to the nation view on the accuweather radar and is that the storm thats coming?
Does it seem like its got a hook north when its hits TN?
What do I know… but it just looks that way to me. lol. Wishful thinking? 😉
Monday, January 24, 2011 6:23 AM rolo wrote:
well unless later today models change 1-3 inches at best for SE KY, once again whwn usually 2 days in we know what going happen, the SNOWDOME kicks in. sorry gang but no big snow again.
Reply to this
Like I said earlier…even if Lou. and surrounding areas only get an inch or two, then the forecasts put out by the local MET’s would be wrong. Still not saying my predictions until the overnight runs. But, it’s worth noting, that NO accumulation is being predicted by most Lex/Lou MET’s. I suspect there’s a chance that may be wrong.
What happened to the SE KY, 1-3 inches at best, forecast you gave this morning?
Nope 🙂 I said east and south east KY had a good shot and always did (mainly far east).
Bubba buster would be big snow in central KY. Richmond being a personal bias 🙂
Here’s my prediction…In rolo terms
East ky.>>>>>>Aaaaaaaaaa-Hole deep to a giraffe
Lex…..Ankle high to a poodle…
Louisville…..Chiwawa gets bottom of feet wet..
Looking better and better!!!
I believe we will get some snow from this, but it is going to be a heavy wet slop type of snow. As far as an amount, I want to see the next two model runs, especially the 00Z runs tonight, before trying to pinpoint an amount for our area. In lea mans terms, I want to see if a heavier plume of moisture forms on the northwestern side of the storm as it pulls up from the gulf.
Looking better and better!! Can’t wait to see how it all pans out!
Someone needs to take a look at why comments are not posting on the board. This is getting frustrating when a person takes the time to write out a comment, only to see it does not make it onto the board. Cutting and pasting has been tried to no success.
Here shortly.. I’ll post when I’m done with it
Hmmm, Morehead is on the “fringe” of moderate/slight possibilities…I’m still not seeing it happen to any more degree than the previous snows we have had. The “heaviest” snows are going to be the most farthest Eastern Ky..just the bordering counties…my opinion 🙂
Here is a web briefing from the Jackson office
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/jkl/?n=webbriefing
So it looks like the majority of it could come through the day Wed. Is that right? Maybe it wont lay on the roads as much with the power of the sun above..
put up a forecast for totals on my site still medium confidence but i have 2-4 lex, bwg 1-3 further northwest with 6 or more inches from jackson southeast.
What do you think about Adair Co? Still looking for some feedback on what the accumulations will be for us.
Rolo, I don’t care what anybody says I love you! Always have and always will!
Sounds like a purty smart met. to me. 🙂
If I were to put out a “1st call” map, that really isn’t too shabby. I tend to agree with this map, at the moment. I do think the trend will continue westward the next couple of runs. If this does happen, the totals may have to be bumped up a couple of inches east to west. Nice map as of now, though!
It is funny how a few days ago said all of the local mets had us getting nothing with high temps. Now they are saying it is not a big storm for Central Kentucky and we might get a few inches. Funny how a few days ago you said this whole thing was headed east! Thank you Chris for letting it play out and keeping us interested. You were one of the few who thought we would get “any” snow out of this and now it looks like the Eastern part of the state might get a good one.
Thank you, Chris, for the update. Everyone relax, take a shot of Woodford Reserve, and let the snow come when and where it will.
13 years of track record would argue against that happening…I always hold a sliver of hope that one day, we’ll start getting the really good stuff here again, but I don’t really ever get my hopes up too high, since invariably they come crashing down! 🙁
I suggested the same thing a couple of winters ago, I think it is marketing gold!
Hot off the press!
URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
300 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011
…LARGE STORM SYSTEM TO BRING HEAVY WET SNOW TO EASTERN KENTUCKY…
.A STORM SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND ALONG THE
APPALACHIANS WILL SEND A LARGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE INTO EASTERN
KENTUCKY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS OVERRIDING
MOISTURE WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF RAIN TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE
CHANGING OVER TO SNOW THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SOME SLEET COULD ALSO MIX IN WITH THE SNOW AT TIMES. IN
ADDITION…ANY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AND WET.
KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083>087-104-106-108-111-114-116-250400-
/O.NEW.KJKL.WS.A.0002.110126T0600Z-110127T0600Z/
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-OWSLEY-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…IRVINE…STANTON…FRENCHBURG…
MOUNT VERNON…MCKEE…SOMERSET…LONDON…MONTICELLO…
WHITLEY CITY…CORBIN…WILLIAMSBURG…BARBOURVILLE…
MIDDLESBORO…PINEVILLE…SANDY HOOK…WEST LIBERTY…CAMPTON…
BEATTYVILLE…BOONEVILLE…MANCHESTER
300 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011
…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT…BECOMING HEAVY AT
TIMES DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. SLEET MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW AT
TIMES WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* ON AVERAGE…STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OF BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* ANY SNOW THAT FALLS IS EXPECTED TO BE WET AND HEAVY. THIS WILL LEAD
TO VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS…AND POSSIBLY DOWNED TREES
AND POWER LINES THAT MAY SUCCUMB TO THE WEIGHT OF THE HEAVY WET
SNOW.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
and there you go.
I like your style!
@3pm the NWS in Jackson has issued a WINTER STORM WATCH from late Tuesday night into late Wednesday Night. They are saying on average storm totals will be between 3 and 6 inches of snow for Laurel/Knox County.
I think I will wait to see what Chris Bailey’s snowfall map looks like. Thanks Chris for all that you do. You really do go above and beyond the call of duty.
RLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-
LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…HARLAN…PAINTSVILLE…SALYERSVILLE…
PRESTONSBURG…JACKSON…HINDMAN…HAZARD…HYDEN…WHITESBURG…
INEZ…PIKEVILLE
300 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011
…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT…BECOMING HEAVY AT
TIMES DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. SLEET MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW AT
TIMES WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* ON AVERAGE…STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OF BETWEEN 4 AND 10 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE
LARGER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
ALONG THE KENTUCKY AND VIRGINIA STATE LINE.
* ANY SNOW THAT FALLS IS EXPECTED TO BE WET AND HEAVY. THIS WILL LEAD
TO VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS…AND POSSIBLY DOWNED TREES
AND POWER LINES THAT MAY SUCCUMB TO THE WEIGHT OF THE HEAVY WET
SNOW.
1.00-1.25″ of precip will put down nearly a Foot of snow for SEKY and EKY easy. If the western track continues watch these totals go up even more for these areas!
It doesn’t appear that there will be much in the way of cold behind this storm – so whatever we do get in CKY won’t stick around long…
Lets see if the Louisville NWS issues a watch/advisory for its counties immediately west and south of the counties under the Jackson NWS Watch area.
Not until Saturday night/Sunday.
Hate to break it to you but Bell Co will see ALOT more than 3-6″. LOL.. Thats a pathetic total. Expect us to get around 10-12″.. We all know how CONSERVATIVE Jackson can be!
Chris,
Looking good, just like you said it probably would. I can’t wait to see your snowfall total map this evening. I hope we are in 6+ inches. Sounds like Jackson weather service has us in 3-6 inches. Sounds like the storm is still trending west, just maybe you guys in central Ky will get more than it looks like. I want all of us to be happy.Keep thinking trend west, and low temps.
all good snowstorms start with rain.
8-12 my totals for SE KY as of now.
50F in Someset… Break out the shorts!
*Somerset
Now lets see how many of you hop back over the fence??? Some of you kill me with your negativity… I always heard it was better to straddle the fence before picking a side, although i was leaning CBs way. Great work CB, right again!
Chris, thank you for this blog. Your winter weather forecast is the one I trust!
On a different note…I was REALLY hoping to get another week in of school. We’ve already missed 12 days here in Rockcastle…:-(
I lied… 52F in Somerset.
Hmm. Is that the word “rain” in the forecast? Quick- someone tell them they are wrong 😉 I was informed of being wrong, so tell these folks too. Only fair 🙂
On a more stable note, if central KY is getting another couple inch snow, jeepers. Good news: 24 plus inches of snow! Bad news is “24” events to get there 😉 🙂
BTW, folks probably do not want above 6″ of wet heavy snow, since power problems and road hazards start kicking in.
