In recent weeks, I’ve talked some about the developing El Nino and the state of the oceans across the globe so I thought we would do a little compare and contrast with last year at this time.
In the image below, I’ve highlighted the blossoming El Nino…
You can clearly see the warmer than normal waters showing up along the equatorial Pacific. Now, let’s look at this same region one year ago…
These same waters were much cooler than normal as we were in the final year of a 3 year La Nina. Both maps show above normal water temps for much of the rest of the world, but this year shows even warmer waters compared to last year at this same time.
What does it all mean for the winter ahead? That’s the million dollar question but it is a totally different Pacific Ocean from what led to the lousy winter of last year.
Have a great Monday and take care.
Not a bad forecast. Although I could use a little rain.
I have had to put my water sprinkler back into action.
Complicated and confusing forecast in the short term and long term. If the Atlantic is active with Tropical Storms, how could El Nino be a player ? For the last three years we have had a negative PDO, which is what we have during La Nina. Now NOAA is still beating the drum on El Nino for this Winter, but the PDO is still strongly negative how could this be ? Maybe the PDO later this Winter will flip to the positive and then we may have the full impacts of El Nino. Don’t Know.
Schroeder, we can have an El Niño phase and an Atlantic hurricane season, what happens is the hurricanes develop normally, but effects of El Niño on the trade winds will steer those storms northward, or shear will diminish the storm’s intensity.
I believe that the PDO has become less of an indicator for an El Niño phase, because of the warmer Pacific water temperatures.
Joe, In 2014 – 15 we had a weak El Nino with a positive PDO. In 2015 – 16 we had a very strong El Nino with a positive PDO. These Winters were Cold and Snowy by Kentucky standards. It’s going to be interesting to see how this Winter’s El Nino plays out without a positive PDO ? New Normal I guess.
I had no clue droughts damaging foundations was even a thing….I’m not seeing ANYONE watering their area around the foundation.
Mark, for my son who lives in the San Antonio, Texas area, watering foundations is part of home ownership, and many have resorted to placing drip watering hoses around their home’s foundations. San Antonio has had over 60 days this year where the temperature hit or exceeded 100°F! The heat has changed the characteristics of the concrete itself.
Mulch around the foundation should take care of the problem.
There is nothing I can do in my backyard because my concrete patio is attached to my brick foundation.
Use Cypress Mulch if you haven’t any plantings. It is toxic to plants as it decomposes because it contains the Cypress Cambium.
I know black mulch is notorious for breading Termites. Fortunately my ground foundation is composed of mortar.
I never heard of that either Mark, watering the foundation of a home. I would water around the home to save my plants. Learn something new everyday.