Good Friday, everyone. We are stuck in a rubbber stamp kind of a weather pattern through this big Mother’s Day Weekend. Muggy air is leading to rounds of showers and thunderstorms rumbling across the region.
Temps today reach the upper 70s and low 80s outside of any showers or storms. These storms are not going to be all day, but a few of the storms will pack heavy rain and quite a bit of lightning.
A few strong storms may also show up and the Storm Prediction Center has the far west in a low-end risk for severe storms…
The northwestern sky will need to be watched closely on Saturday as additional storms fire up and roll into Kentucky. There’s a little better threat for a few strong to severe showing up across our part of the world. The Storm Prediction Center shows this potential…
A few more storms work in from the northwest Mother’s Day into Monday as we track a cold front in here…
Below normal numbers come in behind all that as we head into the middle of next week with reinforcing shots of below normal air all the way through next weekend…
I leave you with your Friday storm tracking tools for the day…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Have a fantastic Friday and take care.
The May bulletin confirms that the current ENSO Neutral state will give way to El Niño conditions during the May-July period, and predicts a 90% likelihood that El Niño conditions will persist through Winter, welcome news for snow lovers! One statistic that caught my eye was the rapid rise in subsurface ocean temperatures off of South America. This factor ensures continued warmer than normal surface temperatures, and is a key reasonwhy the confidence level is so high.
Here is the report:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml#:~:text=Synopsis%3A%20A%20transition%20from%20La,Ocean%20%5BFig.%201%5D.ry
Yes indeed Joe. With the subtropical jet being amplified through our Southern States and the weaken of the Ridge to our Southeast plus bouts of Polar air invasions throughout the Winter, Snowstorm chances really increase in our area.
Thanks Chris. Hoping we receive more rainfall over the next few days, as the .80 that fell the other day has evaporated and drained off. Back to dry in my county.
Below normal temperatures probably means highs in the low 70s and lows in the mid forties.
In my book that is a winning forecast.
Excellent outdoor working temperatures.