I lived in them-there hollers’ for years, so Bubba knows 🙂
The fermented beverages make ALL people that way 🙂
Leave Rolocoaster alone 🙂
NWS Jackson
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/jkl/StormTotal/StormTotalSnow.png
I completely agree about the wet, heavy snow. After going without power for a week during the December 2009 storm, I would rather have no snow than a wet snow.
Special Weather Statement products have been issued by Memphis, Nashville and Morristown NWS Offices in TN.
more westerly track on the next model, that could go to 15 🙂 jahahaa
Folks do not want any part of that much heavy snow. I bet you one of Rolo’s goats 6″ to 8″ is best case 🙂
Still, 12″ for east KY means perhaps up to 6″ for us folks in the middle, unless a narrow event…..
Rolo, make sure you keep your goat out the shed, since 12″ of heavy snow might collapse the roof. Heck, it would collapse more than shed roofs.
My current thoughts are that lou to lex get 3-6″ the east gets 6″+. Click my name if your interested in my thoughts…
Rolo,
I hope you are right. That would be a AWESOME snowstorm. My girls would have a blast. Do you think the change over from rain to snow will be quick like it was last Thursday night here in Clay. I hope Chris agrees with your totals for us. You guys that can read the maps and help Chris are GREAT. This is the number #1 blog in the U.S.
You folks get that much heavy snow, a lot of folks would be 🙁 before it is over.
Big fluffy snow good, big heavy snow bad. Again IF you folks got that much, us middle state folks “could” get half that.
I would rather not get the good snow at other folks expense. Bubba has compassion for his fellow folks 🙂
No worries… you can always jump in the AWD and take a trip to the mountains of West Virginia. If you don’t ski or board you can still rent a room in one of the lodges and watch the winter storms roll across the mountains. I get my snow fix every year that way!
While that does have its merit, I prefer my snow via delivery, vs. takeout! 😉
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_psnow_gt_04.gif
I like this from the Nashville Weather Statement:
“SO FAR THIS SEASON WE HAVE HAD FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE ON OUR SNOW EVENT FORECASTS… BUT WEATHER PATTERNS HAVE CHANGED… AND CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH FOR THIS EVENT IN TERMS OF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. NEVERTHELESS… RECENT COMPUTER MODEL FORECASTS HAVE BECOME MORE IN AGREEMENT… AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY… CONFIDENCE IN SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL IMPROVE. “
Sounds like they are covering their behinds for getting this wrong.
Nice job CB! You the man.
Gotta love this forecast from Jackson:
.WEDNESDAY…SNOW. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT.
55 Degrees in Corbin ……Hmmmmmmmmmmm
Thinking the same thing.
dang, 39 here in Frankfort
I finally updated riddlesweather.com click my name to view it, i had the guts to put our a snowfall map to 😉 hahah. Like riddles weather on facebook!
So you agree Louisville and the surrounding counties will get absolutely nothing, nada, not even a dusting?
For those of you who may not have this, below I have posted a link to a National mosaic of all the NWS radar sites throughout the country. Makes it easier to get a big picture.
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full.php
I’ll agree with you there, wet heavy snow makes it tough to keep the electricity on. The pre-Christmas storm last year was one with heavy, wet snow and it put a lot of folks’ power out…some went without for over a week. I’m going to hope that the totals are a bit lower.
Most of the negative ones are either losing hope, hate snow, or like to rile up the snow lovers.
Maybe someone will do a cut and paste after the storm, LOL.
Have a question…
How long will this snow hang around?
How long will it snow when it starts?
…Okay…that’s two questions.
Special Weather Statement product issued by the Louisville NWS Office.
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ053&warncounty=KYC123&firewxzone=KYZ053&local_place1=2+Miles+NNW+Hodgenville+KY&product1=Special+Weather+Statement
Updated the site people, so check it out..it also has a first call for snow on it.
5 days in my neck of the woods last year,that was with probably 7 inches of wet snow..
Jim Caldwell @ WYMT put out his first call. I’m so disappointed! Can’t wait to see your’s Chris! You are the only one we trust in Whitley County 🙂
I respectfully disagree with this forecast. Many ppl will be surprised when they wake up wednesday to NEW snow on the ground. NWS is paid to be conservative. They always have. Never have I once seen the NWS put out a forecast that outdid the actual totals. Up to an inch in Frankfort? I see more potential than that.
