Good afternoon, folks. Your friendly weatherdude is busy doing the Christmas Parade thing, so my normal update thing is off schedule. Such is life, right? I am stopping by to talk about the pattern ahead that takes us from a wet week ahead to a wintry week that will follow.
The rest of our weekend is in good shape as temps come down several degrees behind the cold front now off to our east.
The setup for next week into next weekend will continue to feature several systems working eastward across the region. These means a lot of wet weather with the potential for several inches of rain from late Monday through next Sunday.
The models will continue to vary from run to run on exact numbers and placement, but here’s a snapshot of what they’re thinking as of this update…
Once the final system passes through next weekend, the pattern goes into the tank with cold air taking control of much of the county. We know the ensembles have been all over this for a while, with the operational models now fully jumping on board. Check out the GFS for the week of December 12th…
That run goes as far out as December 19th and shows how those troughs continue to deepen across the country as the blocks become established over the top. This matches with my thoughts on this kind of pattern arriving for the middle and end of December. That’s something I have literally been talking about since late summer and early fall.
Check out the cold air surges in here during the same time as the map above…
The European Model doesn’t go as far out in time as the GFS does, but it does take us into the start of the week of the 12th. It also shows the change taking place…
Check out the initial cold shots and the ones lined up to the northwest that would come down later in the week…
Right. On. Cue.
Since this update is on so late in the day, I’m not sure I will get to an evening update, but I’ll try. If not, I’ll see you crazy kids back here for the overnight update.
Have a great rest of your Saturday and take care.
A dry, frigid Arctic pattern with not a flake of Snow ? No thanks !
Schroeder, Chris did predict a blizzard on his bold prediction. I wonder this kind of setup he’s has mentioned will give us that shot. Something we haven’t had since January of 1978.
It was completely different back in January 1978. At that time we were in a weakening ENSO which caused the ” Southeast Ridge ” to be very weak allowing Arctic Fronts to move farther South than usual. Also we had a very strong Subtropical jet in place.
I would love to see a good snow especially around Christmas!! Looks like we will definitely have the cold.