Good Friday to one and all. Our weekend is here and the weather is looking absolutely awesome! We have been living a charmed life in terms of weekend weather this fall as the nasty weather has mainly been during the weekdays. We have what to expect over the next few days and a look at the changes showing up for next week and beyond.
The low that brought the nasty weather to the state on Thursday will shoot to our southeast early today. Any lingering shower action will be done by mid morning with afternoon sunshine kicking in.
Follow the rains out of town…
Highs today will run into the upper 50s to low 60s.
A very dry air mass works in overnight into the weekend. This will set the stage for a couple of cold mornings with lows down into the upper 20s and low 30s. Sunny skies will warm our temps into the mid and upper 50s to low 60s for Saturday and low and mid 60s for Sunday. The west will run warmer than the rest.
Temps early next week will warm into the mid 60s with a 70 out west. This is ahead of big storm that is expected to form across the plains states and work into our region by the middle of the week. This could bring heavy rain and thunderstorms to the area with MUCH colder air to follow.
There appears to be a good chance we see another big cutoff low pressure slowing down across the Ohio Valley. The GFS has been showing this…
That has been the trend of fall and we will see how this plays out for next week as other models aren’t as bullish on a cutoff. This gets the ball rolling for a more active weather pattern that will transition toward a colder and more wintry one for as we get deeper into the month.
Some of the those wintry signals are showing up in the models…
With the NAO and EPO both forecast to go negative, one would expect the cold to gradually take hold later this month.
I will have updates as needed today and through the weekend. Make it a great Friday and take care.
Select Page
Yeah I was looking through some modeling yesterday thinking, “Election Day looks like a severe weather setup to me.” LMK seems to be talking about that today now in the AFD. Could be an interesting day….
Has a 2011-2012 winter forecast been published yet?
If you are asking about Chris’s then no usually around thanksgiving
Thanks, I haven’t been on in a few weeks and was afraid I missed it.
I’m familiar with the AO and NAO, however, not so much with the EPO. I understand the impact from the graphics above, but not sure what the EPO really is. Does anyone know the differences b/t the NAO and EPO? Or are they basically pretty much alike…
another gorgeous fall day here on the hill in the town of wayne, wva. it is 1:50pm under a partly sunny/cloudy sky, depending on your way of seeing things. currently the temp is a cool but pleasant 52 with a stiff ne wind making it feel a tad cooler. looks like another gorgeous weather weekend is on tap but beware because i have a gut feeling that we may be paying the piper down the road for all these nice weekend days we have been having. so as chris would say, what r u reading this for? get out and enjoy the weather while u can cause they r numbered. thanks for your time and god bless.
I think the clouds have hung on longer than expected here in Southeast Ky. My point click NWS forecast still says mostly sunny for today, but its still a dark overcast..
Clearing finally happened here in the Louisville area just before 3pm. Took a little longer than expected, but that’s fairly common this time of year as the sun’s rays just aren’t as strong to burn off those lower clouds.
By the way, my official winter weather forecast is out. Check it out. I’ll be reminding others by means of future comments, so please disregard the redundancy.
Look forward to CB’s thoughts as always.
East Pacific Oscillation…just another teleconnection.
Here’s a look at many teleconnections weather guys/gals like to look at:
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/climateindices/list/
Also, a nice article discusses the EPO and the NAO here:
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/winter_2002-03_outlook_review.php#eponao
Sounds like if the EPO and the NAO are both negative, then cold air will readily flow from the Canadian regions into the U.S.