Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend, folks! Our weekend weather continues to look absolutely amazing with gorgeous fall weather. While that’s good and all, we need some rain! Guess what? The pattern is finally turning active as we get into next week.
Temps out there this weekend are in the 70s with a stiff southwest wind. That means our brush and forest fire risk is elevated, so abide by all local burn bans and restrictions.
We keep the mild weather into Monday and Tuesday as clouds increase ahead of the first of two storm systems. The first one will move in with rain and some thunderstorms later Tuesday through Wednesday night. The second one should follow that up by next weekend.
The models are coming into much better agreement on the evolution of these two systems…
EURO
CANADIAN
GFS
That last system would obviously have an impact on Halloween Weekend. That’s something we will keep a close eye on over the next week, but the various Ensembles show some kind of trough around here…
GFS Ensembles
Control run of the EURO ENSEMBLES
I’ll look ahead into November and the start of winter with my next update.
Have a great Saturday and take care.
Thanks Chris, Don’t care for the change from the below normal temperatures back to almost Summer like weather with mostly Sunny dry skies. That’s like throwing fuel on the fire. No pun intended. Here in Maple we are getting very concerned about the likely hood of forest fires. Just takes one little spark to start and result in a catastrophic fire.
Hoping the rains come soon, but unfortunately it looks like it will be mostly around the Mississippi River and lift north into Canada, but they need the rains too. Doesn’t seem to be a widespread weather maker. We need several days of gloom and cold rains or snows to erase this ongoing drought.
Trees continue to display their Autumn beauty !
Yea it’s amazing how pretty the leaves are even as bitterly dry as it is. Let’s hope that line of rain doesn’t break apart into nothingless as it crosses our area.
Hardwood trees are deep rooted here in Kentucky and are able to stand drought and also the trees this year have accumulated a lot of sugar making for a colorful Autumn.
Rainfall is 4” below normal in Louisville.
If my source is correct, I didn’t look up the data to verify it. Too lazy.
Taylor county if I’m figuring correctly is 16 ” below normal.
Complicating the fire danger are growing piles of dry leaves. By this time during normal years (!!!) some rain has dampened the leaves at least once, but with this year’s near-drought conditions, dry, wind whipped leaves can spread a fire much more quickly. Where practical, property owners in areas that are prone to brushfires should consider wetting down their leaves, especially if a Red Flag Warning has been declared.
Here in Maple, a lot of the neighbors have spring water and the springs are literally drying up. We were lucky to have county water or I wouldn’t purchased the property and home. I enjoy raking leaves and yes Joe that would be wise to water down the leaves. You don’t need to add to the fire potential around your home.