Good Sunday everyone. Our much anticipated storm system has rolled into town and will dump a ton of rain over the next few days. This may cause some problems before all is said and done. There will also be a wintry aspect to the storm as our rain switches to snow in many areas.
A pipeline of rain continues to move eastward across the state and will put the brakes on for the next few days. This pipeline extends to the Gulf of Mexico and will draw a lot of water northward into the region. Total rains of 2″-4″ will be possible through Tuesday and this will likely cause some high water issues. River flooding may also become a problem as many of them are already running high.
I will have your tracking tools at the end of this update.
The big upper level low cutting off to our southwest will produce snow underneath it. This means flakes will fly all the way into northern Mississippi and Alabama over the next few days. This upper low will shift northeastward Monday into Tuesday and that’s when we should see our rain make the transition to a mix and some snow…
Just follow the core of that closed low and you will be able to follow the switch to some snow. Yes… it will be coming from the south! Can some areas get in on a touch of accumulation? A warm and wet ground argues against it… but I can’t rule it out.
Want to see a colder than normal pattern taking shape for the next few weeks? (Whjy am I asking so many questions? Arghhh… did it again 
) Well… this is it and the GFS Ensembles show it well…
There will be snow threats during this time and one in particular next weekend into early the following week is sending out a strong signal.
Back to the heavy rain threat of the next few days, now. Let’s track it…
Rainfall Since Midnight
More updates come your way later today. Have a great Sunday and take care.
Select Page
This one didn’t work out, but look at the next one. Lather. Rinse. Repeat.
Ahttp://www... good to see my old friend BM back again giving me hits. Thanks my man!
BTW…rain to snow is working out. But I understand a certain IQ level is required to understand that part of it. 😉
Seems that the cold is pushing in early. With all the moisture we have been getting this could set us up for a nice storm this winter. Already had some snow here but that was in October and did not stick on more than the porch. That was pretty early though.
Considering that things are looking like they will be cool for a period that will help cool the ground for mid- late- december. That should make for a better setup for some snow during the christmas weeks hopefully. I know the kids would really like that.
So an interesting note:
Since I moved here in 1996: Three of the top ten wettest years and two of the top ten driest years have happened.
Mud season for my horses and they love to run when they can sink up to their knees. I am hoping for frozen ground soon to slow them down!
We have some light rain here this morning, but the bigger concern right now is the wind! It is howling outside!
Won’t use the umbrella this morning! Would probably get blown away! I did note that it warmed up here overnight. Was 51 when I went to bed, and woke up to 62. Chris, could we possibly see storms out of this?
Ten bucks says it snows earlier than anticipated. Hey, cheers to luck! Lol.
well tx CB, look like u nailed end nov in first dec as u predicted over months or so ago. i predicted 10 days from TGIVING we get snow on ground of 2 inches or more.
back to UK FB, what else is MITCH B the AD going say, its all worked out as to JOKER will resign and make it look like his decision.
All I can say is YUK!
Accumulating snow in northern Alabama, a cold rain here, sounds like a normal KY winter starting 🙁
Wow Chris, congratulations for making the front page of the second section of the Herald-Leader with your winter forecast. Very nice write-up. Should have been on the front page proper but maybe next year.
AMEN! Can I place an order for some sunshine, please? 🙂
WHERE IS THE 2011-2012 WINTER FORECAST?
Sorry Rolo, We’re stuck with joker one more year. Dooley is gone from Tennessee and thats where Mike Leach will be next year.
Anyone see the latest GFS? That’ll leave you scratching your head.
MIKEM DOOLEY not gone, he never had his QB for most year, they not fire him till his 3rd year next year.
as far as our next coach goes it will be leach, if he decides against it then who knows. but before the latest stuff i heard past couple weeks i told u joker be the coach, but cheating on ur wife . and the big boosters and board members are for a change as well.
JOKER actually proved yesterday even more howe he a joke, we had packages wildcat with COBB, but ur telling me it took have no real QB to run package for ROARK. the kid quick agile and should been getting 15 snaps at leas a game in backfield.
in end JOKER never won yesterday RICK MINTER and that DEFENSE was who wn game.
update coming from BAILEY i say shortly about latest model runs. as far as floodinggoes this rain right now just steady, but if we get in on few rounds of HREEAVY RAIN there be flooding fur sure.
How so? Please elaborate.
im back
What do you mean?
Snow threat must be diminishing, no news from Chris is a bad sign??