Good Thursday and welcome to June. Meteorological Summer is off and runny on a seasonably warm note with toastier days on the way. The toasty pattern doesn’t look to be locking in for the long haul as cooler weather is already showing up for next week.
On this day one of the sixth month we have highs in the low to middle 80s for many with some upper 80s in the north and west. There’s still the threat for a stray storm or two to go up but most stay dry.
Here are your radars to follow the pop up stuff that’s out there…
The pattern over the next several days features a heat wave across the northern half of the country and cooler weather across the south. Part of that cooler weather is because of a system in the eastern Gulf that’s rolling across Florida…
The National Hurricane Center still gives it a low-end chance to develop.
With everything going on across the country, this puts Kentucky between the real deal heat to the north and the cooler to the south. Highs of 85-90 will be common from Friday through Sunday with a low 90 possible in the north and west. Humidity levels aren’t very high, so that’s a plus!
The pattern looks to change as soon as early next week. This has been something the Ensembles have been pointing toward for a while and now the operational models are doing the same. Watch the GFS spin this deep cutoff trough across the eastern part of the country next week…
The EURO struggles with anything that cuts off and it is just now seeing this potential. It’s trending the way of the GFS…
That’s not a hot look for much of the country as the northern heat ridge of the weekend retrogrades toward western Canada and Alaska. We talked about this happening many days ago.
This is also a pattern that’s fairly dry next week, but the GFS is trying to spit out a few showers and storms coming in around the western side of that big upper low in the east…
GFS Temps are much cooler than normal during this time…
That matches up with the GFS Ensembles…
The trend toward wetter weather will likely kick in during the second week of June.
Enjoy the start of a brand new month and take care.
Cooler than normal in June is really not a big deal.
But, lack of precipitation is a big deal.
Widely scattered, pop-up thunderstorms developed over parts of the Chicago Metro Area during the afternoon heating on Wednesday, spoiling our chance of having the second-driest May ever. O’Hare Airport received 0.29 inches of rain for a total of 0.71 inches for the whole month, which was enough to move us from the second-driest to the fourth-driest May ever.
The last two days have seen high temps of 91 degrees.
The driest May I’ve seen since the late 1980’s. Highest temperature here in Maple has been 85 degrees with low dew points / and unfortunately low humidity. Nice weather for recreation, but bad for agricultural purposes.
Our neighbor in Clark County is a farmer. He’s spent most of the week trailering cattle to market because he doesn’t have enough forage. The irony is he bought several trailer loads of these steers last year from Texas farmers who were selling off their herds because of dry pastures.
Yeah, it’s really aggravating for all who Farm for a living. My neighbor also has Cattle, and I haven’t heard anything on the hay harvest yet. I don’t think there is any. He sells Feeders.
Here’s the latest US drought map release this morning. Chris, I hope your forecast to the wetter pans out soon.
https://weatherstreet.com/drought-map-us.htm
It seems like if there’s any kind of activity in the gulf or atlantic (tropical or not) it just stalls everything…. I just looked at that drought map… It’s funny because the panhandle of Texas for a week has been getting tons of rain… Like that same area every time I look at the radar there’s activity there and in eastern New Mexico….. It just feels like things aren’t moving
That’s right Mark. The normal east / west progression slow down. Meteorologist Marcia Yockey alway said this when there was Tropical activity in the Gulf.
Correction : west to east.
Sprinkler season is starting early this year.
My 10 day forecast is showing no organized rain system.
Hopefully we get through this with the least minimal damage.
I rather see a quasi drought at the beginning of the summer than in the middle of it.
Got to irrigate if you want a productive garden or lawn.