Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a much milder day today as temps climb ahead of a potent storm system rolling our way for Thursday. As this moves in, it brings the potential for strong storms and high winds for much of the region.
Temps ahead of this surge into the 60s to give us a really nice Wednesday. Clouds will be on the increase as winds really start to gust up. Gusts of 40mph or greater will be possible as this much milder air sweeps in here.
The setup for Thursday really hasn’t changed much as we have the increasing threat for strong storms and high winds. Low pressure tracks from Missouri through the Ohio Valley and into the Great Lakes, putting our region in the warm sector. A few waves of showers and strong to severe storms would roll across the region during this time.
The models continue to indicate the potential for damaging thunderstorm winds and an overall high wind event…
GFS
NAM
HI RES NAM
This is generally where we look for some strong or severe storms and the Storm Prediction Center is showing the risk area…
While damaging winds are the primary threat,
there’s also a threat for a brief tornado spin up. Being this close to the triple point is always a little disconcerting for me.
Much colder air sweeps in behind this system with temps dropping more than 30 degrees behind the front.
Another potent storm may form and impact us by the middle of next week. This will continue to be part of a super active pattern I see going deep into March. Coming up tonight, I’ll highlight this potential.
Oh and I do not think winter is done.
Enjoy the rest of the day and take care.
Maybe as the Models run, this System will Trend more Southerly ?
Hope we Have at least Three more Snow Events before Spring Arrives ?
Please No Late Spring Freezes And No Tornadoes !!!
The Warren County/Bowling Green area is going to be in the system’s warm sector, but I’m hopeful that Dewpoints won’t get much higher than the mid-60’s. That’s good news, since it will significantly reduce the chances for a tornado spin up. But what worries me are what +45mph wind gusts could do to the scores of trees that were weakened during the mid-December and New Years Day tornadoes.
It looks like February could end on a warm note, a big change from the past few weeks.