Good afternoon, everyone. We continue to see a very active pattern taking shape for the next week or so. This will bring the potential for strong storms, high winds, heavy rain and some snow to our region.

The first system rolling in here Sunday night and early Monday is a troublemaker. A few showers develop out ahead of it on Sunday as southwest winds boost temps back into the 60s. As a powerful cold front enters the picture Sunday night, a line of showers and strong storms.

The Storm Prediction Center has expanded the Marginal Risk for severe storms into central Kentucky with an upgrade to a Slight Risk across the southwestern part of the state…

Damaging wind is the main player, but a brief tornado spin up can’t be ruled out. Even without severe storms, winds are a big player. Here is the peak wind gust forecast from the NAM…

Heavy rainfall from these showers and storms may be enough to cause local high water issues. Check out the rainfall numbers from the models through Monday morning…

GFS

Short Range Canadian

NAM

EURO

Temps crash behind this front and gusty winds make it feel much colder. Wind chills likely reach the teens at times Monday night. Here’s the EURO wind chill forecast from 1AM Monday through 7am Tuesday…

The system behind this from late Tuesday through Wednesday night looks like a light rain, light snow and mix maker. Which you get depends on the track of the low and where you live. Here’s the current GFS…

The Canadian

The EURO

The next system is likely a much stronger system arriving over the weekend and this may bring thunderstorms to some snow in our part of the world. It’s a week away, so the models will continue to flip around from run to run.

Here’s how the current GFS sees it…

The Canadian…

The EURO…

As you can see, we do have the potential for some winter weather over the next week or so. We also have to be on guard for a lot of rain to fall during this time. Here are the forecast totals through next weekend…

GFS

CANADIAN

EURO

Told ya this was going to get busy!

Enjoy the rest of the day and take care.