Good Thursday to one and all. It’s a full blown surge of mild air continuing out there today and this above normal air takes us through the weekend. Things change as we get into early next week as a much colder pattern takes shape. This will also be accompanied by a few systems that have a shot at bringing a little bit of winter weather our way.
Temps out there today and Friday are mainly in the 60s with some thermometers in the west and south making a run at 70. There is a weak front that works into the north and northeast Friday and knocks the numbers down a bit. Those numbers drop a little more on Saturday before they bounce right back up Sunday.
The Sunday temps spike is ahead of a storm system rolling through the Great Lakes. That drags a strong cold front across the state Sunday night with crashing temps having the potential to switch the rain over to a brief period of light snow or flurries by Monday morning. The odds aren’t terribly great for this to happen, but snow lovers have the GFS in their corner…
The Canadian model isn’t as fired up on the Monday morning flakes…
The EURO is on the Canadian train…
The system, or systems, after this continues to bounce around as we wait and see just how much energy can fully eject out. Does it come in one big piece or several impulses? That’s going to be the interesting thing to watch for in the coming days.
The EURO brings one storm system through here with rain and snow late Tuesday into Wednesday and then another late Thursday and Friday with another one right behind it…
Here’s the rainfall during this time…
The GFS is strung out with multiple systems rolling through here…
A setup like that is a major rain maker around here…
The Canadian is also going to the more strung out look but it has more of a wintry weather signal at the beginning of it all…
The rain map isn’t as impressive as the GFS, but it’s hefty…
There’s a lot to track next week and that’s exactly what we will be doing. I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
Comparing the rainfall totals and using two counties one in Western Kentucky (Union county) and the other in South Central Kentucky (Taylor.)
Taylor County : for November 2.67 inches of rain and for the year so far 49.92 inches.
Union County : for November 1.54 inches of rain and for the year so far 37.01 inches.
I hoping that the the predicted rainy pattern materializes over the next few weeks for Western Kentucky. We do not need a rain drought and a Snow drought at the same time.
For November in Clark County:
Rainfall: 2.42″ Norm: 3.53″ Delta: -1.11″ % of normal: 68.6% YTD: 60.55″ (145.9% of normal)
This ended a 5 month string of above normal rainfall. Supporting Chris’ comments about how this year compares well with 2020, the exact same thing happened last year with Nov 2020 ending a 5 month above-normal string of rainfall months.
Average temps: 53.7/31.8 Normal temps: 55.4/37.4 Delta: -1.7/-5.6
Max/Min: 70/18
The Chicago area saw a very dry November with slightly below normal temperatures. The average temperature for Chicago’s O’Hare Airport for the month was 40.3 degrees, which is only 1.0 degrees below the normal of 41.3 degrees. There was just 0.71 inches of rainfall for the month, which is 1.71 inches below the normal of 2.42 inches. Only a trace of snow was recorded on six different days. The NWS Forecast Office in the SW suburbs recorded 0.6 inches of snow for the month.
Chicago had nine days of low temperatures of 29 degrees or below, compared to 15 days at Lexington, KY.