Good Monday, everyone. It’s Thanksgiving week and the week is starting out on a much colder than normal start, but the end of the week cold shot looks a little more interesting. That’s because it has the chance to bring some festive flakes to the region to kick off the Christmas shopping period.
Our day starts with much colder winds blowing in from the northwest as a cold front continues to push away to our east. This front may still have a few leftover showers or high ground snowflake action with it in far southeastern Kentucky early this morning. Here are your radars to follow along…
Cold winds will continue with us through Tuesday as temps run well below normal.
They tell us that Wednesday is the busiest travel day of the entire year and the weather for it is looking good. Clouds will increase as temps make a run into the 50s as southwest winds increase ahead of our Thanksgiving cold front. This front brings a line of rain from west to east as the day wears on and it’s being pushed by another blast of cold air. Can the cold catch up to the back edge of the rain shield and give us some flakes Thanksgiving night or Black Friday morning?
That’s the question of the week.
The NAM only goes through 7am Thanksgiving morning, but you can see how the cold flips over the back edge of the rain to our west…
That’s something the Canadian is showing and then it also shows another cold shot a few days later with the chance for some flakes…
The EURO has a similar idea…
The overnight run of the GFS looks a lot different than prior runs of the model…
The GFS Ensembles continue to show the flake chance a little better than most models…
Once that goes through, the cold may very well relax for a bit as it reloads for later in the first week of December. The GFS actually captures this well on the overnight run…
If you guys watched my winter forecast on WKYT, you know I targeted the middle and end of December for a very cold period taking shape. We shall see.
I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
That trough in the GFS overnight run looks suspiciously like a chunk of the polar vortex. Judah Cohen has been hinting about this in his blog for several weeks running.
A lot of snow coming off the Great lakes.