Good Monday, everyone. On this Memorial Day, we pause to give remember the men and women who gave the ultimate sacrifice for this awesome country of ours. There really aren’t enough words in the English dictionary to properly honor their memory.
As we focus on the weather, things are looking much better out there today as the holiday weekend wraps up on a pretty good note for most. It’s certainly better than that what we had Sunday when the weather was as ugly as advertised with rain and chilly temps.
Highs today rebound into the 70s for many with a few low 80s possible in the north and west where a little more sun will show up. There’s also the chance for a shower or storm to crank, with the greatest chance in the east.
Whatever is out there will show up on our regional radars…
Areas of eastern Kentucky have picked up 1″-2″ of rain since Sunday with some 2″+ amounts.
The pattern continues to warm for the closing days of May on Tuesday and Wednesday. Humidity levels will also be up and the warm and rather humid weather looks to be with us into the start of June.
The pattern also looks to throw some showers and storms at us from time to time. This was first sniffed out by the GFS and now we are seeing all the models coming around to this idea. A little weakness in the atmosphere will be showing up from northwest to southeast during this time and that looks to be the focal point for the scattered showers and storms.
Here’s the GFS from Tuesday through Friday…
The model is showing the potential for some pretty good rain producing storms for some during this time period…
The EURO had no storms until the last run, but it’s finally starting to see a little bit of the action…
I’m certainly not here to heap praise upon the GFS because it has some serious issues, but it’s a much better model than the EURO at the moment. Recent upgrades to the European Model seem to have tilted the model toward always showing phantom excessive heat. That has severely impacted the models forecasting abilities.
That said, temps by the end of the week into the weekend will turn very warm. A few spots could even push 90 on days where storms stay away.
Changes continue to be brewing by late weekend or early next week as the ENSEMBLES are dead set on another trough digging into the eastern half of the country…
EURO ENSEMBLES
GFS ENSEMBLES
That is not a super warm look and would likely result in below normal temperatures returning to the region. The exact date of return for those cooler than normal numbers is still a work in progress, but you can clearly see where the pattern is going.
Make it a great and safe Memorial Day. Take care.
Thanks Chris and Happy Memorial Day to All. A finish to a very interesting weather event. Could mean the start of a weather pattern in the long term ? Maybe more in the way of Snowstorms next Fall and Winter ?
In my area we only received 0.12 inches of Rain. The crops are now approaching a critical period in their growing cycle and if we don’t get the warmer degree days along with weekly Rains, it will result in an agricultural disaster. Hope Not !
I hope I see a pop up storm this week, I know many people west of I-65 would like to see a few downpours..
We’re on the verge of making weather history here in the Chicago area. If the remaining few days of the month don’t see any rain (and no rain is in the forecast), Chicago will have had its second-driest May ever, in 150 years of weather records.
Chicago’s O’Hare Airport, the official reporting station for Chicago, has received only 0.42 inches of rain this month. In the SW Suburbs of Chicago at the NWS Forecast Office, it hasn’t been much better, with only 1.19 inches of rain during the month.
Even though we need the rain, these warm, sunny days with low humidity and light winds are darn near perfect for outdoor activities!