Good Sunday, folks. It’s another hot and VERY humid day across the Commonwealth, but that’s about to change. We are going into a stormy setup that’s likely to put down a lot of rain in the coming week and this may lock in for August.

Temps today are back into the low and middle 90s for most of the state with humidity levels stealing the show. That makes the heat index hit 100 or better for many areas.

A front drops in from the northwest tonight and Monday and will bring showers and storms back into the picture. A few of these storms may be strong or severe and the Storm Prediction Center has the north in the low-end severe threat later this evening…

That threat focuses a little farther south as we head into Monday…

The boundary moving in here slows down and is likely to hang around for most of next week and may even stick through next weekend. That means rounds of showers and storms will be likely. Check out the EURO animation from late tonight through Friday…

You can see how it presses the boundary just to our south at the end of the run, but it brings it right back north over the weekend. The EURO shows more rounds of storms from that…

So if we take this same run of the EURO and look a the rainfall numbers, things look ugly. Here are the totals just through Friday…

Now if we expand that to include next weekend, the numbers jump even more…

While the totals won’t work out exactly like that, it’s the trend we have to pay attention to. The models are really hitting at a lot of rain over the next week to 10 days and we need to really pay attention to the flash flood potential.

If we look at the longer range from the European Weeklies, we find the wet pattern looking to lock in. Check out how far above normal the 51 member average is from now through September 4th…

Kentucky is the rainfall bullseye.

Here are your Sunday storm trackers…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.