Good Monday, everyone. We have a weak system dropping into the region today and it’s bringing the potential for a few snowflakes with it. This is the first in a series of systems set to drop in over the next week or so. Can one of them develop into something a little bigger? Maybe.
Let’s start with today’s action and roll forward. This is a moisture starved system working through, so don’t expect much at all. There’s the chance for a few flurries or a snow shower with the best chance in the north. Here are your radars to follow any flake action that shows up…
Temps do spike ahead of today’s front then come back down to a seasonable brand of chill into Tuesday.
Another system then drops in later Wednesday and Thursday and has just a little more moisture with it. That has a slightly better chance to touch off some light snow and flurry action…
The setup for Super Bowl Weekend continues to find a couple of additional systems dropping in from the northwest, but neither of them are blowing up into any more as of now. The first arrives Saturday night…
The next one Super Bowl Sunday night…
We shall see what comes of that, but the upper levels remain very convoluted on the models. Until that gets resolved, it’s difficult for things at the surface to come into better focus.
If we look long range toward the third week of the month, we find the various ensembles trying to pop a ridge in the east…
EURO Ensembles
Canadian Ensembles
This would bring a much milder pattern to the region and would make #TeamSpring a happy bunch of people. Bring. It. On.
I’ll throw you another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
Thanks Chris, why is it that every year everyone tries to rush Spring weather in before Spring actually arrives ?
I’m on board for TeamSpring. This winter weather always makes my depression so much worse. Spring really lifts my mood.
Ray, I always felt better in the month of July and it has to do with the long Summer Sunshine and HOT temperatures. However it doesn’t seem to get as hot as it use to years ago. I remember temperatures of 104 degrees on the 4th of July at our Family Picnics. Good Times and Memories of the 1950’s and 60’s.
I’m a little late with this because of the snowy weather last week, but the month of January was a cold one for the Chicago Area, averaging 4.6 degrees below normal, with above-normal snowfall. https://weather.gov/lot/January2022
Mike, I thought that may come out that way your area has maintained Snow Cover the whole month of January.
I’ve been seeing conflicting information on how the weather may turn out for the rest of the month of February. Some are already interjecting Severe Weather for the Ohio Valley and others suggest more Ice and Snowstorms while others are forecasting an early Spring with a strong Southeast Ridge dominating ?
We will have to guess which weather type it will be again. I’ll leave it up to the experts who make the weather models. LOL
I’m thinking that Spring will average out normal, but with some extremes in temperatures, both high and low, which unfortunately, may set us up for some severe weather a little earlier than our normal late April/early May. An indicator to watch is whether the Gulf Coast states get hit with severe whether in mid to late February.
I also remember hotter summers, temperature wise in the late 50’s, 60’s and early 70’s, but what I don’t remember are tropical level dewpoints. Climate change has increased Specific Humidity, which is the mass of water vapor per unit mass of air. It differs from Relative Humidity, which is the amount of water vapor in the air relative to the maximum amount possible. The old adage “It isn’t the heat, it’s the humidity” is truer than ever, and those increased humidity levels have a direct bearing on both the frequency and intensity of severe weather.