I love your site, Tornado. I visit it whenever I see the link on the blog. Thanks!
I completely agree with you. NWS has been underestimating storms this winter. I see the potential for lou to Lex to get 3-6″.
well, for lous nws office to even put out a SWS even shows they are “trending” with the models as this is the first they have mentioned anything about it with any specifics. im with you c-biv…lous area is going to be surprised with 3-6″ along I65 and east.
Seems to me there is still alot of uncertainty about this storm this late in the game…When NWS gives a total of 4 to 10 inches tell’s me they have no idea what its going to do..By this time tomorrow morning, it could be 2 feet or a dusting..When the low really starts cranking up and moving i guess we will know for sure then…
Thanks for being willing to jump into the fray. I like your look at things. Nice site.
This is a wider system, so that would mean about half that out to central KY.
Hope it does not happen for east KY. My kin folk live there, Bubbakin.
I like to read this from time to time to remind myself that not everyone who works for the NWS is a curmudgeon.
Now, bring on 16 inches!
The worst part is at the end of the statement where they suggest folks go to central KY to ride the storm out. THAT is messed up! 😉
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Weather_Service_bulletin_for_New_Orleans_region
Hmmmmm…never posted here before. Maybe this link will work.
i have not heard of any updated models coming in over the last 4 hrs…when are CMC,UKMET, EURO, GFS, NAM scheduled to come out again?
I’m not ready to say Lou and surroundings will get 3-6″. But, if the trend continues overnight, I will be 100% on board 😉 right now i feel like a politician going with 50% confidence, haha…either way, Lou to Lex will get more than a “dusting-inch” IMO.
got to love moderation….I responded to tornadolarkin’s comment. I’m not sure on 3-6″ yet. But, no doubt, we all will get more than a “dusting-inch”. It’s going to be more in my opinion. Just keep seeing more potential than the local MET’s.
Hey, just checked out your blog for the first time. Nice work! Going to be interesting to see what happens with this storm.
I don’t like that map. Give me another one please. And use a different color crayon. 8+” please for Morehead. lol
We are 90 miles west of Louisville in Southwest Indiana…we generally get western ky weather I know we aren’t getting snow but are there any chaces of ice in western ky with this storm?
Thanks you guys 🙂
Tornado just clicked on your link and it was alot easier to understand. thank you so much. i now know where jeff co is on the maps.
I seen Jim’s first call also – a measly 1 – 3 inches for Laurel County. I’ve been saying all along that we would probably end up with 2 – 4, but hoping for 15 – 20.
No prob 🙂
As if it hasn’t been hashed enough.. just to be sure, there is no one WEST of I 75 that still expects this to be a significant storm, right? Just making sure. It’s clear as a bell that this will be one of the smaller snows we’ve seen in this area. If you want to get hammered, go to Pikeville.
Not a big one, but still it has potential.
Thanks “TornadoLarkin”..Liked ur map 🙂 now what will take to get morehead in that 8 or more line..we are right on the edge…do u think it’s really possible that some will a foot or more..now that’s what I call a good ole snowstorm 🙂
What myself and several others, with a first call map out, are saying is we think west of I-75 will get more than a “dusting-inch”. None of us have said we were going to have the hammer drop on us. Just that the potential is there for 3+”. WXman, why so grumpy on all your posts today?
To get that to Morehead would take a jump west, which is possible. And yes, I see a good portion of southeastern KY getting 12″+
WOW, thanks man! I knew it would take another shift to the West..would another 50 miles West shift do it? 🙂 I’ll do a snow dance or whatever it takes to get it on another Westward track! So w/out another Westward jump you don’t see Morehead with more than locally 6″..well that’s alright, we’ve had more than that this year..:)
Because it’s like people just don’t get it. The models have been solid for two days now. Yet it seems some are holding onto hope that we are magically going to get a 6″ snowfall.
I will do better. I am up in the mountains of Elkhorn City in Pike County. Now bring on my 12 inches plus…
what do you think Anderson County will get?