Good Monday, folks. We have strong to severe storms pushing through the region to start the brand new week. Once we get rid of this action, the pattern turns much colder and we have a full blown snow threat by Friday and Saturday.
Let’s begin with today’s threat for severe storms and flooding.
The day starts with a line of strong to severe storms working across western Kentucky. This will roll eastward through the day and may pack damaging winds, large hail and the threat for a brief tornado spin up.
Here’s today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…
A strong cold front then works through quickly this afternoon and evening. Temps drop from the 60s ahead of the front, to the 30s right behind it. Winds will be very gusty and will make those 30s feel more like the 20s.
There’s even the chance for a few flurries or snow showers to fly later tonight and Tuesday morning. The HRRR shows the possibility…
The Hi Res NAM likes the snow shower idea even more…
Highs on Tuesday range from the upper 30s to upper 40s across the state and that’s well below normal for the second week of March.
Another system comes from the south and rolls toward the southern Appalachian Mountains on Wednesday. This brings some rain across the east and southeast, especially.
Temps rebound after this on Thursday as we get set for some fun and games. A major amplification of the jet stream takes place with what is likely to become a phased storm system Friday into Saturday…
This type of signature usually results in a major winter storm and that’s exactly what we have to be on guard for during this time. Low pressure likely develops and rolls through here with rain to snow, but the exact track and strength of this low are still to be determined.
The GFS is now going toward a healthy storm hit…
The storm showing up on the GFS would take us from the 60s ahead of the storm, to the teens and 20s right behind it with wind chills below zero.
The EURO isn’t as wrapped up as the GFS, but offers up a similar overall solution…
The Canadian Model isn’t quite as juiced up as the GFS and EURO, but it’s still a nice storm system…
I will have another update later today and will be on WKYT-TV with the latest. Until then, here are your severe storms tracking tools for the day…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Make it a great Monday and take care.
about how much snow are we looking to get out if this system
Thanks Chris, Thunderstorms late Yesterday manage to Splash us with only 0.66 inches of Rain here in Maple, but it Seemed to be a Lot more Closer to over an Inch. I’m Not going to Argue with the Mesonet. I really need to Purchase A NWS Rain Gauge for my Backyard.
This Morning I woke up to A Tornado Watch, which Doesn’t Surprise Me. Just Doesn’t Seem Like we Can Get on the Good Side of A Front Anymore. Thanks Southeast Ridge.
At this Time the GFS has Forecast A Decent Snow Event for Western Kentucky (up to 7 inches) on Saturday, but A lot Less for My Area on East. At least We won’t Be in The Severe Weather Sector for A Change ?
From highs near 70 degrees on Saturday to severe thunderstorms Saturday night to snow and 32 degree temperatures this morning in the Chicago Metro Area!
Anywhere from 1 to 3 inches has fallen, with the higher amounts to the west and north. Here in the SW Suburbs, there’s around an inch of snow on the ground, but it didn’t accumulate on the pavement, so no shoveling was necessary.
This Morning we had Flooding Rains training over the Same Areas of Taylor County. A Tornado Watch was issued very Early this Morning, but None has been Reported in My Area. The Mesonet only recorded 1.39 inches of Rain in the Last 48 hours. More like 4.39 inches of Rain where I Live, but that is Just A guess since I Don’t have A Rain Gauge. LOL
We are Now on the Good Side of the Front with Light Winds and Cooling Temperatures. Maybe Some Snow Showers Tomorrow and later in the Week ?
Why Is the AccuWeather Radar for Kentucky Turned Off ?