Good Wednesday, folks. It’s a very active weather day taking shape with a major severe weather threat taking shape across our region. This is ahead of a potent storm system that’s been on our radar for more than a week now.
The greatest severe threat is across the west and this is where the SPC has a Moderate Risk for severe storms. That risk fades the farther east you get in the state. Here’s a look at the latest from the Storm Prediction Center…
A few days ago, I made a map highlighting this area with the greatest risk for tornadoes and I see no reason to make any changes
The tornado risk comes in two waves. The first comes with the potential for supercell thunderstorms to go up tomorrow afternoon in the west. If those get going, major hail and strong tornadoes will be possible.
The next potential comes from the line of severe storms sweeping across western Kentucky during the late afternoon and early evening. That line then makes it’s way into central Kentucky during the late evening hours and then into the east well after midnight. That line will weaken the farther east it gets, but it can still pack a damaging wind threat with it all the way to the eastern Kentucky mountains.
Better weather quickly moves in for Thursday with low 60s and some sunshine. Friday looks good with temps in the 60s with clouds increasing. Those clouds can spit out a shower or storm Friday night and early Saturday as chillier air moves in from the northwest.
The setup behind this can get ugly, but that may not happen unto Sunday night and Monday, leaving us with a chilly but decent Easter Sunday with temps in the 50s.
The system moving in to start the new week has some nasty with it. Chilly showers show up and the EURO continues to advertise a few flakes with this early Monday…
Chilly northwest winds behind that keeps the ugly into Tuesday…
This is another pattern featuring some nasty cold for this time of year. Take a look at the 5 day temp departures from normal next week…
That’s sick and means more frost and freezing conditions are likely.
Back to today’s severe weather threat, I will have updates as needed and will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. As usual, I have you all set to track the storms across the region…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Make it a great Wednesday and take care.
In the last several years it seems Western Ky. has had the majority of the Spring like severe weather.
On the other hand Eastern Ky. seems to receive the majority of the winter storms.
I agree with you, the western ky area seems to have slipped into the eastern portion of ” Tornado alley”. I am in Fayette County and we have seen some substantial snowfalls this year too. But the biggest events seemed to be the strong winds! Even when it’s not connected with severe weather the winds over the past few years have been remarkable. El Nina, global warming, or just a pattern change. Things sure have seemed to have changed over the last 5 years .
The overall pattern is being influence by a persistent La Nina.
Spring Weather always arrives in Western Kentucky first and Eastern Kentucky receives most of the Winter Weather and the growing season is much later.
Take Care Everyone. Watch the Skies and listen to your Local Meteorologist until this Severe Weather threat is over!
“The tornado risk comes in two waves. The first comes with the potential for supercell thunderstorms to go up tomorrow afternoon in the west.”
These two sentences on this morning’s posting are under the tornado risk graphic. I’m guessing you meant “this afternoon” and not “tomorrow afternoon.”
We’ve received a total 1.96″ of rain at my PWS near Bowling Green since midnight Tuesday. We had several hours of sunshine early,and some light rain showers over the past 2 hours. It appears that we will get clearing skies in the next ½ hour or so, which is bad news in terms of destabilization. Current temperature is 67° and the dewpoint is 64°, which is sure to rise over the next several hours. The HRRR is show an increasing probability of rotational storms.
Everyone, stay safe!!
Not looking to good. We had 0.56 inches of Rain Showers in the last 48 hours. Dew points and current temperature are rising and there is an indication that the Sun will be out only to destabilize the Atmosphere.
I don’t live that far from Bowling Green. Stay Safe Everyone !
Still bright and sunny here in Mt. Vernon while I’m at work. Gonna be crazy later.