Good Wednesday to one and all. Better weather is blowing into the region today and Thursday, but this isn’t a sign of a pattern change. As a matter of fact, this winter pattern has locked in and will linger deep into spring.
Temps this morning are 20-25 for many areas with a recovery into the 45-50 degree range this afternoon.
Thursday is a windy and milder day with temps approaching 60 for highs. Clouds will increase ahead of a potent cold front arriving on Friday. Here’s a breakdown of what to expect with this:
- The front sweeps in from west to east Friday.
- Widespread rain and a rumble of thunder will be possible ahead of the front.
- Wind gusts along and ahead of the front may reach 40mph-50mph at times.
- Temps crash from west to east Friday. Temps are into the 50s ahead of the front and reach the 30s after it passes.
- The weekend will feature a few flurries or snow showers on Saturday.
- Temps are in the 30s for highs with lows dropping into the upper teens and low 20s by Sunday morning.
- Wind chills are way down this weekend and may bottom out around 10 degrees early Sunday.
Here’s the full progression of this system…
And the wind gust potential…
Watch the temps crash on this wind chill map from 7am-8pm on Friday…
Those wind chills will drop close to 10 degrees by Sunday morning…
I’ve mentioned the chance for a system to follow all this early next week and that’s still on the table. It will be several days before we know for sure if there’s something fun to track or if this is a no go.
The GFS is starting to see the system, but has a track well to the southeast of us…
Once that storm goes through, the pattern may relax for a few before coming right back at us. Watch how the EURO Ensembles send another deep trough across the country into the final week of March…
The GFS Extended shows below normal temps through the middle of April…
The EURO Weeklies show this through the end of April…
There are two weather scenarios I despise… Warmth in winter and cold in spring. Mother Nature is giving me the daily double with both of those. 😡
I will throw you another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.
At 1:00am CDT, the temperature at my PWS near Bowling Green is 26°F, which is 7° colder than it was same time last night. With clear skies and no wind, temperatures in the low 20’s are likely by daybreak, which would be catastrophic news for peach and other orchard crops. Right now, farmers are out spraying their fruit trees with water, hoping that the resulting layer of ice will insulate the fragile buds from the effects of the hard freeze. But with several weeks of cold weather in our future, the Summer peach harvest may be in serious jeopardy.
It happens, but it’s unfortunate for the grower. I had this with Azalea buds about every 5 years. That’s why my Father and I started our Azalea breeding program to produce a later blooming Azalea. We had success and the plants came through late light frost, but not hard freezes.
A big fat zero.
I’m not Fat and I’m not a Zero. If your referring to me personally ?
The weather I try to refrain myself from taking personal shots at other individuals.
It was a miss interpretation of your comment. I’m sorry, I guess I’m just having a bad day. I always enjoy reading your comments.
La Nina may be dwindling and we very well could be in ENSO / neutral, but this has not changed our weather pattern because the winds continue to upwell cold water along the coast of California. It’s going to take sometime for the SST in this area to warm to El Nino levels. We may be in ENSO / neutral for a year or better. NOAA doesn’t expect a return of ENSO / La Nina for a fourth year, but it could happen. I’m concerned about the Tropical Atlantic this Summer because of the erratic behavior of the Bermuda High pressure system. This could steer major Hurricanes towards heavily populated areas.
The Gulf of Mexico is seriously warm for this time of the year. Warm enough to cause ” Red Tide ” to bloom early and die and decay taking dissolved oxygen away from marine life. I’ve never heard this happening at this time of the year before. Usually it’s late Summer and it’s generally not a problem for commercial fishing.
Here’s NOAA’s Chart showing the cold SST off the coast of California. I think this is very interesting and unusual.
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/
I’m really having a tough time with this cold weather pattern. Very frustrating.
I’ve been under the weather too ( no pun intended ) since last Friday with a bad cold that doesn’t seem to go away.