Good Tuesday, folks. It’s a very active weather day across Kentucky with rounds of heavy rain producing showers and storms rolling through. Flooding and flash flooding is a good bet to show up and we are also on guard for strong to severe storms.
Today’s action comes from the first of two big systems to impact the region through Friday. This is setting the stage for potential significant flooding and flash flooding issues.
Let’s begin with today’s system and roll ahead.
Rounds of showers and storms will drench the state through tonight. A general 1″-3″ of rain is likely, but a corridor of 3″+ rains may show up from southwest to northeast. Flash flooding and general flooding will be possible. Here’s the area I’m highlighting for the Greatest Risk…
The potential for repeat showers and storms over the same areas is concerning, so please stay alert.
There’s also the chance for some of these storms to become strong or severe, especially in central and western Kentucky. Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…
Damaging wind is the main threat, but there’s a very small risk for a tornado or two to spin up, especially in the west.
Much colder air crashes in here early Wednesday as this system moves away, but things don’t stay calm for long. Storm # 2 rolls in Wednesday evening and takes us through early Friday with heavy rain and some winter weather. This will cause a renewed high water threat and we are also likely to see some freezing rain and sleet setting up in the west and north.
This is the map I made Friday night and I’m still riding it ( I did speed up the arrival time, but the rest is unchanged)…
The NAM only goes through 7am Friday, but you can see the different precipitation types…
The GFS is just a bit north with the frozen stuff, but has a similar overall look…
Again, flooding is the main threat through Friday as the models show some 6″ rain amounts through this time…
I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. As usual, I have you all set to track the severe weather potential in the west. Our exclusive interactive radar also features live storm chaser video streams, so be sure to check that out…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Enjoy the the day and take care.
Thanks Chris, for all your latest information on this potential hazardous weather.
Thunderstorms started this morning in Taylor county around 1:00 am. As of now we have received 0.88 inches of rain. Cloud to cloud lightning and loud thunder accompanied the storms.
Our friends in Western Kentucky have undergone a Tornado Watch. Hoping nothing becomes of this, but it’s scary to learn this anyway.
Looking forward to next week as the weather is predicted to settle down.
Very heavy rain fallen and gust of winds here in Western, ky this morning . Stay safe
Hurricane Force Flooding
It’s raining right now at my PWS near Bowling Green, and 0.95″ of rain has fallen during the past 12 hour period.
It’s been a rainy month, to date; I’ve recorded 5.25″ so far, which is considerably above Bowling Green’s normal February average of 3.60″. The forecasted storm could easily give us several more inches before this month is over, and it’s conceivable that we could end the month with double the normal average.
It’s been a very consistent rain event here in Maple, but luck would have it, not the flooding rains that the models predicted.
I’ve recorded off the Kentucky Mesonet at 1.15 inches in the last 48 hours. Still more rain to come though.
The ice event to our north may or may not amount to much and I hope it doesn’t.
Still no snow of any consequence is showing up in my forecast later this week as the colder air works in.