Good afternoon, folks. It’s a rather dreary and chilly day in the Commonwealth as rain slowly works into the region. This kicks off a super soggy week with rounds of rain that may cause a few issues before the pattern takes a turn to winter next week.

Showers are slowly working in from south to north today and there’s even the chance for a cold rumble of thunder in the south. Here are your radars to track the drops in from the south…

A stalled boundary will be the focal point for waves of low pressure to work along it through the week and into the weekend. It’s not going to rain the entire time, but repeat rounds of rain will add up and could cause some issues.

The best chance continues to be across the southern half of Kentucky into Tennessee…

Rainfall totals from the models continue to show anywhere from a couple inches to several inches of rain…

The look ahead toward next week continues as planned. We also find this new version of the GFS being absolutely pathetic with the overall pattern.

The GFS solution for early next week gives us, yet another, totally different scenario…

I suppose if the GFS gives a different solution with each run, one of them is bound to be right and the folks who built it will then say “it got it right from a week away”. 🤔😜

Here’s the Canadian for early next week…

The overall idea of a trough developing across the lower 48 continues to be the rule and the EURO Ensembles have this pegged very well…

I will get into that with my evening post. Have a good one and take care.